1219 Western Ave · Cedar Falls, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.2/30.0
- ARV discount +10.7/15.0
- Schools +6.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Here is a great opportunity if you are looking for almost a 1/2 acre in town with multiple out buildings including an RV garage. The home itself has great curb appeal with a lovely bay window that allows the sun into the spacious living/dining area that also has the sliding doors that lead you to the patio then newer driveway and garages. This space is also winter ready with a wood burning stove and is open to the kitchen. The one bedroom is quite large and the second could double as a multi use space as it is complete with a washer and dryer. The full bath is spacious and has a double shower and the 1/2 bath is ample size also. The lower level is ready for a refinish and it is complete wit
Key facts
- Multi use space
- Double shower
- Bay window
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (3 spaces); RV access/parking; Oversized detached parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service; Natural gas
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; R-1 zoning
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle (asphalt) roof; Built with traditional foundation (concrete basement)
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Concrete road/driveway
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Natural gas heating; Wood stove heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Wood burning stove; Smoke detector(s); Partially finished concrete basement with interior entry
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on main level; Gas dryer hookup; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-69 ($-826/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $168k (6.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (21.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.1% in Cedar Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#60 in IA, #1,357 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- Cedar Falls Community School District (urban): math 76% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #45 of 289 in IA (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: North Cedar Elementary School (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A-, #224 of 616 statewide, top 42%, 260 students, 50% FRL); Holmes Junior High School (math 79% / reading 78%, grade A+, #44 of 246 statewide, top 19%, 639 students, 28% FRL); Cedar Falls High School (math 74% / reading 78%, grade A-, #75 of 336 statewide, top 23%, 1,302 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools average 34% FRL vs 18% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 387 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.64%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $193,865
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2920 Center St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 1,379 (+3%) | 3mo | $161,000 | $117 | 72 |
| 2111 Vine St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+8%) | 6mo | $192,500 | $134 | 62 |
| 2721 Hiawatha Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,413 (+6%) | 20mo | $205,000 | $145 | 54 |
| 1207 Minnehaha Lane Ln | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,244 (-7%) | 12mo | $231,500 | $186 | 52 |
| 2713 Center St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,214 (-9%) | 24mo | $169,500 | $140 | 39 |
| 2009 Central Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+8%) | 21mo | $239,000 | $166 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-35,017
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-42,022
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50613
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 387
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,411 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$164 /mo · $1,974/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $-69
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $33 | -5% $-18 | +0% $-69 | +5% $-120 | +10% $-171 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-180 | -5% $-125 | +0% $-69 | +5% $-13 | +10% $43 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $22 | -0.5pp $-23 | base $-69 | +0.5pp $-116 | +1.0pp $-163 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $180,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $180,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-15$180,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,974 · $164/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,400 · $200/mo
- Expected delta
- +$426/yr (+$36/mo · 21.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,930
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$1,974
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,354
- − Management
- −$1,354
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$3,972
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$953
- After-tax cash flow
- $127/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cedar Falls Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1906510
- Math proficiency
- 76% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,634
- Composite
- 65.93/100
- National rank
- #443
- State rank
- #45 of 289 in IA
Livability — Cedar Falls
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #60
- US rank
- #1357
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cedar Falls, IA
- County
- Black Hawk County · 112,933 people
- City population
- 43,867
- Metro
- Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,867
- Household income
- $78,503
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1514.0
Population outlook (Black Hawk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 139,716 people
- By 2030
- 142,853 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 147,843 · +5.8%
- By 2050
- 153,247 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 167,977 · +20.2%
- By 2100
- 177,320 · +26.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Asian 3% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Italian 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Black Hawk
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.3pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 1.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.2 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.3 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -175.51%
- Current HPI
- 169.0591
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.97%
- Metro
- Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $180,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2019): $1,974 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…