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10351 Bowman Ave
B Composite 70.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

10351 Bowman Ave · Ensley, FL 32534
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,612 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1976 0.33 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BRICK HOME LOCATED CLOSE TO SHOPPING, NAS PENSACOLA, CORRY STATION,UWF AND I- 10.THIS PROPERTY HAS GOOD POTENTIAL FOR THE RIGHT BUYER. PURCHASE THIS PROPERTY FOR AS LITTLE AS 3% DOWN.

Key facts

  • 0.33 acre lot
  • Built 1976
  • Listed 21 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with open parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: One-story brick residence; Resale property; Not attached to another property; County-maintained road access
  • Construction: Built on a slab foundation; Metal roof; Brick construction; One level
  • Exterior features: Interior lot; Does not allow horses

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen feature details provided
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the first floor (approximately 7 x 7)
  • Flooring: Flooring details listed in remarks
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (bathrooms located on the first floor)
  • Interior features: Storage
  • Laundry & utility: No water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.9% vs local median 4.6% in Ensley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#133 in FL, #1,996 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, schools F.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $39k; list at $60k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,100 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.18%
Cap rate
28.94%
Cash-on-cash
80.89%
DSCR
4.60
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$298,220
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3346 Bliss Ln Unit 8A 0.40mi 3/2.5 1,648 (+2%) 8mo $317,900 $193 69
1762 Leigh Loop Unit 2D 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,717 (+6%) 9mo $318,750 $186 62
3362 Bliss Ln Unit 4A 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,425 (-12%) 4mo $314,030 $220 59
1778 Leigh Loop Unit 6D 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,425 (-12%) 7mo $306,000 $215 54
535 Evening Falls Dr 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,428 (-11%) 9mo $233,000 $163 53
3359 Bliss Ln Unit 4E 0.37mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,820 (+13%) 6mo $332,300 $183 51
3367 Bliss Ln Unit 2E 0.37mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,820 (+13%) 6mo $333,170 $183 51
3330 Bliss Ln Unit 12A 0.41mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,817 (+13%) 4mo $336,800 $185 50
3338 Bliss Ln Unit 10A 0.41mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,817 (+13%) 5mo $333,100 $183 49
1774 Leigh Loop Unit 5D 0.43mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,817 (+13%) 6mo $333,200 $183 47
3844 Stefani Rd 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,426 (-12%) 1mo $215,000 $151 44
1403 Twilight Dr 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,820 (+13%) 5mo $350,000 $192 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
81.8%
Equity multiple
4.79×
Total profit
$63,623
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
85.3%
Equity multiple
10.13×
Total profit
$153,344
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32534

Home prices YoY
-19.1%
Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,906 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $404/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$1,132

Break-even live

Break-even rent $473
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 36%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,166 -5% $1,149 +0% $1,132 +5% $1,115 +10% $1,098
Rent -10% $982 -5% $1,057 +0% $1,132 +5% $1,208 +10% $1,283
Rate -1.0pp $1,163 -0.5pp $1,148 base $1,132 +0.5pp $1,117 +1.0pp $1,101

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1229 W Ten Mile Rd Cantonment, FL 3.0 2.0 1528 $2,000 $1.31 24d 1 0.38mi
3310 Bliss Ln Cantonment, FL 3.0 2.0 1491 $2,100 $1.41 15d 1 0.41mi
9980 Bowman Ave Unit N Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,595 $1.39 22d 1 0.57mi
9980 Bowman Ave Unit L Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,595 $1.39 15d 1 0.57mi
217 Cohasset Ct Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1391 $1,875 $1.35 15d 1 0.87mi
10493 River Birch Dr Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.0 1053 $1,525 $1.45 24d 1 0.89mi
28 Easton St Cantonment, FL 3.0 2.0 1695 $1,850 $1.09 15d 1 1.10mi
1431 W Nine Mile Rd Pensacola, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $1,780 $1.75 15d 12 1.18mi
1559 W Nine Mile Rd Pensacola, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 894 $2,280 $2.55 15d 31 1.26mi
1524 Farragut Way Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.5 1537 $1,750 $1.14 15d 1 1.30mi
8980 Brigade Trl Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.5 1537 $1,725 $1.12 24d 1 1.34mi
8980 Brigade Trl Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.5 1537 $1,725 $1.12 22d 1 1.34mi
8932 Abbington Dr Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1576 $2,015 $1.28 24d 1 1.43mi
8932 Brigade Trl Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.5 1530 $1,825 $1.19 24d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $60,000 Pending 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Contingent 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Contingent 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $60,000 Contingent 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $60,000 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $60,000 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-26
    listed $69,900 Active
  15. 2013-07-15
    soldstatus $39,000 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    BRICK HOME LOCATED CLOSE TO SHOPPING, NAS PENSACOLA, CORRY STATION,UWF AND I- 10.THIS PROPERTY HAS GOOD POTENTIAL FOR THE RIGHT BUYER. PURCHASE THIS PROPERTY FOR AS LITTLE AS 3% DOWN.

  16. 2013-02-26
    listed $49,900 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    BRICK HOME LOCATED CLOSE TO SHOPPING, NAS PENSACOLA, CORRY STATION,UWF AND I- 10.THIS PROPERTY HAS GOOD POTENTIAL FOR THE RIGHT BUYER. PURCHASE THIS PROPERTY FOR AS LITTLE AS 3% DOWN.

  17. 1976-01-01
    soldstatus $24,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$404 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$498 · $42/mo
Expected delta
+$94/yr (+$8/mo · 23.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,872
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$404
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,830
− Management
−$1,830
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$13,403
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,217
After-tax cash flow
$10,373/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ensley

Score
79/100
State rank
#133
US rank
#1996

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ensley, FL
County
Escambia County · 301,722 people
City population
15,879
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
17,104
Household income
$58,992
Rent vs Own
44.8% rent · 55.2% own
Severe rent burden
540.0

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 30% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.23%
Current HPI
255.7617
Rent YoY
▲ 3.63%
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+185.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $69,900 PARMLS
  • 2013-07-15 Sold (MLS) $39,000 PARMLS
  • 2013-02-26 Listed $49,900 PARMLS
  • 1976-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $404 · -78.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…