4385 Midway Rd · Douglasville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home. This home features stylish updates including stainless steel kitchen appliances, granite countertops, and updated flooring throughout. Situated on a large level lot. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and more! Do not miss this great opportunity!
Key facts
- Large level lot
- Updated flooring
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $118 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (10.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $185k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.5% in Douglasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
- Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 300 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 337 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $93k; list at $210k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 337 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.41%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $272,224
- List price
- $210,000
- Delta
- -22.86%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4380 N Giles Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,416 (+5%) | 19mo | $260,000 | $184 | 60 |
| 4240 N Giles Rd | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,388 (+3%) | 24mo | $249,000 | $179 | 60 |
| 4340 W Linda Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,420 (+6%) | 12mo | $275,000 | $194 | 59 |
| 4507 Dodson Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,425 (+6%) | 15mo | $245,000 | $172 | 54 |
| 4125 W Oak Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (+4%) | 0mo | $198,000 | $141 | 53 |
| 4242 Clearview Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-3%) | 16mo | $250,000 | $192 | 47 |
| 1731 Dogwood Trl | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,502 (+12%) | 13mo | $220,000 | $146 | 40 |
| 8058 Duralee Ln | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,367 (+2%) | 21mo | $259,000 | $189 | 40 |
| 8004 Fieldstone Ct | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,272 (-5%) | 23mo | $240,000 | $189 | 39 |
| 1506 Mcintosh Rd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,158 (-14%) | 14mo | $255,000 | $220 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-32,001
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- -13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-39,448
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30134
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.0%
- Active inventory
- 300
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,889 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$185 /mo · $2,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$397
- Net cashflow
- $118
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $237 | -5% $178 | +0% $118 | +5% $59 | +10% $-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-31 | -5% $44 | +0% $118 | +5% $193 | +10% $267 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $224 | -0.5pp $172 | base $118 | +0.5pp $64 | +1.0pp $8 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1675 Dogwood Trl Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1465 | $1,740 | $1.19 | 0d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1750 Nutmeg St Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,380 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4647 Big B Rd Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,570 | $0.98 | 6d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 8242 Durelee Ln Douglasville, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $1,395 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2010 Ayla Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $2,000 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2010 Ayla Dr Unit 1 Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $1,950 | $1.37 | 0d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3009 Acacia Cir Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $2,200 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 8500 Durelee Ln Douglasville, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $1,665 | $1.76 | 4d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2501 Canter Ln Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1805 | $2,300 | $1.27 | 0d | 6 | 1.18mi |
| 3901 Denton Dr Unit 3901 Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1805 | $2,350 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4000 Denton Dr Unit 4000 Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1616 | $2,199 | $1.36 | 6d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4100 Denton Dr Unit 4100 Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1805 | $2,350 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 6297 Redcliff Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,789 | $1.46 | 18d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 5610 Fetlock Way Unit 5610 , GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1616 | $2,199 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4191 Denton Dr Unit 4191 , GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1805 | $2,199 | $1.22 | 6d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4311 Denton Dr Unit 4311 Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1805 | $2,350 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 6314 New Gate Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1848 | $1,980 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 7796 Mountain Creek Way Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1810 | $1,800 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 7796 Mountain Creek Way Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1810 | $1,800 | $0.99 | 18d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3970 Denton Dr Unit 3970 Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1805 | $2,299 | $1.27 | 18d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3790 Denton Dr Unit 3790 Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1805 | $2,199 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3751 Denton Dr Unit 3751 Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1805 | $2,250 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4031 Denton Dr Unit 4031 Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1805 | $2,250 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 6345 Malone Rd Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,600 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 6320 Wellington Ct Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1639 | $1,835 | $1.12 | 19d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-18status Back On Market 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
A beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home. This home features stylish updates including stainless steel kitchen appliances, granite countertops, and updated flooring throughout. Situated on a large level lot. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and more! Do not miss this great opportunity!
-
2026-05-11status Under Contract 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
A beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home. This home features stylish updates including stainless steel kitchen appliances, granite countertops, and updated flooring throughout. Situated on a large level lot. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and more! Do not miss this great opportunity!
-
2026-04-10price $210,000 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
A beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home. This home features stylish updates including stainless steel kitchen appliances, granite countertops, and updated flooring throughout. Situated on a large level lot. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and more! Do not miss this great opportunity!
-
2025-06-11$242,000 New 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
A beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home. This home features stylish updates including stainless steel kitchen appliances, granite countertops, and updated flooring throughout. Situated on a large level lot. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and more! Do not miss this great opportunity!
-
2020-10-06soldstatus $93,000
-
2010-07-11price $54,900 Reduced
-
2006-12-11soldstatus $104,000
-
1998-10-02soldstatus $75,000
-
1993-08-02soldstatus $57,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,225 · $185/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,225 · $185/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,670
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$2,225
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,814
- − Management
- −$1,814
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$2,105
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$505
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,924/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Douglas County
- NCES district ID
- 1301860
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,335
- Composite
- 25.84/100
- National rank
- #7353
- State rank
- #92 of 174 in GA
Livability — Douglasville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #6971
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Douglas County · 141,416 people
- City population
- 114,380
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,580
- Household income
- $76,574
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1339.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 163,022 people
- By 2030
- 173,956 · +6.7%
- By 2040
- 196,859 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 220,017 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 279,831 · +71.7%
- By 2100
- 322,702 · +97.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.4) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +29.6pp toward D · 2008: 1.8pp · 2024: 31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.4 2020: D+25.1 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+1.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.36%
- Current HPI
- 243.9426
- Rent YoY
- ▬ 0.03%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+268.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-05-11 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $210,000 GAMLS
- 2025-06-11 Listed $242,000 GAMLS
- 2020-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
- 2010-07-11 Price Changed $54,900 GAMLS
- 2006-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
- 1998-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 1993-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,225 · +44.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…