2922 Judson St · Shreveport, LA 71109

$16,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,167 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 163 Days on market

Built 1945 4,792 sqft lot $14/sqft · 56% below area

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Appreciation +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Opportunity! All offers welcomed and encouraged! Property sold as-is, lines 277-283 of the LREC Buy Sell Agreement shall apply. No repairs to be made by the Seller.

Key facts

• 4,792 sq ft lot
• Built 1945
• Listed 162 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $16k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $548 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($841 rent vs $16k).
• Recommended offer: $14k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 47.4% vs local median 5.6% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
• Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $111 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $189 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($14k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $14,080 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 5.26% ✓
• Cap rate: 47.39%
• Cash-on-cash: 146.77%
• DSCR: 7.53
• GRM: 1.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $36,234
• List price: $16,000
• Delta: -50.32%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2824 W Caperton St	0.37mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,100 (-6%)	2mo	$60,900	$55	66
2631 Lillian St	0.35mi	3/2.0	1,227 (+5%)	6mo	$125,000	$102	66
3501 Hardy St	0.58mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,150 (-2%)	2mo	$25,000	$22	64
2806 W Caperton St	0.37mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,232 (+6%)	10mo	$23,000	$19	60
3560 Lillian St	0.64mi	3/1.0	1,229 (+5%)	2mo	$40,000	$33	59
3218 Sumner St	0.53mi	3/1.0	1,253 (+7%)	6mo	$22,000	$18	58
2230 Darien St	0.64mi	3/2.0	1,221 (+5%)	2mo	$47,000	$38	57
3528 Lakeshore Dr	0.63mi	3/1.0	1,270 (+9%)	2mo	$85,000	$67	54
1713 Madison Ave	0.67mi	3/1.0	1,066 (-9%)	5mo	$23,000	$22	50
2528 Attaway Ave	0.72mi	3/1.0	1,284 (+10%)	0mo	$22,500	$18	49
3240 Jackson St	0.50mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,014 (-13%)	7mo	$34,900	$34	44
3532 Sumner St	0.72mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,221 (+5%)	8mo	$45,000	$37	44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 8.50×
• Total profit: $33,581
• Equity at exit: $3,724

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 17.83×
• Total profit: $75,417
• Equity at exit: $3,793

Cash invested: $4,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 71109

• Home prices YoY: -2.1%
• Active inventory: 125
• Price-to-rent: 1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $841 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$84
• Tax from tax record: −$26 /mo · $311/yr
• Insurance: −$7
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$177
• Net cashflow: $548

Break-even live

Break-even rent $147

Max offer price $16,000

Occupancy floor 30%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $557	-5% $552	+0% $548	+5% $543	+10% $539
Rent	-10% $482	-5% $515	+0% $548	+5% $581	+10% $614
Rate	-1.0pp $556	-0.5pp $552	base $548	+0.5pp $544	+1.0pp $540

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $4,000
• Closing costs: $480
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 24 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3022 Lillian St Shreveport, LA	2.0	1.0	1115	$695	$0.62	22d	1	0.22mi
3323 Darien St Shreveport, LA	3.0	1.0	1200	$785	$0.65	45d	1	0.35mi
3420 Darien St Shreveport, LA	2.0	1.0	1200	$665	$0.55	14d	1	0.43mi
3515 Stonewall St Shreveport, LA	2.0	1.0	1000	$600	$0.60	14d	1	0.50mi
3240 Jackson St Shreveport, LA	2.0	1.0	1014	$700	$0.69	14d	1	0.51mi
3101 Harp St Shreveport, LA	3.0	1.0	839	$850	$1.01	22d	1	0.69mi
3612 Michigan Blvd Shreveport, LA	2.0	1.0	1200	$615	$0.51	14d	1	0.80mi
3628 Sumner St Shreveport, LA	3.0	1.0	956	$950	$0.99	45d	1	0.82mi
2134 Queens Hwy Shreveport, LA	3.0	1.5	1374	$1,475	$1.07	22d	1	0.84mi
2042 Laurel St Shreveport, LA	3.0	1.0	1100	$800	$0.73	45d	1	0.84mi
2551 Claiborne Ave Shreveport, LA	2.0	1.5	1202	$945	$0.79	14d	1	0.87mi
2712 Ashton St Shreveport, LA	2.0	1.0	875	$700	$0.80	14d	1	0.92mi
2520 Merwin St Shreveport, LA	3.0	1.0	924	$700	$0.76	22d	1	0.93mi
2924 DuPont St Shreveport, LA	2.0	1.0	768	$750	$0.98	22d	1	0.98mi
2711 Thayer St Shreveport, LA	4.0	1.0	1436	$1,552	$1.08	45d	1	0.99mi
3907 Milton St Shreveport, LA	3.0	1.5	1275	$1,100	$0.86	45d	1	1.00mi
2714 DuPont St Shreveport, LA	2.0	1.0	980	$565	$0.58	14d	1	1.01mi
3902 Sumner St Shreveport, LA	2.0	1.0	900	$700	$0.78	45d	1	1.06mi
1719 Lakeshore Dr Shreveport, LA	3.0	1.5	1200	$950	$0.79	45d	1	1.07mi
4223 Lakeshore Dr Shreveport, LA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1002	$900	$0.90	45d	1	1.13mi
4122 Cherokee St Apt 4 Shreveport, LA	2.0	1.0	750	$850	$1.13	22d	1	1.16mi
4122 Cherokee St Apt 4 Shreveport, LA	2.0	1.0	960	$850	$0.89	45d	1	1.16mi
509 Alabama Ave SE Shreveport, LA	2.0	1.0	700	$700	$1.00	45d	1	1.25mi
2531 Drexel St Shreveport, LA	3.0	2.0	1250	$950	$0.76	22d	1	1.46mi

