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177 S Marshall St
C+ Composite 62.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.9/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$97,000

177 S Marshall St · Pontiac, MI 48342
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,475 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 118 Days on market
Built 1943 6,098 sqft lot $66/sqft · 46% below area Est $92k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great starter or investment home. Move in ready

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1943

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $97k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 6.7% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $671 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $97k implies a 454% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $88,270 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
11.42%
Cash-on-cash
18.31%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$91,661
List price
$97,000
Delta
5.83%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
32 S Marshall St 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,491 (+1%) 11mo $81,000 $54 72
228 S Marshall St 0.10mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,606 (+9%) 16mo $135,500 $84 62
291 Michigan Ave 0.55mi 2/1.5 1,400 (-5%) 5mo $108,000 $77 60
23 Martin Luther King JR Blvd N 0.39mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,412 (-4%) 13mo $205,000 $145 57
116 Raymond St 0.63mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,511 (+2%) 9mo $225,000 $149 52
103 N Roselawn St 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,487 (+1%) 10mo $105,000 $71 49
465 S Marshall St 0.55mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,368 (-7%) 6mo $133,000 $97 48
53 N Roselawn St 0.62mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,400 (-5%) 8mo $180,000 $129 45
55 N Roselawn Street St 0.63mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,400 (-5%) 8mo $180,000 $129 45
161 Perkins St 0.74mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,471 (-0%) 12mo $180,000 $122 44
135 Osmun St 0.72mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,368 (-7%) 10mo $210,000 $154 35
251 E Judson St 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,299 (-12%) 17mo $112,000 $86 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.0%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$10,671
Equity at exit
$14,463
10-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$43,266
Equity at exit
$8,387

Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48342

Home prices YoY
-33.8%
Active inventory
87
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,327 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$509
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,016/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$414

Break-even live

Break-even rent $802
Max offer price $97,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,250
Closing costs
$2,910
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
128 S Edith St Pontiac, MI 2.0–3.0 2.0 1155 $1,384 $1.20 17d 1 0.12mi
90 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd S Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 43d 1 0.19mi
38 N Shirley St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1174 $1,425 $1.21 43d 1 0.56mi
68 N Shirley St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,395 $1.47 17d 1 0.60mi
489 Central Ave Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1140 $1,195 $1.05 4d 1 0.77mi
442 Central Ave Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 16d 1 0.80mi
442 Central Ave Unit 1 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 4d 1 0.80mi
4000 Winston Dr Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.5 1032 $515 $0.50 2d 1 0.90mi
16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1114 $1,150 $1.03 24d 1 1.00mi
16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1118 $1,150 $1.03 43d 1 1.00mi
35 N Saginaw St Pontiac, MI 1.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 43d 1 1.20mi
35 N Saginaw St Unit 2 Pontiac, MI 1.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 43d 1 1.20mi
49 Oakhill St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,575 $1.31 24d 1 1.24mi
20 Frank St Pontiac, MI 1.0 1.0 995 $800 $0.80 17d 1 1.27mi
249 W Wilson Ave Unit 1 Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,540 $1.71 43d 1 1.32mi
188 Vernon Dr Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 24d 1 1.33mi
1173 Featherstone Rd Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.5 970 $1,495 $1.54 24d 1 1.33mi
124 Alice Ave Bloomfield Township, MI 3.0 1.0 1440 $2,000 $1.39 4d 1 1.38mi
5 Carter St Pontiac, MI 1.0 1.0 880 $1,034 $1.18 4d 1 1.41mi
471 Montana Ave Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1017 $1,599 $1.57 43d 1 1.42mi
672 Linda Vista Dr Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 3d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $97,000 Active 118 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $97,000 Active 117 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $97,000 Active 116 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $97,000 Active 115 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $97,000 Active 113 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $97,000 Active 112 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    price $97,000 Active 109 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 109 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 108 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 107 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 104 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 103 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 102 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 101 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 100 DOM
  16. 2026-02-20
    listed $99,900 Active 47-char remark
    Show marketing remark (47 chars)

    Great starter or investment home. Move in ready

  17. 2026-02-20
    listed $99,900 Active 47-char remark
    Show marketing remark (47 chars)

    Great starter or investment home. Move in ready

  18. 2019-07-18
    soldstatus $17,500 Closed
  19. 2019-07-18
    soldstatus $17,500
  20. 2019-06-10
    status Pending
  21. 2019-06-04
    price $20,000
  22. 2019-05-28
    listed $25,000 Active
  23. 2019-05-28
    listed $20,000
  24. 2000-01-06
    soldstatus $27,500
  25. 1999-01-14
    soldstatus $18,000
  26. 1990-01-30
    soldstatus $16,605

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,016 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,255 · $105/mo
Expected delta
+$239/yr (+$20/mo · 23.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,921
− Mortgage interest
−$5,434
− Property taxes
−$1,016
− Insurance
−$485
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,274
− Management
−$1,274
− Depreciation
−$2,822
Taxable income
$3,617
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$868
After-tax cash flow
$4,104/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pontiac City School District
NCES district ID
2628740
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$33,888
Composite
10.12/100
National rank
#9802
State rank
#514 of 540 in MI

Livability — Pontiac

Score
64/100
State rank
#499
US rank
#14703

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pontiac, MI
City population
44,593
Population (ZIP)
17,227

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 19% White 13% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.18%
Current HPI
214.3258
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+501.6% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-20 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-20 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-07-18 Sold (MLS) $17,500 REALCOMP
  • 2019-07-18 Sold (MLS) $17,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-06-10 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-06-04 Price Changed $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-05-28 Listed $20,000 REALCOMP
  • 2019-05-28 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
  • 1999-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
  • 1990-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $16,605 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,016 · -47.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…