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129 Rock Bass Dr
B Composite 73.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$85,000

129 Rock Bass Dr · Rockland, PA 16374
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 69 Days on market
Built 1900 0.31 ac lot $51/sqft · 10% below area Est $95k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tucked away in the quiet countryside of Kennerdell, this property offers the perfect blend of privacy, nature, and rural charm. Situated along peaceful Rock Bass Drive, you'll enjoy a serene setting surrounded by wooded landscapes and the natural beauty that Venango County is known for. This home provides a comfortable layout ideal for year-round living or a relaxing getaway. The property offers a spacious yard with room to enjoy outdoor activities, gardening, or simply taking in the tranquil surroundings. Whether you're looking for a primary residence, hunting camp, or weekend retreat, this location delivers. Conveniently located within a short drive to Franklin and the Allegheny River, you'll have access to local amenities while still enjoying the peace and quiet of country living. The area is known for its outdoor recreation opportunities including fishing, kayaking, hiking, and wildlife viewing.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Wooded landscapes
  • 0.31 acre lot

Tags

SPACIOUS YARDWOODED LANDSCAPES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cranberry Area SD (rural): math 32% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #327 of 539 in PA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Venango County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $589 appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
  • Venango County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.04%
Cash-on-cash
13.39%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$94,563
List price
$85,000
Delta
-10.11%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

0.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$17,249
Equity at exit
$27,670
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
3.15×
Total profit
$51,260
Equity at exit
$35,750

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16374

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,063 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,116/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$266

Break-even live

Break-even rent $727
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 69 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 64 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $85,000 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 59 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 58 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 57 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $85,000 Active 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 53 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 52 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 51 DOM
  15. 2026-04-10
    listed $85,000 Active 912-char remark
    Show marketing remark (912 chars)

    Tucked away in the quiet countryside of Kennerdell, this property offers the perfect blend of privacy, nature, and rural charm. Situated along peaceful Rock Bass Drive, you'll enjoy a serene setting surrounded by wooded landscapes and the natural beauty that Venango County is known for. This home provides a comfortable layout ideal for year-round living or a relaxing getaway. The property offers a spacious yard with room to enjoy outdoor activities, gardening, or simply taking in the tranquil surroundings. Whether you're looking for a primary residence, hunting camp, or weekend retreat, this location delivers. Conveniently located within a short drive to Franklin and the Allegheny River, you'll have access to local amenities while still enjoying the peace and quiet of country living. The area is known for its outdoor recreation opportunities including fishing, kayaking, hiking, and wildlife viewing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,116 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,230 · $102/mo
Expected delta
+$113/yr (+$9/mo · 10.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,757
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,116
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,021
− Management
−$1,021
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$1,940
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$466
After-tax cash flow
$2,722/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cranberry Area SD
NCES district ID
4207050
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$47,410
Composite
35.82/100
National rank
#4827
State rank
#327 of 539 in PA

Livability — Rockland

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,643

Population outlook (Venango County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,827 people
By 2030
46,061 · -5.7%
By 2040
39,989 · -18.1%
By 2050
34,094 · -30.2%
By 2075
22,500 · -53.9%
By 2100
13,659 · -72.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Venango

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+41.4 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.69%
Current HPI
251.3689
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $85,000 AVBREALTORS

Property tax history

-3.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,116 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…