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4385 Midway Rd
C- Composite 51.59
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

4385 Midway Rd · Douglasville, GA 30134
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 337 Days on market
Built 1958 $156/sqft · 23% below area Est $272k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home. This home features stylish updates including stainless steel kitchen appliances, granite countertops, and updated flooring throughout. Situated on a large level lot. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and more! Do not miss this great opportunity!

Key facts

  • Large level lot
  • Updated flooring
  • Granite countertops

Tags

GRANITE COUNTERTOPSUPDATED FLOORINGLARGE LEVEL LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $118 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (10.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $185k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.5% in Douglasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
  • Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 300 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 337 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $93k; list at $210k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $184,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 337 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.97%
Cash-on-cash
2.41%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$272,224
List price
$210,000
Delta
-22.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4380 N Giles Rd 0.13mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,416 (+5%) 19mo $260,000 $184 60
4240 N Giles Rd 0.24mi 2/2.0 1,388 (+3%) 24mo $249,000 $179 60
4340 W Linda Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,420 (+6%) 12mo $275,000 $194 59
4507 Dodson Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,425 (+6%) 15mo $245,000 $172 54
4125 W Oak Ln 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,404 (+4%) 0mo $198,000 $141 53
4242 Clearview Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (-3%) 16mo $250,000 $192 47
1731 Dogwood Trl 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,502 (+12%) 13mo $220,000 $146 40
8058 Duralee Ln 0.71mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,367 (+2%) 21mo $259,000 $189 40
8004 Fieldstone Ct 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,272 (-5%) 23mo $240,000 $189 39
1506 Mcintosh Rd 0.55mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,158 (-14%) 14mo $255,000 $220 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.7%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-32,001
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-39,448
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30134

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Rents YoY
0.0%
Active inventory
300
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,889 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$185 /mo · $2,225/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$397
Net cashflow
$118

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,739
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $237 -5% $178 +0% $118 +5% $59 +10% $-1
Rent -10% $-31 -5% $44 +0% $118 +5% $193 +10% $267
Rate -1.0pp $224 -0.5pp $172 base $118 +0.5pp $64 +1.0pp $8

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1675 Dogwood Trl Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1465 $1,740 $1.19 0d 1 0.36mi
1750 Nutmeg St Douglasville, GA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,380 $1.53 25d 1 0.62mi
4647 Big B Rd Douglasville, GA 3.0 1.5 1600 $1,570 $0.98 6d 1 0.74mi
8242 Durelee Ln Douglasville, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1210 $1,395 $1.15 45d 1 0.75mi
2010 Ayla Dr Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1421 $2,000 $1.41 14d 1 0.92mi
2010 Ayla Dr Unit 1 Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1421 $1,950 $1.37 0d 1 0.92mi
3009 Acacia Cir Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1421 $2,200 $1.55 14d 1 0.93mi
8500 Durelee Ln Douglasville, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0 947 $1,665 $1.76 4d 1 1.17mi
2501 Canter Ln Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1805 $2,300 $1.27 0d 6 1.18mi
3901 Denton Dr Unit 3901 Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1805 $2,350 $1.30 45d 1 1.19mi
4000 Denton Dr Unit 4000 Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1616 $2,199 $1.36 6d 1 1.22mi
4100 Denton Dr Unit 4100 Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1805 $2,350 $1.30 5d 1 1.22mi
6297 Redcliff Dr Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1223 $1,789 $1.46 18d 1 1.23mi
5610 Fetlock Way Unit 5610 , GA 3.0 2.5 1616 $2,199 $1.36 25d 1 1.25mi
4191 Denton Dr Unit 4191 , GA 3.0 2.5 1805 $2,199 $1.22 6d 1 1.26mi
4311 Denton Dr Unit 4311 Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1805 $2,350 $1.30 25d 1 1.30mi
6314 New Gate Dr Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1848 $1,980 $1.07 45d 1 1.36mi
7796 Mountain Creek Way Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1810 $1,800 $0.99 23d 1 1.38mi
7796 Mountain Creek Way Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1810 $1,800 $0.99 18d 1 1.38mi
3970 Denton Dr Unit 3970 Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1805 $2,299 $1.27 18d 1 1.46mi
3790 Denton Dr Unit 3790 Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1805 $2,199 $1.22 25d 1 1.46mi
3751 Denton Dr Unit 3751 Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1805 $2,250 $1.25 45d 1 1.46mi
4031 Denton Dr Unit 4031 Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1805 $2,250 $1.25 45d 1 1.46mi
6345 Malone Rd Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,600 $1.00 25d 1 1.47mi
6320 Wellington Ct Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1639 $1,835 $1.12 19d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Back On Market 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    A beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home. This home features stylish updates including stainless steel kitchen appliances, granite countertops, and updated flooring throughout. Situated on a large level lot. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and more! Do not miss this great opportunity!

  2. 2026-05-11
    status Under Contract 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    A beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home. This home features stylish updates including stainless steel kitchen appliances, granite countertops, and updated flooring throughout. Situated on a large level lot. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and more! Do not miss this great opportunity!

  3. 2026-04-10
    price $210,000 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    A beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home. This home features stylish updates including stainless steel kitchen appliances, granite countertops, and updated flooring throughout. Situated on a large level lot. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and more! Do not miss this great opportunity!

  4. 2025-06-11
    listed $242,000 New 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    A beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home. This home features stylish updates including stainless steel kitchen appliances, granite countertops, and updated flooring throughout. Situated on a large level lot. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and more! Do not miss this great opportunity!

  5. 2020-10-06
    soldstatus $93,000
  6. 2010-07-11
    price $54,900 Reduced
  7. 2006-12-11
    soldstatus $104,000
  8. 1998-10-02
    soldstatus $75,000
  9. 1993-08-02
    soldstatus $57,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,225 · $185/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,225 · $185/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,670
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$2,225
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,814
− Management
−$1,814
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$2,105
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$505
After-tax cash flow
$1,924/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Douglas County
NCES district ID
1301860
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$55,335
Composite
25.84/100
National rank
#7353
State rank
#92 of 174 in GA

Livability — Douglasville

Score
71/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#6971

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Douglas County · 141,416 people
City population
114,380
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
47,580
Household income
$76,574
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
1339.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
163,022 people
By 2030
173,956 · +6.7%
By 2040
196,859 · +20.8%
By 2050
220,017 · +35.0%
By 2075
279,831 · +71.7%
By 2100
322,702 · +97.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.4) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
+29.6pp toward D · 2008: 1.8pp · 2024: 31.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.4 2020: D+25.1 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+1.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.36%
Current HPI
243.9426
Rent YoY
▬ 0.03%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+268.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $210,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-06-11 Listed $242,000 GAMLS
  • 2020-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
  • 2010-07-11 Price Changed $54,900 GAMLS
  • 2006-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
  • 1998-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 1993-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,225 · +44.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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