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3615 Springdale Ave
C- Composite 52.52
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

3615 Springdale Ave · Baltimore, MD 21216
4 bd · 3.5 ba · 3,702 sqft · Townhouse public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1920 6,570 sqft lot $68/sqft · 42% below area Est $434k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* Short Sale has been approved. .. . * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!!! BUY AND HOLD OR FLIP!!! VERY LARGE TWO UNIT HOME ON QUIET BLOCK. EACH UNIT IS SEPARATELY ZONED WITH ITS OWN ENTRANCE AND FEATURES 2 LARGE BEDROOMS AND 1 BATH. THE PROPERTY ALSO FEATURES A 2 CAR GARAGE WHICH CAN BE USED FOR ADDITIONAL INCOME. MOTIVATED SELLER!! HVAC, electrical and sub-pump systems have been updated and is freshly painted.

Key facts

  • Updated systems
  • Separately zoned
  • Freshly painted

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYQUIET BLOCKSEPARATELY ZONEDOWN ENTRANCEUPDATED SYSTEMSFRESHLY PAINTED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership is fee simple

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached front-entry garage with 2 garage spaces; Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached structure; Finished and unfinished area details reported by assessor; Finished above-grade area reported (3,702); Below-grade unfinished area reported (1,664)
  • Construction: Frame construction; Slab foundation; Other structures above and below grade
  • Exterior features: No tidal water on the lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level; Two bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom on the upper level; Two full bathrooms total
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Basement present (other type); Above-grade finished living area reported by assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $139 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (2.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,449/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2264% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 14 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $242,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
6.96%
Cash-on-cash
2.38%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$433,612
List price
$250,000
Delta
-42.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3603 Springdale Ave 0.05mi 5/2.5 (+1) 4,044 (+9%) 3mo $360,000 $89 71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.0%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-23,717
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$25,499
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21216

Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
252
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,449 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$381 /mo · $4,573/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$514
Net cashflow
$139

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,274
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4029 Fairview Ave Baltimore, MD 5.0 4.5 2653 $3,200 $1.21 43d 1 0.37mi
3414 Alto Rd Unit 2ND Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 2824 $2,000 $0.71 23d 1 0.48mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $250,000 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $250,000 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    remarks 460-char remark
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $250,000 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-06
    historical
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    * Short Sale has been approved. .. . * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!!! BUY AND HOLD OR FLIP!!! VERY LARGE TWO UNIT HOME ON QUIET BLOCK. EACH UNIT IS SEPARATELY ZONED WITH ITS OWN ENTRANCE AND FEATURES 2 LARGE BEDROOMS AND 1 BATH. THE PROPERTY ALSO FEATURES A 2 CAR GARAGE WHICH CAN BE USED FOR ADDITIONAL INCOME. MOTIVATED SELLER!! HVAC, electrical and sub-pump systems have been updated and is freshly painted.

  16. 2026-05-06
    listed $250,000 Active 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    * Short Sale has been approved. .. . * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!!! BUY AND HOLD OR FLIP!!! VERY LARGE TWO UNIT HOME ON QUIET BLOCK. EACH UNIT IS SEPARATELY ZONED WITH ITS OWN ENTRANCE AND FEATURES 2 LARGE BEDROOMS AND 1 BATH. THE PROPERTY ALSO FEATURES A 2 CAR GARAGE WHICH CAN BE USED FOR ADDITIONAL INCOME. MOTIVATED SELLER!! HVAC, electrical and sub-pump systems have been updated and is freshly painted.

  17. 2026-05-06
    listed $250,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    * Short Sale has been approved. .. . * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!!! BUY AND HOLD OR FLIP!!! VERY LARGE TWO UNIT HOME ON QUIET BLOCK. EACH UNIT IS SEPARATELY ZONED WITH ITS OWN ENTRANCE AND FEATURES 2 LARGE BEDROOMS AND 1 BATH. THE PROPERTY ALSO FEATURES A 2 CAR GARAGE WHICH CAN BE USED FOR ADDITIONAL INCOME. MOTIVATED SELLER!! HVAC, electrical and sub-pump systems have been updated and is freshly painted.

  18. 2026-05-06
    historical
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    * Short Sale has been approved. .. . * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!!! BUY AND HOLD OR FLIP!!! VERY LARGE TWO UNIT HOME ON QUIET BLOCK. EACH UNIT IS SEPARATELY ZONED WITH ITS OWN ENTRANCE AND FEATURES 2 LARGE BEDROOMS AND 1 BATH. THE PROPERTY ALSO FEATURES A 2 CAR GARAGE WHICH CAN BE USED FOR ADDITIONAL INCOME. MOTIVATED SELLER!! HVAC, electrical and sub-pump systems have been updated and is freshly painted.

  19. 2026-03-11
    price $245,000
  20. 2026-03-11
    price $245,000
  21. 2026-02-12
    listed $285,000 Active
  22. 2026-02-12
    listed $285,000 Active
  23. 2026-02-12
    historical
  24. 2025-10-27
    historical
  25. 2025-10-27
    listed $285,000 Active
  26. 2025-08-28
    price $305,000
  27. 2025-08-12
    listed $315,000 Active
  28. 2025-08-10
    historical
  29. 2023-03-08
    soldstatus $280,000
  30. 2022-11-14
    status Pending
  31. 2022-11-14
    historical
  32. 2022-10-20
    listed $280,000 Active
  33. 2022-07-01
    status Pending
  34. 2022-07-01
    historical
  35. 2022-05-02
    price $150,000
  36. 2022-04-14
    listed $15,000 Active
  37. 2022-02-23
    status Pending
  38. 2022-02-23
    historical
  39. 2021-11-12
    listed $150,000 Active
  40. 2019-07-08
    soldstatus $120,000
  41. 2019-04-19
    soldstatus $120,000 Closed
  42. 2019-04-12
    status Pending
  43. 2019-03-27
    status Active
  44. 2019-03-22
    historical
  45. 2019-02-14
    historical Active Under Contract
  46. 2019-01-31
    listed $95,000 Active
  47. 2016-05-02
    soldstatus $30,000
  48. 2016-05-02
    soldstatus $30,000
  49. 2016-05-02
    listed $30,000
  50. 2015-07-15
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,573 · $381/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,573 · $381/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,393
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$4,573
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,351
− Management
−$2,351
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$2,410
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$578
After-tax cash flow
$2,243/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
29,426
Household income
$42,031
Rent vs Own
49.8% rent · 50.2% own
Severe rent burden
2264.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% White 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.42%
Current HPI
164.3933
Rent YoY
▲ 6.10%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+131.3% since first listed
41 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $245,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $245,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-12 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $285,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $285,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-27 Listed $285,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-27 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-28 Price Changed $305,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-12 Listed $315,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-10 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $280,000 Public Records
  • 2022-11-14 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-11-14 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-10-20 Listed $280,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-07-01 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-07-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-05-02 Price Changed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-04-14 Listed $15,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-02-23 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-02-23 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-11-12 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2019-04-19 Sold (MLS) $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-04-12 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-03-27 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-03-22 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-02-14 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-01-31 Listed $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-05-02 Listed $30,000 MRIS
  • 2016-05-02 Sold (MLS) $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-05-02 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MRIS
  • 2015-07-15 Delisted MRIS
  • 2015-07-15 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-04-09 Pending MRIS
  • 2013-03-18 Listed MRIS
  • 2013-03-18 Listed $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $108,090 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,573 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…