20924 Ridgemont Rd · Harper Woods, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.6/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- ARV discount +5.6/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cash flowing investment property with a current rent of $1,500 /month. Professionally managed rental. Cash tenant. Photos are from before move-in. No showings allowed without an accepted offer first. Do not approach the property or request a showing.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1947
- Listed 80 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Grosse Pointe Public Schools (suburban): math 56% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #24 of 540 in MI (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $145k implies a 559% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.87%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,083
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- 4.25%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20842 Ridgemont Rd | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,001 (+5%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $85 | 86 |
| 20871 Van Antwerp St | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 950 (0%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $179 | 77 |
| 20631 Chalon St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,001 (+5%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $255 | 74 |
| 2126 Ridgemont Rd | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 892 (-6%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $168 | 72 |
| 1793 Roslyn Rd | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (-3%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $281 | 71 |
| 21813 Rosedale St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 948 (-0%) | 4mo | $138,000 | $146 | 66 |
| 20625 Avalon St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+5%) | 1mo | $161,445 | $161 | 61 |
| 2138 Ridgemont Rd | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 809 (-15%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $167 | 61 |
| 20624 Sunnyside St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (+8%) | 5mo | $199,000 | $194 | 57 |
| 20672 Fleetwood Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,031 (+8%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $112 | 55 |
| 20688 Fleetwood Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,053 (+11%) | 3mo | $173,000 | $164 | 54 |
| 1552 Brys Dr | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 988 (+4%) | 3mo | $136,000 | $138 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.1% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-987
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $38,282
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48225
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,577 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,494/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $300
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $382 | -5% $341 | +0% $300 | +5% $259 | +10% $218 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $176 | -5% $238 | +0% $300 | +5% $362 | +10% $425 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $373 | -0.5pp $337 | base $300 | +0.5pp $263 | +1.0pp $224 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2175 Ridgemont Rd Grosse Pointe Woods, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1992 Hawthorne Rd Grosse Pointe Woods, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1071 | $2,100 | $1.96 | 10d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2037 Vernier Rd Grosse Pointe Woods, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 22126 Alger St Saint Clair Shores, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1060 | $1,750 | $1.65 | 11d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 20600 Balfour St Harper Woods, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 971 | $1,671 | $1.72 | 2d | 12 | 0.72mi |
| 20015 Lochmoor St Harper Woods, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1006 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 22307 Greater Mack Ave St Clair Shores, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,195 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 20625 Elizabeth St Saint Clair Shores, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,895 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 22411 Oconnor St Saint Clair Shores, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 22617 Oconnor St Saint Clair Shores, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 923 | $2,000 | $2.17 | 2d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $145,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-03-30$145,000 Active 250-char remark
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
Cash flowing investment property with a current rent of $1,500 /month. Professionally managed rental. Cash tenant. Photos are from before move-in. No showings allowed without an accepted offer first. Do not approach the property or request a showing.
-
2026-03-30$145,000 Active 250-char remark
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
Cash flowing investment property with a current rent of $1,500 /month. Professionally managed rental. Cash tenant. Photos are from before move-in. No showings allowed without an accepted offer first. Do not approach the property or request a showing.
-
2015-08-29soldstatus $22,000 Sold
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2015-08-29soldstatus $22,000 Closed
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2015-08-04historical
-
2015-08-04status Pending
-
2015-07-24$29,900 Active
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2015-07-24$29,900 Active
-
2011-06-17soldstatus $22,000
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2011-06-17soldstatus $22,000
-
2011-06-12historical
-
2011-05-19$24,900
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2011-05-19$24,900
-
2009-04-17historical
-
2009-04-17historical
-
2009-03-04$49,900
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2009-03-04$49,900
-
2007-12-18soldstatus $38,000
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2007-12-18soldstatus $38,000
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2007-12-17historical
-
2007-11-28$39,500
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2007-11-28$39,500
-
2007-11-28historical
-
2007-11-28historical
-
2007-09-24$49,900
-
2007-09-20historical
-
2007-05-21$49,900
-
2007-05-21$55,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,494 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,863 · $155/mo
- Expected delta
- +$370/yr (+$31/mo · 24.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,919
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,494
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,513
- − Management
- −$1,513
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $1,333
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$320
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,282/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grosse Pointe Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2625740
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $89,975
- Composite
- 56.51/100
- National rank
- #1152
- State rank
- #24 of 540 in MI
Livability — Harper Woods
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5054
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harper Woods, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 16,098
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,098
- Household income
- $61,750
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 410.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 28% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.40%
- Current HPI
- 181.4961
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.10%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+190.6% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Listed $145,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-30 Listed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-08-29 Sold (MLS) $22,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-08-29 Sold (MLS) $22,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-08-04 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-08-04 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-07-24 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-07-24 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
- 2011-06-17 Sold (MLS) $22,000 REALCOMP
- 2011-06-17 Sold (MLS) $22,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-06-12 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-05-19 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP
- 2011-05-19 Listed $24,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-04-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-04-17 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2009-03-04 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-03-04 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2007-12-18 Sold (MLS) $38,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-12-18 Sold (MLS) $38,000 REALCOMP
- 2007-12-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-11-28 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-11-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-11-28 Listed $39,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-11-28 Listed $39,500 REALCOMP
- 2007-09-24 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2007-09-20 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-05-21 Listed $55,900 REALCOMP
- 2007-05-21 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,494 · -63.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…