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26912 W Davison
F Composite 33.36
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

26912 W Davison · Livonia, MI 48239
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,036 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1955 7,405 sqft lot Est $190k · 19% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to! This charming fully brick ranch features 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. Inside, you'll find a beautifully updated kitchen featuring Merillat cabinets, marble countertops, and stainless steel appliances. There is a full basement with the washer and dryer included, as well as a spacious 2-car garage. Thoughtfully designed to honor the character and period of the home, this move-in ready gem showcases fresh paint throughout and newly refinished hardwood floors. Additional updates include a newer furnace and hot water tank. The backyard is a quaint spot for your morning coffee or hosting loved ones. Clean, adorable, and full of charm -- stop by today for a showing! BTVAI. Seller is a licensed Real Estate Salesperson in the State of Michigan.

Key facts

  • Merillat cabinets
  • Marble countertops
  • Full basement

Tags

FULLY BRICK RANCHUPDATED KITCHENMERILLAT CABINETSMARBLE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESFULL BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas water heater
  • Home design: Ranch-style single family residence; Built in 1955
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Corner lot with sidewalk; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (14 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (13 x 13); Bedroom 2 (13 x 9); Bedroom 3 (12 x 9)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Total of 6 rooms; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Natural gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($632/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (21.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $177k (21.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.9% in Livonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#116 in MI, #2,784 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, health & safety D, commute F.
  • South Redford School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #455 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $225k implies a 246% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $176,796 (21.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.57%
Cash-on-cash
1.00%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$189,588
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12770 Leverne 0.38mi 3/1.5 1,026 (-1%) 0mo $205,000 $200 78
13965 Minock Dr 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,042 (+1%) 8mo $172,000 $165 78
14041 Minock Dr 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,042 (+1%) 6mo $167,000 $160 78
13221 Columbia St 0.06mi 3/1.5 1,102 (+6%) 8mo $202,000 $183 78
14126 Rockland 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,042 (+1%) 2mo $205,000 $197 76
12890 Hemingway 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,094 (+6%) 1mo $135,000 $123 75
13210 Tecumseh Ave 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,096 (+6%) 11mo $180,000 $164 70
12135 Leverne 0.69mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,050 (+1%) 6mo $167,000 $159 54
26056 Lyndon 0.62mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,068 (+3%) 6mo $205,000 $192 54
13556 Centralia 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,008 (-3%) 12mo $215,000 $213 52
14284 Arcola St 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,157 (+12%) 5mo $260,000 $225 51
14154 San Jose 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,190 (+15%) 14mo $180,000 $151 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-32,761
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-5.5%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-22,786
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48239

Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,768 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $844/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$371
Net cashflow
$53

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,701
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $180 -5% $116 +0% $53 +5% $-11 +10% $-75
Rent -10% $-87 -5% $-17 +0% $53 +5% $123 +10% $192
Rate -1.0pp $166 -0.5pp $110 base $53 +0.5pp $-6 +1.0pp $-65

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13231 Hemingway Redford, MI 3.0 1.5 1074 $1,700 $1.58 17d 1 0.19mi
12097 Cavell St Livonia, MI 3.0 1.0 985 $1,200 $1.22 2d 1 0.83mi
12107 Centralia Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,800 $1.97 44d 1 0.90mi
11726 Deering St Livonia, MI 4.0 1.5 1248 $2,125 $1.70 0d 1 1.00mi
14256 Salem Redford, MI 3.0 1.5 1168 $1,675 $1.43 17d 1 1.33mi
15195 Aubrey Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 769 $1,395 $1.81 17d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $225,000 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $225,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $225,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $225,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-05-28
    listed $225,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (759 chars)

    Welcome home to! This charming fully brick ranch features 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. Inside, you'll find a beautifully updated kitchen featuring Merillat cabinets, marble countertops, and stainless steel appliances. There is a full basement with the washer and dryer included, as well as a spacious 2-car garage. Thoughtfully designed to honor the character and period of the home, this move-in ready gem showcases fresh paint throughout and newly refinished hardwood floors. Additional updates include a newer furnace and hot water tank. The backyard is a quaint spot for your morning coffee or hosting loved ones. Clean, adorable, and full of charm -- stop by today for a showing! BTVAI. Seller is a licensed Real Estate Salesperson in the State of Michigan.

  8. 2026-05-28
    listed $225,000 Active 759-char remark
    Show marketing remark (759 chars)

    Welcome home to! This charming fully brick ranch features 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. Inside, you'll find a beautifully updated kitchen featuring Merillat cabinets, marble countertops, and stainless steel appliances. There is a full basement with the washer and dryer included, as well as a spacious 2-car garage. Thoughtfully designed to honor the character and period of the home, this move-in ready gem showcases fresh paint throughout and newly refinished hardwood floors. Additional updates include a newer furnace and hot water tank. The backyard is a quaint spot for your morning coffee or hosting loved ones. Clean, adorable, and full of charm -- stop by today for a showing! BTVAI. Seller is a licensed Real Estate Salesperson in the State of Michigan.

  9. 2026-05-28
    listed $225,000 Active 759-char remark
    Show marketing remark (759 chars)

    Welcome home to! This charming fully brick ranch features 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. Inside, you'll find a beautifully updated kitchen featuring Merillat cabinets, marble countertops, and stainless steel appliances. There is a full basement with the washer and dryer included, as well as a spacious 2-car garage. Thoughtfully designed to honor the character and period of the home, this move-in ready gem showcases fresh paint throughout and newly refinished hardwood floors. Additional updates include a newer furnace and hot water tank. The backyard is a quaint spot for your morning coffee or hosting loved ones. Clean, adorable, and full of charm -- stop by today for a showing! BTVAI. Seller is a licensed Real Estate Salesperson in the State of Michigan.

  10. 1991-06-28
    soldstatus $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$844 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,154 · $180/mo
Expected delta
+$1,311/yr (+$109/mo · 155.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,216
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$844
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,697
− Management
−$1,697
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$3,297
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$791
After-tax cash flow
$1,424/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Redford School District
NCES district ID
2632280
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$52,775
Composite
18.1/100
National rank
#8972
State rank
#455 of 540 in MI

Livability — Livonia

Score
77/100
State rank
#116
US rank
#2784

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
36,976
Household income
$71,151
Rent vs Own
21.1% rent · 78.9% own
Severe rent burden
1052.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (58%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 58% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -202.97%
Current HPI
236.1136
Rent YoY
▲ 3.25%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+246.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $225,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $225,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $225,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1991-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $844 · -66.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…