611 E Ave D · San Angelo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.5/30.0
- ARV discount +12.7/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Freshly remodeled 3 bedroom 1 bath home featuring an open concept kitchen, living, and dining. Oversized laundry room. Located on a spacious corner lot with convenient alley access. One car carport with extra off street parking. Large backyard is fully enclosed with a metal privacy fence- perfect for pets, entertaining, or outdoor living. Two storage buildings provide ample space for your tools, equipment, or seasonal items. Move-in ready with room to grow! Call for a tour today!
Key facts
- Open concept kitchen
- Metal privacy fence
- Spacious corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $130 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.28%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $192,190
- List price
- $169,900
- Delta
- -11.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 E Washington Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-4%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $172 | 69 |
| 1302 Tres Rios Dr | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,542 (+1%) | 12mo | $229,000 | $149 | 65 |
| 1334 Tres Rios Cir | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,333 (-13%) | 4mo | $208,000 | $156 | 58 |
| 1218 Toby Ln | 0.49mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,485 (-3%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $152 | 57 |
| 80 Belaire Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,476 (-3%) | 12mo | $154,900 | $105 | 52 |
| 1502 Mayse St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,390 (-9%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $97 | 50 |
| 123 S Baze St | 0.71mi | 3/4.0 | 1,464 (-4%) | 2mo | $179,900 | $123 | 47 |
| 98 Belaire Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,380 (-10%) | 4mo | $104,000 | $75 | 45 |
| 1205 S Bell St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,396 (-8%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $125 | 45 |
| 1518 Mayse St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,676 (+10%) | 3mo | $229,990 | $137 | 38 |
| 411 Sellers St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,694 (+11%) | 13mo | $215,000 | $127 | 36 |
| 119 Van Zandt St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,346 (-12%) | 11mo | $204,900 | $152 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-9,788
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $45,172
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76903
- Rents YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 227
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,774 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$310 /mo · $3,721/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $130
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 728 Spencer St San Angelo, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1948 | $1,995 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1173 Benedict Dr San Angelo, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 868 | $1,660 | $1.91 | 21d | 10 | 0.45mi |
| 1320 Orient St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,595 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1569 Clayton St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $1,850 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 206 Van Zandt St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2128 | $1,800 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 209 West Avenue C Unit A San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 15 N Bell St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1288 | $1,850 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1208 Clairmont St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1068 | $1,250 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 822 Stonewall Dr San Angelo, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1478 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 66 West Avenue U Unit G San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $1,900 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $169,900 Active 184 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 181 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $169,900 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $169,900 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 173 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 172 DOM
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2026-06-03price $169,900 Active 167 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 165 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $179,900 Active 164 DOM
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2026-04-08price $179,900 484-char remark
Show marketing remark (484 chars)
Freshly remodeled 3 bedroom 1 bath home featuring an open concept kitchen, living, and dining. Oversized laundry room. Located on a spacious corner lot with convenient alley access. One car carport with extra off street parking. Large backyard is fully enclosed with a metal privacy fence- perfect for pets, entertaining, or outdoor living. Two storage buildings provide ample space for your tools, equipment, or seasonal items. Move-in ready with room to grow! Call for a tour today!
-
2026-01-27price $189,900 484-char remark
Show marketing remark (484 chars)
Freshly remodeled 3 bedroom 1 bath home featuring an open concept kitchen, living, and dining. Oversized laundry room. Located on a spacious corner lot with convenient alley access. One car carport with extra off street parking. Large backyard is fully enclosed with a metal privacy fence- perfect for pets, entertaining, or outdoor living. Two storage buildings provide ample space for your tools, equipment, or seasonal items. Move-in ready with room to grow! Call for a tour today!
