3922 Evergreen St · Columbus, GA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.27 acre lot
- Listed 3 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Pine Hill subdivision; Directions: From Victory Dr, turn north on Fort Benning Rd, turn right on Trask Dr, turn right on Evergreen St; house is on the right
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential; Residential property
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Level lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $528 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Cap rate 16.0% vs local median 4.7% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, crime F.
- Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,237/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 1878% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.82%
- DSCR
- 2.55
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $79,464
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3976 Mosley Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,936 (+7%) | 10mo | $68,000 | $35 | 62 |
| 3915 Mosley Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,793 (-1%) | 20mo | $50,000 | $28 | 61 |
| 4031 Calhoun Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,630 (-10%) | 21mo | $100,000 | $61 | 49 |
| 1474 Brewer Ave | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,549 (-14%) | 8mo | $129,000 | $83 | 48 |
| 4152 Bellamy St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,596 (-12%) | 18mo | $126,500 | $79 | 46 |
| 2353 Shelby St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-13%) | 4mo | $69,500 | $44 | 42 |
| 20 Muscogee Dr | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,550 (-14%) | 18mo | $55,000 | $35 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $21,671
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 35.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.10×
- Total profit
- $56,441
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31903
- Home prices YoY
- -14.5%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,237 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $528
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Eddy Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1348 | $900 | $0.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 909 Farr Rd Columbus, GA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1200 | $777 | $0.65 | 20d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2885 Ramsey Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $1,075 | $0.83 | 13d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4224 Ridgefield Ct Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1465 | $1,650 | $1.13 | 20d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2829 Ramsey Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1252 | $1,100 | $0.88 | 13d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3320 N Lumpkin Rd Columbus, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,099 | $1.00 | 13d | 8 | 1.35mi |
| 243 Oakley Ct Columbus, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1005 | $1,149 | $1.14 | 13d | 6 | 1.38mi |
| 210 Playa Delray Dr Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1916 | $1,900 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2823 Lee St Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $1,500 | $1.13 | 20d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $65,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $65,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03$65,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,845
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,188
- − Management
- −$1,188
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $5,638
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,353
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,984/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muscogee County
- NCES district ID
- 1303870
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,176
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8297
- State rank
- #120 of 174 in GA
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #254
- US rank
- #14102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, GA
- County
- Muscogee County · 180,764 people
- City population
- 180,764
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,644
- Household income
- $32,401
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1878.0
Population outlook (Muscogee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 216,729 people
- By 2030
- 224,504 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 238,318 · +10.0%
- By 2050
- 249,027 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 264,862 · +22.2%
- By 2100
- 254,786 · +17.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% Hispanic / Latino 11% White 9% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Muscogee
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 61.4% · R 38.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.7pp toward D · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.30%
- Current HPI
- 131.4761
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.82%
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $65,000 CBOR
Property tax history
-34.1%/yrLatest (2025): $12 · +10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…