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2707 Wreford St
D Composite 42.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$28,500

2707 Wreford St · Detroit, MI 48208
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,316 sqft · Townhouse public records · 108 Days on market
Built 1914 3,485 sqft lot $12/sqft · 55% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property is sold in a bundle with 2 vacant lots 2717 and 2721 Wreford. Not sold separately. Zoned R2. Both lots are $5000 each, totaling 38,500 for the bundle. Property needs full rehab. Buyer must submit a proposal to purchase. This should include detailed plans for rehab & financing plan with Proof Of Funds or Pre- Approval letter, or a new construction loan. The Tax Capture may be incompatible with tax abatement that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights & may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests. The payment will be determined upon reviewing the development financing. BATVAI Please see attached documents for DLBA requirements. Proposal should be submitted through google doc application. Use the link in the attachments.

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • Built 1914
  • Listed 107 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $28k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $28k).
  • Recommended offer: $26k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 73.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,264/mo this rent would consume 75% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 601% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $197 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $855 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $25,935 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
7.94%
Cap rate
73.31%
Cash-on-cash
239.34%
DSCR
11.65
GRM
1.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$63,173
List price
$28,500
Delta
-54.89%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.13×
Total profit
$96,786
Equity at exit
$4,249
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
27.94×
Total profit
$214,950
Equity at exit
$2,464

Cash invested: $7,980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48208

Home prices YoY
-5.9%
Active inventory
184
Price-to-rent
1.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,264 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$149
Tax est. 1.5%
$36 /mo · $428/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$475
Net cashflow
$1,592

Break-even live

Break-even rent $249
Max offer price $28,500
Occupancy floor 25%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,125
Closing costs
$855
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3799 W Philadelphia St Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 2200 $1,650 $0.75 16d 1 0.93mi
2509 Gladstone St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 3000 $2,650 $0.88 1d 1 0.99mi
2080 Gladstone St #1 Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2426 $3,000 $1.24 1d 1 1.11mi
2028 Gladstone St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 2500 $2,850 $1.14 3d 1 1.13mi
8951 La Salle Blvd Unit NA Detroit, MI 4.0 2.5 2440 $2,500 $1.02 10d 1 1.14mi
8951 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI 5.0 2.5 2440 $2,500 $1.02 14d 1 1.14mi
8951 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI 4.0 2.5 2440 $2,500 $1.02 1d 1 1.14mi
1441 W Euclid St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2380 $2,600 $1.09 24d 1 1.16mi
1418 W Euclid St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2264 $1,200 $0.53 43d 1 1.20mi
5315 Spokane St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2110 $1,200 $0.57 16d 1 1.42mi
3934 Avery St Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 2500 $3,000 $1.20 43d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $28,500 Active 108 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $28,500 Active 107 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $28,500 Active 105 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $28,500 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $28,500 Active 102 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $28,500 Active 99 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $28,500 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $28,500 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $28,500 Active 94 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $28,500 Active 93 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $28,500 Active 91 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $28,500 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-03-02
    listed $28,500 Active 843-char remark
    Show marketing remark (843 chars)

    This property is sold in a bundle with 2 vacant lots 2717 and 2721 Wreford. Not sold separately. Zoned R2. Both lots are $5000 each, totaling 38,500 for the bundle. Property needs full rehab. Buyer must submit a proposal to purchase. This should include detailed plans for rehab & financing plan with Proof Of Funds or Pre- Approval letter, or a new construction loan. The Tax Capture may be incompatible with tax abatement that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights & may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests. The payment will be determined upon reviewing the development financing. BATVAI Please see attached documents for DLBA requirements. Proposal should be submitted through google doc application. Use the link in the attachments.

  14. 2026-03-02
    listed $28,500 Active 843-char remark
    Show marketing remark (843 chars)

    This property is sold in a bundle with 2 vacant lots 2717 and 2721 Wreford. Not sold separately. Zoned R2. Both lots are $5000 each, totaling 38,500 for the bundle. Property needs full rehab. Buyer must submit a proposal to purchase. This should include detailed plans for rehab & financing plan with Proof Of Funds or Pre- Approval letter, or a new construction loan. The Tax Capture may be incompatible with tax abatement that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights & may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests. The payment will be determined upon reviewing the development financing. BATVAI Please see attached documents for DLBA requirements. Proposal should be submitted through google doc application. Use the link in the attachments.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,168
− Mortgage interest
−$1,596
− Property taxes
−$428
− Insurance
−$142
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,173
− Management
−$2,173
− Depreciation
−$829
Taxable income
$19,826
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,758
After-tax cash flow
$14,341/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
8,037
Household income
$36,194
Rent vs Own
65.7% rent · 34.3% own
Severe rent burden
601.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.56%
Current HPI
168.8907
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $28,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $28,500 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+9.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,958 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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