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210 Steel Magnolia Ln
D+ Composite 48.72
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +9.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$242,500

210 Steel Magnolia Ln · Anacoco, LA 71403
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,423 sqft · SingleFamily · 954 Days on market
Built 2023 $170/sqft · 6% below area Est $259k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your dream home in the charming Magnolia Place subdivision in Anacoco! Just a quick 15-minute drive from the Fort Johnson main gate, this brand new construction offers the perfect blend of convenience and tranquility. Step into this inviting three-bedroom, two-bathroom sanctuary that boasts an open floor plan, creating a spacious and welcoming atmosphere for all your gatherings. The beautiful color scheme throughout the home adds a touch of modern elegance, making every corner a delight to behold. Situated on a generous one-acre lot, there's plenty of room to roam and enjoy the great outdoors. Whether you're savoring your morning coffee on the covered patio, hosting a barbecue with friends and family, this home offers the perfect backdrop for creating lasting memories.

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 2023
  • Listed 953 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $242k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-99 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $225k (7.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (21.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $192k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#81 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Vernon Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #18 of 98 in LA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Vernon Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
  • Vernon County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 954 days — a 12% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $191,527 (21.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 954 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.80%
Cash-on-cash
-1.75%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$258,994
List price
$242,500
Delta
-6.37%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

8.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$96,165
Equity at exit
$187,003
10-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
5.18×
Total profit
$283,813
Equity at exit
$373,872

Cash invested: $67,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71403

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,915 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,272
Tax from tax record
$240 /mo · $2,875/yr
Insurance
$101
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$-99

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,041
Max offer price $224,959
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,625
Closing costs
$7,275
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $242,500 Active 954 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $242,500 Active 953 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $242,500 Active 952 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $242,500 Active 951 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $242,500 Active 950 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $242,500 Active 948 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $242,500 Active 947 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $242,500 Active 944 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $242,500 Active 943 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $242,500 Active 942 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $242,500 Active 941 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $242,500 Active 938 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $242,500 Active 937 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $242,500 Active 936 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $242,500 Active 935 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $242,500 Active 934 DOM
  17. 2024-08-26
    soldstatus Closed 790-char remark
    Show marketing remark (790 chars)

    Welcome to your dream home in the charming Magnolia Place subdivision in Anacoco! Just a quick 15-minute drive from the Fort Johnson main gate, this brand new construction offers the perfect blend of convenience and tranquility. Step into this inviting three-bedroom, two-bathroom sanctuary that boasts an open floor plan, creating a spacious and welcoming atmosphere for all your gatherings. The beautiful color scheme throughout the home adds a touch of modern elegance, making every corner a delight to behold. Situated on a generous one-acre lot, there's plenty of room to roam and enjoy the great outdoors. Whether you're savoring your morning coffee on the covered patio, hosting a barbecue with friends and family, this home offers the perfect backdrop for creating lasting memories.

  18. 2024-08-22
    soldstatus $239,000
  19. 2024-04-08
    status Active 790-char remark
    Show marketing remark (790 chars)

    Welcome to your dream home in the charming Magnolia Place subdivision in Anacoco! Just a quick 15-minute drive from the Fort Johnson main gate, this brand new construction offers the perfect blend of convenience and tranquility. Step into this inviting three-bedroom, two-bathroom sanctuary that boasts an open floor plan, creating a spacious and welcoming atmosphere for all your gatherings. The beautiful color scheme throughout the home adds a touch of modern elegance, making every corner a delight to behold. Situated on a generous one-acre lot, there's plenty of room to roam and enjoy the great outdoors. Whether you're savoring your morning coffee on the covered patio, hosting a barbecue with friends and family, this home offers the perfect backdrop for creating lasting memories.

  20. 2024-03-03
    status Active 790-char remark
    Show marketing remark (790 chars)

    Welcome to your dream home in the charming Magnolia Place subdivision in Anacoco! Just a quick 15-minute drive from the Fort Johnson main gate, this brand new construction offers the perfect blend of convenience and tranquility. Step into this inviting three-bedroom, two-bathroom sanctuary that boasts an open floor plan, creating a spacious and welcoming atmosphere for all your gatherings. The beautiful color scheme throughout the home adds a touch of modern elegance, making every corner a delight to behold. Situated on a generous one-acre lot, there's plenty of room to roam and enjoy the great outdoors. Whether you're savoring your morning coffee on the covered patio, hosting a barbecue with friends and family, this home offers the perfect backdrop for creating lasting memories.

  21. 2023-11-08
    listed $242,500 Active 135-char remark
    Show marketing remark (135 chars)

    Open floor plan - Stainless steel appliances - Custom built cabinets - Granite cabinets - Waterproof flooring - Spacious walk-in closet

  22. 2023-09-02
    listed $239,000 Active 790-char remark
    Show marketing remark (790 chars)

    Welcome to your dream home in the charming Magnolia Place subdivision in Anacoco! Just a quick 15-minute drive from the Fort Johnson main gate, this brand new construction offers the perfect blend of convenience and tranquility. Step into this inviting three-bedroom, two-bathroom sanctuary that boasts an open floor plan, creating a spacious and welcoming atmosphere for all your gatherings. The beautiful color scheme throughout the home adds a touch of modern elegance, making every corner a delight to behold. Situated on a generous one-acre lot, there's plenty of room to roam and enjoy the great outdoors. Whether you're savoring your morning coffee on the covered patio, hosting a barbecue with friends and family, this home offers the perfect backdrop for creating lasting memories.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,875 · $240/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,875 · $240/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,983
− Mortgage interest
−$13,584
− Property taxes
−$2,875
− Insurance
−$1,212
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,839
− Management
−$1,839
− Depreciation
−$7,055
Taxable loss
−$5,420
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,301
After-tax cash flow
$109/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vernon Parish
NCES district ID
2201830
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -42.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -32.00%
Median HH income
$44,822
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4674
State rank
#18 of 98 in LA

Livability — Anacoco

Score
69/100
State rank
#81
US rank
#9004

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,792

Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,401 people
By 2030
43,015 · -5.3%
By 2040
38,171 · -15.9%
By 2050
34,087 · -24.9%
By 2075
28,267 · -37.7%
By 2100
25,486 · -43.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vernon

2024 margin
Solid R (+67.9) · D 15.6% · R 83.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.5pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -67.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+67.9 2020: R+64.9 2016: R+65.0 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.17%
Current HPI
186.1416
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2024-08-26 Sold (MLS) GFPAR
  • 2024-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $239,000 Public Records
  • 2024-04-08 Relisted GFPAR
  • 2024-03-03 Relisted GFPAR
  • 2023-11-08 Listed $242,500 Zillow
  • 2023-09-02 Listed $239,000 GFPAR

Property tax history

+847.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,875 · +847.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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