2600 W Michigan Ave Unit 448C · Bellview, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.7/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$76,400
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as a clubhouse, a basketball court, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Basketball court
- Modern bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $75,900
Exterior
- Utilities: Electric service; Central air for cooling
- Home design: Condominium (unit at 2600 W Michigan Ave Unit 448C, Pensacola, FL); Spec home / model plan 93276; Active listing
- Construction: Living area approximately 1216
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 2 total bathrooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $76k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $858 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $76k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.8% vs local median 5.2% in Bellview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#561 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 417 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $528 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.13%
- DSCR
- 3.14
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $75,000
- List price
- $76,400
- Delta
- 1.87%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.10×
- Total profit
- $44,832
- Equity at exit
- $11,391
- IRR
- 53.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.62×
- Total profit
- $120,247
- Equity at exit
- $6,606
Cash invested: $21,392 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32526
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 417
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,754 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$401
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$96 /mo · $1,146/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$368
- Net cashflow
- $858
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,100
- Closing costs
- $2,292
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5877 Tryton Cir Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $1,825 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2300 W Michigan Ave #12 Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2355 W Michigan Ave Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,450 | $1.71 | 13d | 9 | 0.53mi |
| 5602 W Shore Dr Unit B Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,250 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2303 W Michigan Ave Unit A6 Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,300 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 6322 Louisville Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $2,147 | $2.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2301 W Michigan Ave #21 Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1164 | $1,325 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5472 Dover Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,300 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 6201 Forest Pines Dr Unit D Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 857 | $1,275 | $1.49 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 925 Twinbrook Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $1,750 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5207 Charbar Dr Unit B Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 6225 Mobile Hwy Pensacola, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1036 | $2,595 | $2.50 | 13d | 15 | 1.20mi |
| 2702 Massachusetts Ave Pensacola, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1150 | $1,745 | $1.52 | 13d | 9 | 1.23mi |
| 902 Lucerne Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 918 Montclair Rd Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,500 | $1.48 | 13d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3216 Two Sisters Way Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1117 | $1,700 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 6081 Royal Port Ct Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $1,850 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $76,400 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $76,400 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $76,400 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $76,400 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $76,400 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $76,400 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $76,400 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $76,400 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $76,400 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $76,400 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $76,400 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $76,400 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,900 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-13$75,900 Active 473-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,052
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,280
- − Property taxes
- −$1,146
- − Insurance
- −$382
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,684
- − Management
- −$1,684
- − Depreciation
- −$2,223
- Taxable income
- $9,654
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,317
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,979/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This brand new 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal maintenance required. Upgrades in paint, landscaping, appliances, and flooring can significantly increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/tenants.
- Resale Upgrading the appliances — Modern appliances can appeal to a broader range of buyers and increase the home's value.
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and value, both for resale and rental purposes.
- Both Upgrading the flooring — Upgrading the flooring can improve the home's appearance and increase its value for both resale and rental purposes.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the appliances — Modern appliances can appeal to a broader range of buyers and increase the home's value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and value, both for resale and rental purposes. ↑
- Both Upgrading the flooring — Upgrading the flooring can improve the home's appearance and increase its value for both resale and rental purposes. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bellview
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #561
- US rank
- #10731
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bellview, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,680
- Household income
- $75,098
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1166.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 19% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.68%
- Current HPI
- 252.6406
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.42%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…