9 Ridge Rd · Hampton Manor, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT STARTER HOME FOR THE MONEY! LARGE ROOMS. GAS HEAT & HOT WATER. WALK UP ATTIC. OVERSIZE 2 CAR GARAGE. CALL JOHN MOONEY FOR MORE INFO...VM 342-7756 -- Very Good Condition
Key facts
- Flexible layout
- Bonus room
- Pellet stove
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2-car garage spaces; Total of 8 parking spaces; Carport; Driveway; Off-street parking; Workshop and storage space in garage; Paved
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; First-floor entry
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Metal roof; Built living area approximately 1,168
- Exterior features: Pressure-treated deck; Rear porch and front porch; Paved driveway/drive-paved; Exterior lighting; Shed(s) and storage; Garage(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first floor
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas heating; Pellet stove; Radiant heating
- Interior features: Entry; Living room; Other main-level room; Full basement with interior entry (unfinished); 8 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Tankless water heater; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-73 ($-882/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (5.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (9.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $208k (9.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 1.9% in Hampton Manor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#189 in NY, #2,794 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- East Greenbush Central School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #132 of 590 in NY (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Columbia High School (math 97% / reading 87%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 1,252 students, 27% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 92% at this address vs 70% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the East Greenbush Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 102 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $229k implies a 179% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.37%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $278,177
- List price
- $229,000
- Delta
- -17.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 257 Lake Shore Dr | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 962 (+0%) | 5mo | $245,000 | $255 | 71 |
| 236 E Hudson Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 992 (+3%) | 1mo | $247,000 | $249 | 64 |
| 3 Linden Ave | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 852 (-11%) | 6mo | $280,000 | $329 | 62 |
| 216 Hudson Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (0%) | 7mo | $154,000 | $160 | 62 |
| 55 Sherwood Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,034 (+8%) | 8mo | $246,000 | $238 | 58 |
| 11 Rhode Island Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.5 | 884 (-8%) | 2mo | $236,000 | $267 | 58 |
| 8 Riverview Ter | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+5%) | 15mo | $262,000 | $260 | 54 |
| 43 Sherwood Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+15%) | 0mo | $311,896 | $284 | 50 |
| 231 Washington Ave E | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 875 (-9%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $206 | 49 |
| 26 New Jersey Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+14%) | 14mo | $300,000 | $275 | 41 |
| 222 E Madison Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+12%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $162 | 40 |
| 5 New Hampshire Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,098 (+14%) | 7mo | $265,000 | $241 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-45,971
- Equity at exit
- $34,145
- IRR
- -20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.03×
- Total profit
- $-62,505
- Equity at exit
- $19,800
Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12144
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,076 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,201
- Tax from tax record
- −$417 /mo · $5,007/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$436
- Net cashflow
- $-73
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,250
- Closing costs
- $6,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Forrest Pointe Dr East Greenbush, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1193 | $2,889 | $2.42 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 15 Forrest Dr Rensselaer, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,300 | $2.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 7 Elm Ct Rensselaer, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 829 | $1,830 | $2.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 1370-char remark
-
2026-05-07$229,000 Active 1370-char remark
-
2003-02-27soldstatus $82,000 178-char remark
Show marketing remark (178 chars)
GREAT STARTER HOME FOR THE MONEY! LARGE ROOMS. GAS HEAT & HOT WATER. WALK UP ATTIC. OVERSIZE 2 CAR GARAGE. CALL JOHN MOONEY FOR MORE INFO...VM 342-7756 -- Very Good Condition
-
2002-12-17historical 178-char remark
Show marketing remark (178 chars)
GREAT STARTER HOME FOR THE MONEY! LARGE ROOMS. GAS HEAT & HOT WATER. WALK UP ATTIC. OVERSIZE 2 CAR GARAGE. CALL JOHN MOONEY FOR MORE INFO...VM 342-7756 -- Very Good Condition
-
2002-12-12$84,900 178-char remark
Show marketing remark (178 chars)
GREAT STARTER HOME FOR THE MONEY! LARGE ROOMS. GAS HEAT & HOT WATER. WALK UP ATTIC. OVERSIZE 2 CAR GARAGE. CALL JOHN MOONEY FOR MORE INFO...VM 342-7756 -- Very Good Condition
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,007 · $417/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,007 · $417/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,912
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,828
- − Property taxes
- −$5,007
- − Insurance
- −$1,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,993
- − Management
- −$1,993
- − Depreciation
- −$6,662
- Taxable loss
- −$4,714
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,131
- After-tax cash flow
- $250/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Greenbush Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609630
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,174
- Composite
- 61.16/100
- National rank
- #783
- State rank
- #132 of 590 in NY
Livability — Hampton Manor
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #189
- US rank
- #2794
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hampton Manor, NY
- County
- Rensselaer County · 75,590 people
- City population
- 21,631
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,111
- Household income
- $90,738
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 541.0
Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,400 people
- By 2030
- 161,746 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 158,095 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 152,966 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 140,767 · -13.3%
- By 2100
- 124,727 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Two or more races 8% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 6% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Philippines, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.26%
- Current HPI
- 276.2239
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.90%
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+169.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $229,000 Global MLS
- 2003-02-27 Sold (MLS) $82,000 Global MLS
- 2002-12-17 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2002-12-12 Listed $84,900 Global MLS
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $5,007 · +13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…