5160 Rucks Rd · Trotwood, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity if you're ready to build equity and make this house your home! This home offers a 2-year-old architectural roof, new hot water heater, new water softener, updated PEX in the bathroom, 2 new doors in the back, 2 year old shingle on shed and garage. Sold AS-IS/WHERE-IS. Electric will need updating but interior is ready for your personal touch.
Key facts
- Updated pex plumbing
- Water softener
- New back doors
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential zoning
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 garage space); Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: Ranch-style single family home; One level; Includes a barn on the property; Slab foundation
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl windows; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Level lot; Less than 0.5 acre (approx. 0.18 acres / 62 x 125)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen approximately 14 x 12 with walkout
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Primary bedroom on level 1, approximately 12 x 10; Bedroom 2 on level 1, approximately 8 x 10; Bedroom 3 on level 1, approximately 8 x 7
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on level 1
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning; Gas water heater
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Living room with 17 x 12 dimensions; Kitchen with walkout; Patio access from exterior (patio listed under exterior)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on level 1, approximately 5 x 10
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 6.5% in Trotwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,014 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Trotwood-Madison City (suburban): math 9% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #645 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.37%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $94,198
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -5.52%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1341 Marot Dr | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (0%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $146 | 87 |
| 5151 Gardendale Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-7%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $127 | 83 |
| 5147 Whaley Dr | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-7%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $46 | 80 |
| 1302 Stuben Dr | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-7%) | 1mo | $124,000 | $144 | 75 |
| 1474 Swinger Dr | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 957 (+4%) | 8mo | $97,500 | $102 | 75 |
| 4901 Gardendale Ave | 0.34mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+4%) | 3mo | $99,000 | $103 | 70 |
| 4930 Porterfield Dr | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-7%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $150 | 67 |
| 4890 Gardendale Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-7%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $133 | 64 |
| 5009 Yalecrest Dr | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+8%) | 5mo | $91,000 | $91 | 58 |
| 4660 Gardendale Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-7%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $93 | 56 |
| 4594 Guadalupe Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-7%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $116 | 52 |
| 4600 Gardendale Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-7%) | 7mo | $82,000 | $95 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $4,442
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $31,570
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45417
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,091 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $968/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $278
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $328 | -5% $303 | +0% $278 | +5% $253 | +10% $227 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $192 | -5% $235 | +0% $278 | +5% $321 | +10% $364 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $323 | -0.5pp $300 | base $278 | +0.5pp $255 | +1.0pp $231 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1427 Stuben Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $900 | $0.94 | 4d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 4914 Gardendale Ave Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,125 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1498 Elaine St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,025 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1595 Elaine St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $950 | $1.10 | 4d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 5336 Rockport Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,025 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 4625 Gardendale Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,150 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4576 Live Oak Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 729 Cleverly Rd Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 626 | $950 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3925 Hoover Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4109 Midway Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,000 | $1.03 | 4d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $89,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $93,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $93,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $93,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $93,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $93,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-11status Active 362-char remark
-
2026-05-11status Active 363-char remark
-
2026-05-04historical Contingency Pending 363-char remark
-
2026-05-04status Pending 362-char remark
-
2026-05-01$93,000 Active 363-char remark
-
2026-04-28$93,000 Active 362-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $968 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,178 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- +$210/yr (+$18/mo · 21.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,098
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$968
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,048
- − Management
- −$1,048
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $2,014
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$483
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,850/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Trotwood-Madison City
- NCES district ID
- 3904869
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,529
- Composite
- 12.15/100
- National rank
- #9651
- State rank
- #645 of 656 in OH
Livability — Trotwood
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1014
- US rank
- #20073
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Trotwood, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,186
- Household income
- $36,945
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1822.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.43%
- Current HPI
- 193.4175
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.06%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
-4.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $89,000 Cincy MLS
- 2026-05-11 Relisted — Cincy MLS
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $93,000 Cincy MLS
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $968 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…