8111 Colorado St Unit D · Oscoda, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Villages of Oscoda ~ Great location right on the corner which gives you a extra large lot and privacy. 3 bedrooms 1.5 bathrooms, Well maintained unit, Move in ready. Beautiful Hardwood flooring thru out the unit. this unit has a basement and a beautiful built bar down there that will stay with the sale. 1 car garage 16 x 14 Deck off the back of unit Association dues are $77 monthly which include lawn care, garbage pick, upkeep of trails and parkways and clubhouse. This is really a Maintence free living with no grass to cut, you just take care of the inside of your unit.
Key facts
- Deck off the back
- Basement
- Extra large lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 2.8% in Oscoda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#641 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Oscoda Area Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #313 of 540 in MI (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Iosco County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Iosco County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.03%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $105,434
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -0.41%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8005B N Alaska St | 0.10mi | 3/1.5 | 1,328 (+6%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $79 | 84 |
| 8005B N Alaska St #15 | 0.10mi | 3/1.5 | 1,328 (+6%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $79 | 84 |
| 8013 S Alaska St Unit A | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 | 1,255 (0%) | 20mo | $96,000 | $76 | 79 |
| 8013 S Alaska St | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 | 1,255 (0%) | 20mo | $96,000 | $76 | 79 |
| 9306 Maryland St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,274 (+2%) | 1mo | $102,000 | $80 | 77 |
| 9306 Maryland St Unit A | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,274 (+2%) | 1mo | $102,000 | $80 | 76 |
| 9502 B Montana St Lot : 542 | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,262 (+1%) | 0mo | $125,000 | $99 | 73 |
| 9502 B Montana St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,262 (+1%) | 0mo | $125,000 | $99 | 73 |
| 5523 Heather St Lot : 21&22 | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,278 (+2%) | 18mo | $215,000 | $168 | 45 |
| 10409 South Carolina St | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,170 (-7%) | 21mo | $130,000 | $111 | 36 |
| 4557 F-41 | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+12%) | 14mo | $230,000 | $164 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,356
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $19,018
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48750
- Active inventory
- 128
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,219 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $549/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$77
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $246
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $77 · $924/yr
- Likely covers
- trashlandscaping
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-04days on market $105,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-04-20price $105,000 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
Villages of Oscoda ~ Great location right on the corner which gives you a extra large lot and privacy. 3 bedrooms 1.5 bathrooms, Well maintained unit, Move in ready. Beautiful Hardwood flooring thru out the unit. this unit has a basement and a beautiful built bar down there that will stay with the sale. 1 car garage 16 x 14 Deck off the back of unit Association dues are $77 monthly which include lawn care, garbage pick, upkeep of trails and parkways and clubhouse. This is really a Maintence free living with no grass to cut, you just take care of the inside of your unit.
-
2026-03-06price $110,000 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
Villages of Oscoda ~ Great location right on the corner which gives you a extra large lot and privacy. 3 bedrooms 1.5 bathrooms, Well maintained unit, Move in ready. Beautiful Hardwood flooring thru out the unit. this unit has a basement and a beautiful built bar down there that will stay with the sale. 1 car garage 16 x 14 Deck off the back of unit Association dues are $77 monthly which include lawn care, garbage pick, upkeep of trails and parkways and clubhouse. This is really a Maintence free living with no grass to cut, you just take care of the inside of your unit.
-
2026-02-04$115,000 Active 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
Villages of Oscoda ~ Great location right on the corner which gives you a extra large lot and privacy. 3 bedrooms 1.5 bathrooms, Well maintained unit, Move in ready. Beautiful Hardwood flooring thru out the unit. this unit has a basement and a beautiful built bar down there that will stay with the sale. 1 car garage 16 x 14 Deck off the back of unit Association dues are $77 monthly which include lawn care, garbage pick, upkeep of trails and parkways and clubhouse. This is really a Maintence free living with no grass to cut, you just take care of the inside of your unit.
-
2022-03-22soldstatus $95,000
-
2022-03-21soldstatus $95,000 595-char remark
Show marketing remark (595 chars)
Villages of Oscoda ~ Great location right on the corner which gives you a extra large lot and privacy. 3 bedrooms 1.5 bathrooms, Well maintained unit, very clean ready to move into. Beautiful Hardwood flooring thru out the unit. Unit comes furnished and with all appliances, 1 car garage(which is spotless) 16 x 14 Deck off the back of unit along with a storage shed. Association dues are $60.00 monthly which include lawn care, garbage pick, upkeep of trails and parkways and clubhouse. This is really a Maintence free living with no grass to cut, you just take care of the inside of your unit.
-
2022-03-21soldstatus $95,000
Show marketing remark (595 chars)
Villages of Oscoda ~ Great location right on the corner which gives you a extra large lot and privacy. 3 bedrooms 1.5 bathrooms, Well maintained unit, very clean ready to move into. Beautiful Hardwood flooring thru out the unit. Unit comes furnished and with all appliances, 1 car garage(which is spotless) 16 x 14 Deck off the back of unit along with a storage shed. Association dues are $60.00 monthly which include lawn care, garbage pick, upkeep of trails and parkways and clubhouse. This is really a Maintence free living with no grass to cut, you just take care of the inside of your unit.
-
2022-01-03$92,000 595-char remark
Show marketing remark (595 chars)
Villages of Oscoda ~ Great location right on the corner which gives you a extra large lot and privacy. 3 bedrooms 1.5 bathrooms, Well maintained unit, very clean ready to move into. Beautiful Hardwood flooring thru out the unit. Unit comes furnished and with all appliances, 1 car garage(which is spotless) 16 x 14 Deck off the back of unit along with a storage shed. Association dues are $60.00 monthly which include lawn care, garbage pick, upkeep of trails and parkways and clubhouse. This is really a Maintence free living with no grass to cut, you just take care of the inside of your unit.
-
2022-01-03$92,000
Show marketing remark (595 chars)
Villages of Oscoda ~ Great location right on the corner which gives you a extra large lot and privacy. 3 bedrooms 1.5 bathrooms, Well maintained unit, very clean ready to move into. Beautiful Hardwood flooring thru out the unit. Unit comes furnished and with all appliances, 1 car garage(which is spotless) 16 x 14 Deck off the back of unit along with a storage shed. Association dues are $60.00 monthly which include lawn care, garbage pick, upkeep of trails and parkways and clubhouse. This is really a Maintence free living with no grass to cut, you just take care of the inside of your unit.
-
2021-10-20soldstatus $80,000
-
2010-11-01soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $549 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,083 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$534/yr (+$44/mo · 97.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,624
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$549
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,170
- − Management
- −$1,170
- − HOA
- −$924
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $1,350
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$324
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,624/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oscoda Area Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2626970
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,275
- Composite
- 28.6/100
- National rank
- #6714
- State rank
- #313 of 540 in MI
Livability — Oscoda
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #641
- US rank
- #21680
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,281
Population outlook (Iosco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,366 people
- By 2030
- 23,622 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 22,021 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 20,877 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 18,792 · -22.9%
- By 2100
- 15,465 · -36.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Iosco
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.6) · D 34.0% · R 64.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.7pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -30.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.6 2020: R+28.6 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+5.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.75%
- Current HPI
- 157.6759
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+228.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $105,000 WWMLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $110,000 WWMLS
- 2026-02-04 Listed $115,000 WWMLS
- 2022-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2022-03-21 Sold (MLS) $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-21 Sold (MLS) $95,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-01-03 Listed $92,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-03 Listed $92,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2010-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $549 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…