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5160 Rucks Rd
B- Composite 65.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +10.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

5160 Rucks Rd · Trotwood, OH 45417
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 925 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1959 7,841 sqft lot $96/sqft · 6% below area Est $94k · 6% under ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity if you're ready to build equity and make this house your home! This home offers a 2-year-old architectural roof, new hot water heater, new water softener, updated PEX in the bathroom, 2 new doors in the back, 2 year old shingle on shed and garage. Sold AS-IS/WHERE-IS. Electric will need updating but interior is ready for your personal touch.

Key facts

  • Updated pex plumbing
  • Water softener
  • New back doors

Tags

ARCHITECTURAL ROOFHOT WATER HEATERWATER SOFTENERUPDATED PEX PLUMBINGNEW BACK DOORS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential zoning
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 garage space); Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
  • Home design: Ranch-style single family home; One level; Includes a barn on the property; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl windows; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Level lot; Less than 0.5 acre (approx. 0.18 acres / 62 x 125)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen approximately 14 x 12 with walkout
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Primary bedroom on level 1, approximately 12 x 10; Bedroom 2 on level 1, approximately 8 x 10; Bedroom 3 on level 1, approximately 8 x 7
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on level 1
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning; Gas water heater
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Living room with 17 x 12 dimensions; Kitchen with walkout; Patio access from exterior (patio listed under exterior)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on level 1, approximately 5 x 10

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 6.5% in Trotwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,014 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Trotwood-Madison City (suburban): math 9% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #645 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $86,330 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
10.04%
Cash-on-cash
13.37%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$94,198
List price
$89,000
Delta
-5.52%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1341 Marot Dr 0.15mi 3/1.0 925 (0%) 8mo $135,000 $146 87
5151 Gardendale Ave 0.10mi 3/1.0 864 (-7%) 1mo $110,000 $127 83
5147 Whaley Dr 0.16mi 3/1.0 864 (-7%) 1mo $40,000 $46 80
1302 Stuben Dr 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-7%) 1mo $124,000 $144 75
1474 Swinger Dr 0.28mi 3/1.0 957 (+4%) 8mo $97,500 $102 75
4901 Gardendale Ave 0.34mi 4/1.0 (+1) 960 (+4%) 3mo $99,000 $103 70
4930 Porterfield Dr 0.34mi 3/1.0 864 (-7%) 8mo $130,000 $150 67
4890 Gardendale Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 864 (-7%) 9mo $115,000 $133 64
5009 Yalecrest Dr 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+8%) 5mo $91,000 $91 58
4660 Gardendale Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 864 (-7%) 5mo $80,000 $93 56
4594 Guadalupe Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 864 (-7%) 5mo $100,000 $116 52
4600 Gardendale Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 864 (-7%) 7mo $82,000 $95 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$4,442
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
2.27×
Total profit
$31,570
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45417

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,091 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $968/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$278

Break-even live

Break-even rent $740
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $328 -5% $303 +0% $278 +5% $253 +10% $227
Rent -10% $192 -5% $235 +0% $278 +5% $321 +10% $364
Rate -1.0pp $323 -0.5pp $300 base $278 +0.5pp $255 +1.0pp $231

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1427 Stuben Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 957 $900 $0.94 4d 1 0.15mi
4914 Gardendale Ave Dayton, OH 4.0 1.0 960 $1,125 $1.17 45d 1 0.35mi
1498 Elaine St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,025 $1.19 4d 1 0.40mi
1595 Elaine St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $950 $1.10 4d 1 0.42mi
5336 Rockport Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 925 $1,025 $1.11 45d 1 0.46mi
4625 Gardendale Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,150 $1.33 4d 1 0.64mi
4576 Live Oak Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 45d 1 0.75mi
729 Cleverly Rd Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 626 $950 $1.52 45d 1 1.04mi
3925 Hoover Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 4d 1 1.41mi
4109 Midway Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 971 $1,000 $1.03 4d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $89,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,000 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $89,000 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $93,000 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $93,000 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $93,000 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $93,000 Active 30 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $93,000 Active 29 DOM
  17. 2026-05-11
    status Active 362-char remark
  18. 2026-05-11
    status Active 363-char remark
  19. 2026-05-04
    historical Contingency Pending 363-char remark
  20. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 362-char remark
  21. 2026-05-01
    listed $93,000 Active 363-char remark
  22. 2026-04-28
    listed $93,000 Active 362-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$968 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,178 · $98/mo
Expected delta
+$210/yr (+$18/mo · 21.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,098
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$968
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,048
− Management
−$1,048
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$2,014
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$483
After-tax cash flow
$2,850/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Trotwood-Madison City
NCES district ID
3904869
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$33,529
Composite
12.15/100
National rank
#9651
State rank
#645 of 656 in OH

Livability — Trotwood

Score
59/100
State rank
#1014
US rank
#20073

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Trotwood, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
28,186
Household income
$36,945
Rent vs Own
52.1% rent · 47.9% own
Severe rent burden
1822.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 0%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.43%
Current HPI
193.4175
Rent YoY
▲ 4.06%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $89,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Relisted Cincy MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Contingent Cincy MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $93,000 Cincy MLS

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $968 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…