4467 Grimsby Rd · Columbus, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NEW PRICE! Fully remodeled 2 bedroom, 1 bath home, large family room, spacious kitchen and utility room. Utility room could be converted into a third bedroom. This home has new carpeting, fresh paint, some new tile. A large 1.5 story shed and large corner lot compliment this starter home. Owner is a licensed Realtor.
Key facts
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- Built 1955
- Listed 10 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $688 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Cap rate 24.6% vs local median 3.8% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in OH, #1,491 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Columbus City School District (urban): math 15% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #626 of 656 in OH (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 61 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,139 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (5,940 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 65.53%
- DSCR
- 3.92
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $185,136
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4562 Grimsby Rd | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (0%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $159 | 93 |
| 4501 Amesbury Rd | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 912 (0%) | 6mo | $232,000 | $254 | 86 |
| 1559 Grattan Rd | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (0%) | 4mo | $208,900 | $229 | 84 |
| 1399 Shady Lane Rd | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (0%) | 5mo | $110,000 | $121 | 82 |
| 1243 Simpson Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 912 (0%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $219 | 82 |
| 1193 Marble Dr | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (0%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $203 | 80 |
| 1211 Shady Lane Rd | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (0%) | 1mo | $169,900 | $186 | 79 |
| 1195 Huntly Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 912 (0%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $252 | 78 |
| 4484 Grimsby Rd | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (+12%) | 5mo | $205,000 | $201 | 74 |
| 1469 Burlington Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 840 (-8%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $179 | 66 |
| 1116 Elaine Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 975 (+7%) | 3mo | $207,000 | $212 | 54 |
| 3959 Carlton Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (+8%) | 3mo | $141,000 | $143 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 67.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.16×
- Total profit
- $39,768
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 72.5%
- Equity multiple
- 9.33×
- Total profit
- $104,947
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43227
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,384 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,808/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $688
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1537 Duffield Dr Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,500 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1250 Kelburn Rd Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,099 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1250 Kelburn Rd Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,200 | $1.24 | 12d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1250 Kelburn Rd Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,099 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1462 Elaine Rd Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $1,324 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 4048 E Livingston Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 961 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 19d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4056 Carlton Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1718 Carstare Dr Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $950 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1705 Carstare Dr Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $950 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1789 Elaine Rd Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,270 | $1.32 | 1d | 2 | 0.78mi |
| 1303 Dellwood Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3974 Andrus Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,235 | $1.30 | 23d | 3 | 0.91mi |
| 3974 Andrus Ct E Unit 3982D Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,285 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3974 Andrus Ct E Unit 3996C Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,185 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 973 Exeter Rd Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $1,710 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1246 Arkwood Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $1,740 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4163 Wright Park Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,750 | $1.74 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2038 Noe Bixby Rd Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,365 | $1.36 | 2d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 685-687 Valerie Ln Whitehall, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,153 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3632 Cushing Dr Unit B Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 19d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3632 Cushing Dr Unit D Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 16d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3632 Cushing Dr Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 12d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3605 Cushing Dr Unit A Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $815 | $0.91 | 10d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3600 Cushing Dr Unit C Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $900 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1256 Rand Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 967 | $1,299 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5125 Cedar Dr Columbus, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $1,110 | $1.44 | 7d | 4 | 1.30mi |
| 1843 Fleming Rd Unit 1 Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,595 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 496 S Hamilton Rd Whitehall, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $850 | $1.28 | 23d | 4 | 1.36mi |
| 3486 Roswell Dr Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,625 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 5312 Gatehouse Dr Columbus, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1171 | $1,499 | $1.28 | 1d | 15 | 1.41mi |
| 2400 Shore Blvd W Columbus, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 729 | $1,249 | $1.71 | 1d | 34 | 1.41mi |
| 1699 Lonsdale Rd Unit 1707 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $995 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5680 Hibernia Dr Columbus, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1045 | $1,343 | $1.29 | 1d | 12 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2024-12-02status Pending
-
2016-12-12status Pending
-
2016-12-01$45,000 Active
-
2009-11-19soldstatus $35,000 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
NEW PRICE! Fully remodeled 2 bedroom, 1 bath home, large family room, spacious kitchen and utility room. Utility room could be converted into a third bedroom. This home has new carpeting, fresh paint, some new tile. A large 1.5 story shed and large corner lot compliment this starter home. Owner is a licensed Realtor.
-
2009-10-20historical 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
NEW PRICE! Fully remodeled 2 bedroom, 1 bath home, large family room, spacious kitchen and utility room. Utility room could be converted into a third bedroom. This home has new carpeting, fresh paint, some new tile. A large 1.5 story shed and large corner lot compliment this starter home. Owner is a licensed Realtor.
-
2009-06-17$39,900 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
NEW PRICE! Fully remodeled 2 bedroom, 1 bath home, large family room, spacious kitchen and utility room. Utility room could be converted into a third bedroom. This home has new carpeting, fresh paint, some new tile. A large 1.5 story shed and large corner lot compliment this starter home. Owner is a licensed Realtor.
-
2009-05-12soldstatus $21,600 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
HUD case #413-366164 to be sold as is. Verify current availability on website: See agent to agent remarks. Use HUD keys and register by signing form inside property. Obtain required documents and place bids on website. NAID # required to show and bid.
-
2009-05-11historical 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
HUD case #413-366164 to be sold as is. Verify current availability on website: See agent to agent remarks. Use HUD keys and register by signing form inside property. Obtain required documents and place bids on website. NAID # required to show and bid.
-
2008-08-23$36,000 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
HUD case #413-366164 to be sold as is. Verify current availability on website: See agent to agent remarks. Use HUD keys and register by signing form inside property. Obtain required documents and place bids on website. NAID # required to show and bid.
-
2001-04-03soldstatus $75,000
-
2001-03-30soldstatus $75,000
-
2001-03-01historical
-
2000-02-08$71,900
-
1989-07-20soldstatus $45,437
-
1986-12-30soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,808 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,808 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,609
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$1,808
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,329
- − Management
- −$1,329
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $8,089
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,941
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,315/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbus City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904380
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,483
- Composite
- 17.19/100
- National rank
- #9105
- State rank
- #626 of 656 in OH
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #97
- US rank
- #1491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, OH
- County
- Franklin County · 1,351,780 people
- City population
- 612,189
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,358
- Household income
- $48,159
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1467.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,456,139 people
- By 2030
- 1,556,890 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 1,757,349 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 1,950,539 · +34.0%
- By 2075
- 2,376,171 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 2,636,796 · +81.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Swiss 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.4) · D 63.7% · R 35.3% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.7pp toward D · 2008: 20.7pp · 2024: 28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.4 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+21.7 2008: D+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -193.50%
- Current HPI
- 301.3767
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.22%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+12.5% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2024-12-02 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2016-12-12 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2016-12-01 Listed $45,000 CBRMLS
- 2009-11-19 Sold (MLS) $35,000 CBRMLS
- 2009-10-20 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2009-06-17 Listed $39,900 CBRMLS
- 2009-05-12 Sold (MLS) $21,600 CBRMLS
- 2009-05-11 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2008-08-23 Listed $36,000 CBRMLS
- 2001-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2001-03-30 Sold (MLS) $75,000 CBRMLS
- 2001-03-01 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2000-02-08 Listed $71,900 CBRMLS
- 1989-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $45,437 Public Records
- 1986-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2024): $1,808 · -21.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…