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9 Ridge Rd
D+ Composite 49.19
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.5/30.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,000

9 Ridge Rd · Hampton Manor, NY 12144
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1946 0.45 ac lot $239/sqft · at area comps Est $278k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

GREAT STARTER HOME FOR THE MONEY! LARGE ROOMS. GAS HEAT & HOT WATER. WALK UP ATTIC. OVERSIZE 2 CAR GARAGE. CALL JOHN MOONEY FOR MORE INFO...VM 342-7756 -- Very Good Condition

Key facts

  • Flexible layout
  • Bonus room
  • Pellet stove

Tags

FLEXIBLE LAYOUTBONUS ROOMPRIVATE PRIMARY BEDROOMWALK-UP ATTICNEWER ON-DEMAND BOILERPELLET STOVE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 2-car garage spaces; Total of 8 parking spaces; Carport; Driveway; Off-street parking; Workshop and storage space in garage; Paved
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; First-floor entry
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Metal roof; Built living area approximately 1,168
  • Exterior features: Pressure-treated deck; Rear porch and front porch; Paved driveway/drive-paved; Exterior lighting; Shed(s) and storage; Garage(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas heating; Pellet stove; Radiant heating
  • Interior features: Entry; Living room; Other main-level room; Full basement with interior entry (unfinished); 8 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Tankless water heater; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-73 ($-882/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (5.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (9.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $208k (9.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 1.9% in Hampton Manor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#189 in NY, #2,794 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • East Greenbush Central School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #132 of 590 in NY (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Columbia High School (math 97% / reading 87%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 1,252 students, 27% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 92% at this address vs 70% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the East Greenbush Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 102 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $82k; list at $229k implies a 179% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $207,604 (9.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
5.91%
Cash-on-cash
-1.37%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$278,177
List price
$229,000
Delta
-17.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
257 Lake Shore Dr 0.53mi 2/1.0 962 (+0%) 5mo $245,000 $255 71
236 E Hudson Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 992 (+3%) 1mo $247,000 $249 64
3 Linden Ave 0.30mi 2/1.0 852 (-11%) 6mo $280,000 $329 62
216 Hudson Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (0%) 7mo $154,000 $160 62
55 Sherwood Ave 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,034 (+8%) 8mo $246,000 $238 58
11 Rhode Island Ave 0.55mi 2/1.5 884 (-8%) 2mo $236,000 $267 58
8 Riverview Ter 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (+5%) 15mo $262,000 $260 54
43 Sherwood Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,100 (+15%) 0mo $311,896 $284 50
231 Washington Ave E 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 875 (-9%) 3mo $180,000 $206 49
26 New Jersey Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,092 (+14%) 14mo $300,000 $275 41
222 E Madison Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,080 (+12%) 6mo $175,000 $162 40
5 New Hampshire Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,098 (+14%) 7mo $265,000 $241 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.1%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-45,971
Equity at exit
$34,145
10-year hold
IRR
-20.8%
Equity multiple
0.03×
Total profit
$-62,505
Equity at exit
$19,800

Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12144

Home prices YoY
-33.4%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,076 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,201
Tax from tax record
$417 /mo · $5,007/yr
Insurance
$95
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$436
Net cashflow
$-73

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,169
Max offer price $216,023
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,250
Closing costs
$6,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1 Forrest Pointe Dr East Greenbush, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1193 $2,889 $2.42 14d 1 1.05mi
15 Forrest Dr Rensselaer, NY 1.0 1.0 600 $1,300 $2.17 44d 1 1.18mi
7 Elm Ct Rensselaer, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 829 $1,830 $2.21 14d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 1370-char remark
  2. 2026-05-07
    listed $229,000 Active 1370-char remark
  3. 2003-02-27
    soldstatus $82,000 178-char remark
    Show marketing remark (178 chars)

    GREAT STARTER HOME FOR THE MONEY! LARGE ROOMS. GAS HEAT & HOT WATER. WALK UP ATTIC. OVERSIZE 2 CAR GARAGE. CALL JOHN MOONEY FOR MORE INFO...VM 342-7756 -- Very Good Condition

  4. 2002-12-17
    historical 178-char remark
    Show marketing remark (178 chars)

    GREAT STARTER HOME FOR THE MONEY! LARGE ROOMS. GAS HEAT & HOT WATER. WALK UP ATTIC. OVERSIZE 2 CAR GARAGE. CALL JOHN MOONEY FOR MORE INFO...VM 342-7756 -- Very Good Condition

  5. 2002-12-12
    listed $84,900 178-char remark
    Show marketing remark (178 chars)

    GREAT STARTER HOME FOR THE MONEY! LARGE ROOMS. GAS HEAT & HOT WATER. WALK UP ATTIC. OVERSIZE 2 CAR GARAGE. CALL JOHN MOONEY FOR MORE INFO...VM 342-7756 -- Very Good Condition

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,007 · $417/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,007 · $417/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,912
− Mortgage interest
−$12,828
− Property taxes
−$5,007
− Insurance
−$1,145
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,993
− Management
−$1,993
− Depreciation
−$6,662
Taxable loss
−$4,714
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,131
After-tax cash flow
$250/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Greenbush Central School District
NCES district ID
3609630
Math proficiency
68% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$73,174
Composite
61.16/100
National rank
#783
State rank
#132 of 590 in NY

Livability — Hampton Manor

Score
77/100
State rank
#189
US rank
#2794

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime C+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hampton Manor, NY
County
Rensselaer County · 75,590 people
City population
21,631
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Population (ZIP)
22,111
Household income
$90,738
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
541.0

Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
162,400 people
By 2030
161,746 · -0.4%
By 2040
158,095 · -2.7%
By 2050
152,966 · -5.8%
By 2075
140,767 · -13.3%
By 2100
124,727 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Two or more races 8% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 6% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Philippines, Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.26%
Current HPI
276.2239
Rent YoY
▲ 0.90%
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+169.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $229,000 Global MLS
  • 2003-02-27 Sold (MLS) $82,000 Global MLS
  • 2002-12-17 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2002-12-12 Listed $84,900 Global MLS

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,007 · +13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…