Listing history 28 events

1. 2026-06-21
   pricedays on market $16,000 Active 163 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $18,000 Active 160 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $18,000 Active 159 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $18,000 Active 158 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $18,000 Active 157 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $18,000 Active 155 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $18,000 Active 154 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $18,000 Active 152 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $18,000 Active 151 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $18,000 Active 150 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $18,000 Active 149 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $18,000 Active 146 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $18,000 Active 145 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $18,000 Active 144 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $18,000 Active 143 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $18,000 Active 142 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $18,000 Active 141 DOM
18. 2026-04-06
    price $18,000 179-char remark

    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    Investor Opportunity! All offers welcomed and encouraged! Property sold as-is, lines 277-283 of the LREC Buy Sell Agreement shall apply. No repairs to be made by the Seller.

19. 2026-03-05
    price $20,000 179-char remark

    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    Investor Opportunity! All offers welcomed and encouraged! Property sold as-is, lines 277-283 of the LREC Buy Sell Agreement shall apply. No repairs to be made by the Seller.

20. 2026-02-09
    price $22,000 179-char remark

    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    Investor Opportunity! All offers welcomed and encouraged! Property sold as-is, lines 277-283 of the LREC Buy Sell Agreement shall apply. No repairs to be made by the Seller.

21. 2026-01-09
    listed $25,000 Active 179-char remark

    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    Investor Opportunity! All offers welcomed and encouraged! Property sold as-is, lines 277-283 of the LREC Buy Sell Agreement shall apply. No repairs to be made by the Seller.

22. 2024-03-14
    historical $675
23. 2024-01-20
    price $675
24. 2023-12-30
    listed $685
25. 2013-12-26
    soldstatus $221,000
26. 2013-10-14
    soldstatus $87,000
27. 2006-05-24
    soldstatus
28. 1994-02-25
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $311 · $26/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $311 · $26/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $10,092
• − Mortgage interest: −$896
• − Property taxes: −$311
• − Insurance: −$80
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$807
• − Management: −$807
• − Depreciation: −$465
• Taxable income: $6,725
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,614
• After-tax cash flow: $4,961/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Caddo Parish
• NCES district ID: 2200300
• Math proficiency: 21% ▼ -33.00%
• Reading proficiency: 32% ▼ -30.00%
• Median HH income: $39,227
• Composite: 22.23/100
• National rank: #8148
• State rank: #53 of 98 in LA

Livability — Shreveport

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #270
• US rank: #19730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Shreveport, LA
• County: Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
• City population: 164,123
• Metro: Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
• Population (ZIP): 17,412
• Household income: $32,939
• Rent vs Own: 58.3% rent · 41.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1265.0

Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 243,190 people
• By 2030: 237,231 · -2.5%
• By 2040: 222,502 · -8.5%
• By 2050: 206,516 · -15.1%
• By 2075: 165,706 · -31.9%
• By 2100: 122,262 · -49.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (95%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 95% White 4%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Caddo

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -1.18%
• Current HPI: 54.4158
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

-79.3% since first listed

11 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-06 Price Changed $18,000 NTREIS
• 2026-03-05 Price Changed $20,000 NTREIS
• 2026-02-09 Price Changed $22,000 NTREIS
• 2026-01-09 Listed $25,000 NTREIS
• 2024-03-14 Rental Removed $675 APPFOLIO
• 2024-01-20 Price Changed $675 APPFOLIO
• 2023-12-30 Listed for Rent $685 APPFOLIO
• 2013-12-26 Sold (Public Records) $221,000 Public Records
• 2013-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
• 2006-05-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1994-02-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

-2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $311 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.