-
2025-12-17$195,000 Active 484-char remark
Show marketing remark (484 chars)
Freshly remodeled 3 bedroom 1 bath home featuring an open concept kitchen, living, and dining. Oversized laundry room. Located on a spacious corner lot with convenient alley access. One car carport with extra off street parking. Large backyard is fully enclosed with a metal privacy fence- perfect for pets, entertaining, or outdoor living. Two storage buildings provide ample space for your tools, equipment, or seasonal items. Move-in ready with room to grow! Call for a tour today!
-
2025-08-05soldstatus Closed 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Cozy and livable 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located just minutes from downtown San Angelo. This property offers a great opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for an affordable home in a growing neighborhood. The home is move-in ready and offers room for personalization or light updates to make it your own. The lot features mature trees, a private backyard space, and off-street parking.
-
2025-07-15soldstatus
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2025-06-03status Pending 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Cozy and livable 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located just minutes from downtown San Angelo. This property offers a great opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for an affordable home in a growing neighborhood. The home is move-in ready and offers room for personalization or light updates to make it your own. The lot features mature trees, a private backyard space, and off-street parking.
-
2025-05-20price $99,900 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Cozy and livable 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located just minutes from downtown San Angelo. This property offers a great opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for an affordable home in a growing neighborhood. The home is move-in ready and offers room for personalization or light updates to make it your own. The lot features mature trees, a private backyard space, and off-street parking.
-
2025-05-08price $109,900 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Cozy and livable 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located just minutes from downtown San Angelo. This property offers a great opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for an affordable home in a growing neighborhood. The home is move-in ready and offers room for personalization or light updates to make it your own. The lot features mature trees, a private backyard space, and off-street parking.
-
2025-04-23price $124,900
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Cozy and livable 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located just minutes from downtown San Angelo. This property offers a great opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for an affordable home in a growing neighborhood. The home is move-in ready and offers room for personalization or light updates to make it your own. The lot features mature trees, a private backyard space, and off-street parking.
-
2025-04-23$124,900 Active 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Cozy and livable 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located just minutes from downtown San Angelo. This property offers a great opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for an affordable home in a growing neighborhood. The home is move-in ready and offers room for personalization or light updates to make it your own. The lot features mature trees, a private backyard space, and off-street parking.
-
2025-04-23$419,900 Active
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Cozy and livable 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located just minutes from downtown San Angelo. This property offers a great opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for an affordable home in a growing neighborhood. The home is move-in ready and offers room for personalization or light updates to make it your own. The lot features mature trees, a private backyard space, and off-street parking.
-
2025-04-23historical
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Cozy and livable 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located just minutes from downtown San Angelo. This property offers a great opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for an affordable home in a growing neighborhood. The home is move-in ready and offers room for personalization or light updates to make it your own. The lot features mature trees, a private backyard space, and off-street parking.
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2021-06-11soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,721 · $310/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,721 · $310/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,294
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$3,721
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,704
- − Management
- −$1,704
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$1,143
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$274
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,834/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Angelo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838700
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,501
- Composite
- 25.56/100
- National rank
- #7427
- State rank
- #627 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Angelo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5030
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Angelo, TX
- County
- Tom Green County · 113,188 people
- City population
- 81,357
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,947
- Household income
- $49,498
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1255.0
Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 135,110 people
- By 2030
- 144,090 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 162,561 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 182,158 · +34.8%
- By 2075
- 232,274 · +71.9%
- By 2100
- 268,218 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 56% White 36% Two or more races 26% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 49% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 33%
Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -164.90%
- Current HPI
- 217.0406
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.46%
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+44.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $179,900 SAAR TX
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $189,900 SAAR TX
- 2025-12-17 Listed $195,000 SAAR TX
- 2025-08-05 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2025-07-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-06-03 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-05-20 Price Changed $99,900 NTREIS
- 2025-05-08 Price Changed $109,900 NTREIS
- 2025-04-23 Price Changed $124,900 NTREIS
- 2025-04-23 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-04-23 Listed $419,900 NTREIS
- 2025-04-23 Listed $124,900 NTREIS
- 2021-06-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,721 · +41.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…