Cibola Plan · San Antonio, TX 78263

$167,849

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,535 sqft · Townhouse · 346 Days on market

Excellent condition ↓ 19% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +22.5/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +7.2/10.0
• 1% rule +5.9/10.0
• Condition / age +4.8/5.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

The first floor of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan that combines a fully-equipped kitchen with the living and dining areas to maximize the footprint of the home. There are four bedrooms located upstairs, including the luxe owner's suite, which is positioned at the back of the home for enhanced privacy and comfort.

Key facts

• Luxe owner's suite
• Open floorplan
• Enhanced privacy

Tags

• OPEN FLOORPLAN
• FULLY-EQUIPPED KITCHEN
• LUXE OWNER'S SUITE
• ENHANCED PRIVACY

🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $168k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $168k).
• Recommended offer: $148k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
• East Central ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #758 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 277 active listings in the ZIP; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 346 days — a 12% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $147,707 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 346 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.09% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.32%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.23%
• DSCR: 1.32
• GRM: 7.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -5.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.81×
• Total profit: $-9,125
• Equity at exit: $25,027

10-year hold

• IRR: 4.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.33×
• Total profit: $15,404
• Equity at exit: $14,513

Cash invested: $46,998 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78263

• Home prices YoY: -8.1%
• Active inventory: 277
• Price-to-rent: 7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,827 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$880
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$210 /mo · $2,518/yr
• Insurance: −$70
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$384
• Net cashflow: $283

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,468

Max offer price $167,849

Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $41,962
• Closing costs: $5,035
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 22 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $167,849 Active 346 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   price $167,849 Active 345 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $167,499 Active 345 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $167,499 Active 344 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $167,499 Active 343 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   pricedays on market $167,499 Active 341 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $166,999 Active 337 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $166,999 Active 336 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $166,999 Active 335 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $166,999 Active 332 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $166,999 Active 331 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $166,999 Active 330 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $166,999 Active 329 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $166,999 Active 328 DOM
15. 2026-05-15
    price $166,499 332-char remark

    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan that combines a fully-equipped kitchen with the living and dining areas to maximize the footprint of the home. There are four bedrooms located upstairs, including the luxe owner's suite, which is positioned at the back of the home for enhanced privacy and comfort.

16. 2025-11-28
    price $165,999 332-char remark

    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan that combines a fully-equipped kitchen with the living and dining areas to maximize the footprint of the home. There are four bedrooms located upstairs, including the luxe owner's suite, which is positioned at the back of the home for enhanced privacy and comfort.

17. 2025-11-23
    price $167,999 332-char remark

    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan that combines a fully-equipped kitchen with the living and dining areas to maximize the footprint of the home. There are four bedrooms located upstairs, including the luxe owner's suite, which is positioned at the back of the home for enhanced privacy and comfort.

18. 2025-11-19
    price $171,999 332-char remark

    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan that combines a fully-equipped kitchen with the living and dining areas to maximize the footprint of the home. There are four bedrooms located upstairs, including the luxe owner's suite, which is positioned at the back of the home for enhanced privacy and comfort.

19. 2025-11-09
    price $174,999 332-char remark

    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan that combines a fully-equipped kitchen with the living and dining areas to maximize the footprint of the home. There are four bedrooms located upstairs, including the luxe owner's suite, which is positioned at the back of the home for enhanced privacy and comfort.

20. 2025-09-01
    price $184,999 332-char remark

    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan that combines a fully-equipped kitchen with the living and dining areas to maximize the footprint of the home. There are four bedrooms located upstairs, including the luxe owner's suite, which is positioned at the back of the home for enhanced privacy and comfort.

21. 2025-08-24
    price $189,999 332-char remark

    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan that combines a fully-equipped kitchen with the living and dining areas to maximize the footprint of the home. There are four bedrooms located upstairs, including the luxe owner's suite, which is positioned at the back of the home for enhanced privacy and comfort.

22. 2025-07-07
    listed $205,999 Active 332-char remark

    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan that combines a fully-equipped kitchen with the living and dining areas to maximize the footprint of the home. There are four bedrooms located upstairs, including the luxe owner's suite, which is positioned at the back of the home for enhanced privacy and comfort.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,924
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,402
• − Property taxes: −$2,518
• − Insurance: −$839
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,754
• − Management: −$1,754
• − Depreciation: −$4,883
• Taxable income: $774
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$186
• After-tax cash flow: $3,214/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This townhouse is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good return on investment with potential for both resale and rental value through minor updates.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
• Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal to potential buyers.
• Resale Upgrading the bathrooms with modern fixtures — Modern bathrooms can significantly increase the home's resale value.
• Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A new HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental value.
• Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can enhance convenience and attract tech-savvy buyers/tenants, increasing both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
• Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal to potential buyers. ↑
• Resale Upgrading the bathrooms with modern fixtures — Modern bathrooms can significantly increase the home's resale value. ↑
• Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A new HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental value. ↑
• Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can enhance convenience and attract tech-savvy buyers/tenants, increasing both resale and rental value. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: East Central ISD
• NCES district ID: 4817850
• Math proficiency: 16% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 25% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $53,941
• Composite: 18.67/100
• National rank: #8887
• State rank: #758 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #31
• US rank: #1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 1,806,925
• Population (ZIP): 4,514

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,336,851 people
• By 2030: 2,560,728 · +9.6%
• By 2040: 3,020,569 · +29.3%
• By 2050: 3,493,522 · +49.5%
• By 2075: 4,668,459 · +99.8%
• By 2100: 5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 45% White 43% Two or more races 24% Black 10%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 35% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 9% Iranian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 71% English-only · Spanish 29%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -28.29%
• Current HPI: 322.4738
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-19.2% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-15 Price Changed $166,499 Zillow
• 2025-11-28 Price Changed $165,999 Zillow
• 2025-11-23 Price Changed $167,999 Zillow
• 2025-11-19 Price Changed $171,999 Zillow
• 2025-11-09 Price Changed $174,999 Zillow
• 2025-09-01 Price Changed $184,999 Zillow
• 2025-08-24 Price Changed $189,999 Zillow
• 2025-07-07 Listed $205,999 Zillow