3615 Springdale Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* Short Sale has been approved. .. . * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!!! BUY AND HOLD OR FLIP!!! VERY LARGE TWO UNIT HOME ON QUIET BLOCK. EACH UNIT IS SEPARATELY ZONED WITH ITS OWN ENTRANCE AND FEATURES 2 LARGE BEDROOMS AND 1 BATH. THE PROPERTY ALSO FEATURES A 2 CAR GARAGE WHICH CAN BE USED FOR ADDITIONAL INCOME. MOTIVATED SELLER!! HVAC, electrical and sub-pump systems have been updated and is freshly painted.
Key facts
- Updated systems
- Separately zoned
- Freshly painted
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership is fee simple
Exterior
- Parking: Detached front-entry garage with 2 garage spaces; Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached structure; Finished and unfinished area details reported by assessor; Finished above-grade area reported (3,702); Below-grade unfinished area reported (1,664)
- Construction: Frame construction; Slab foundation; Other structures above and below grade
- Exterior features: No tidal water on the lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level; Two bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom on the upper level; Two full bathrooms total
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Basement present (other type); Above-grade finished living area reported by assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $139 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (2.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,449/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2264% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 14 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.38%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $433,612
- List price
- $250,000
- Delta
- -42.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3603 Springdale Ave | 0.05mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 4,044 (+9%) | 3mo | $360,000 | $89 | 71 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.1% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-23,717
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $25,499
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21216
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 252
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,449 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$381 /mo · $4,573/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$514
- Net cashflow
- $139
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4029 Fairview Ave Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 4.5 | 2653 | $3,200 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3414 Alto Rd Unit 2ND Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2824 | $2,000 | $0.71 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $250,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $250,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $250,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $250,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $250,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $250,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $250,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 460-char remark
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2026-06-07days on market $250,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $250,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $250,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-06historical
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
* Short Sale has been approved. .. . * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!!! BUY AND HOLD OR FLIP!!! VERY LARGE TWO UNIT HOME ON QUIET BLOCK. EACH UNIT IS SEPARATELY ZONED WITH ITS OWN ENTRANCE AND FEATURES 2 LARGE BEDROOMS AND 1 BATH. THE PROPERTY ALSO FEATURES A 2 CAR GARAGE WHICH CAN BE USED FOR ADDITIONAL INCOME. MOTIVATED SELLER!! HVAC, electrical and sub-pump systems have been updated and is freshly painted.
-
2026-05-06$250,000 Active 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
* Short Sale has been approved. .. . * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!!! BUY AND HOLD OR FLIP!!! VERY LARGE TWO UNIT HOME ON QUIET BLOCK. EACH UNIT IS SEPARATELY ZONED WITH ITS OWN ENTRANCE AND FEATURES 2 LARGE BEDROOMS AND 1 BATH. THE PROPERTY ALSO FEATURES A 2 CAR GARAGE WHICH CAN BE USED FOR ADDITIONAL INCOME. MOTIVATED SELLER!! HVAC, electrical and sub-pump systems have been updated and is freshly painted.
-
2026-05-06$250,000 Active
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
* Short Sale has been approved. .. . * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!!! BUY AND HOLD OR FLIP!!! VERY LARGE TWO UNIT HOME ON QUIET BLOCK. EACH UNIT IS SEPARATELY ZONED WITH ITS OWN ENTRANCE AND FEATURES 2 LARGE BEDROOMS AND 1 BATH. THE PROPERTY ALSO FEATURES A 2 CAR GARAGE WHICH CAN BE USED FOR ADDITIONAL INCOME. MOTIVATED SELLER!! HVAC, electrical and sub-pump systems have been updated and is freshly painted.
-
2026-05-06historical
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
* Short Sale has been approved. .. . * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!!! BUY AND HOLD OR FLIP!!! VERY LARGE TWO UNIT HOME ON QUIET BLOCK. EACH UNIT IS SEPARATELY ZONED WITH ITS OWN ENTRANCE AND FEATURES 2 LARGE BEDROOMS AND 1 BATH. THE PROPERTY ALSO FEATURES A 2 CAR GARAGE WHICH CAN BE USED FOR ADDITIONAL INCOME. MOTIVATED SELLER!! HVAC, electrical and sub-pump systems have been updated and is freshly painted.
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2026-03-11price $245,000
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2026-03-11price $245,000
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2026-02-12$285,000 Active
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2026-02-12$285,000 Active
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2026-02-12historical
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2025-10-27historical
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2025-10-27$285,000 Active
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2025-08-28price $305,000
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2025-08-12$315,000 Active
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2025-08-10historical
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2023-03-08soldstatus $280,000
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2022-11-14status Pending
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2022-11-14historical
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2022-10-20$280,000 Active
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2022-07-01status Pending
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2022-07-01historical
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2022-05-02price $150,000
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2022-04-14$15,000 Active
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2022-02-23status Pending
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2022-02-23historical
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2021-11-12$150,000 Active
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2019-07-08soldstatus $120,000
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2019-04-19soldstatus $120,000 Closed
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2019-04-12status Pending
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2019-03-27status Active
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2019-03-22historical
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2019-02-14historical Active Under Contract
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2019-01-31$95,000 Active
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2016-05-02soldstatus $30,000
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2016-05-02soldstatus $30,000
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2016-05-02$30,000
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2015-07-15historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,573 · $381/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,573 · $381/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,393
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$4,573
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,351
- − Management
- −$2,351
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$2,410
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$578
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,243/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,426
- Household income
- $42,031
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2264.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% White 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.42%
- Current HPI
- 164.3933
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.10%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+131.3% since first listed41 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $245,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $245,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-12 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-12 Listed $285,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-12 Listed $285,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-27 Listed $285,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-28 Price Changed $305,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-12 Listed $315,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-10 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $280,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-14 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-11-14 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-10-20 Listed $280,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-07-01 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-07-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-05-02 Price Changed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-14 Listed $15,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-02-23 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-02-23 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-11-12 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2019-04-19 Sold (MLS) $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-04-12 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-03-27 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-03-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-02-14 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-01-31 Listed $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-05-02 Listed $30,000 MRIS
- 2016-05-02 Sold (MLS) $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-05-02 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MRIS
- 2015-07-15 Delisted — MRIS
- 2015-07-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-04-09 Pending — MRIS
- 2013-03-18 Listed — MRIS
- 2013-03-18 Listed $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $108,090 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,573 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…