105 Larkins Dr · White Bluff, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +6.9/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$394,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ONE-STORY, 4-bedroom home on LEVEL, DOUBLE LOT in White Bluff, 25 miles from Nashville. Huge fenced back yard with mature apple tree and lots of room for play and pets or space to build that dream workshop. House has vinyl windows, new paint. A deck off the kitchen/dining area offers a view of the expansive back yard and provides a perfect place to relax. Many amenities: a bonus room for additional entertainment and living space near the guest bedrooms; large master closet; spacious utility room and walk-in kitchen pantry; oversized concrete parking area. For the cook there's generous prep space and countertop seating as well as area for a large dining table. This home is located near schools but is surrounded by green space. Seller to offer credit towards flooring.
Key facts
- Room to grow
- Space for goats
- Space for ducks
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking for 3 vehicles (all open spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Crawl space / no finished basement; Existing structure
- Exterior features: Porch; Covered patio/porch areas; Deck; Chain link fencing; Storage building/structure; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven and range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Pantry
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Pantry; Walk-in closets; Double vanity in master bathroom
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $394k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $119 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $320k (18.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $320k (18.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.2% in White Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#230 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Dickson County (rural): math 30% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #39 of 139 in TN (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: White Bluff Elementary (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #369 of 952 statewide, top 42%, 464 students, 0% FRL); W James Middle School (math 35% / reading 35%, grade F, #65 of 333 statewide, top 20%, 253 students, 0% FRL); Creek Wood High School (math 22% / reading 39%, grade F, #75 of 332 statewide, top 24%, 933 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 45% district-wide (45 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 376 units permitted in Dickson County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dickson County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($382k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 14768% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.30%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $388,431
- List price
- $394,000
- Delta
- 1.43%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 Twin Oaks Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,726 (-8%) | 1mo | $339,000 | $196 | 70 |
| 1526 Taylortown Rd | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,961 (+4%) | 15mo | $379,900 | $194 | 66 |
| 1631 Taylor Town Rd | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,728 (-8%) | 7mo | $425,000 | $246 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-56,389
- Equity at exit
- $58,747
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-39,903
- Equity at exit
- $34,066
Cash invested: $110,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37187
- Home prices YoY
- -19.0%
- Active inventory
- 48
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,066
- Tax from tax record
- −$178 /mo · $2,140/yr
- Insurance
- −$164
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$672
- Net cashflow
- $119
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $342 | -5% $231 | +0% $119 | +5% $8 | +10% $-104 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-133 | -5% $-7 | +0% $119 | +5% $246 | +10% $372 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $318 | -0.5pp $220 | base $119 | +0.5pp $17 | +1.0pp $-87 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $98,500
- Closing costs
- $11,820
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1394 Taylor Town Rd White Bluff, TN | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2350 | $3,200 | $1.36 | 0d | 1 | 0.33mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $394,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $394,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $394,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $394,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $394,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $394,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $394,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $394,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $394,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $399,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-05days on market $408,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $408,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $409,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $409,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $409,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-12$420,000 Active 469-char remark
-
2024-04-23soldstatus $359,900
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2024-04-22soldstatus $359,900 Closed 776-char remark
Show marketing remark (776 chars)
ONE-STORY, 4-bedroom home on LEVEL, DOUBLE LOT in White Bluff, 25 miles from Nashville. Huge fenced back yard with mature apple tree and lots of room for play and pets or space to build that dream workshop. House has vinyl windows, new paint. A deck off the kitchen/dining area offers a view of the expansive back yard and provides a perfect place to relax. Many amenities: a bonus room for additional entertainment and living space near the guest bedrooms; large master closet; spacious utility room and walk-in kitchen pantry; oversized concrete parking area. For the cook there's generous prep space and countertop seating as well as area for a large dining table. This home is located near schools but is surrounded by green space. Seller to offer credit towards flooring.
-
2024-03-23historical Active Under Contract 776-char remark
Show marketing remark (776 chars)
ONE-STORY, 4-bedroom home on LEVEL, DOUBLE LOT in White Bluff, 25 miles from Nashville. Huge fenced back yard with mature apple tree and lots of room for play and pets or space to build that dream workshop. House has vinyl windows, new paint. A deck off the kitchen/dining area offers a view of the expansive back yard and provides a perfect place to relax. Many amenities: a bonus room for additional entertainment and living space near the guest bedrooms; large master closet; spacious utility room and walk-in kitchen pantry; oversized concrete parking area. For the cook there's generous prep space and countertop seating as well as area for a large dining table. This home is located near schools but is surrounded by green space. Seller to offer credit towards flooring.
-
2024-03-15status Active 776-char remark
Show marketing remark (776 chars)
ONE-STORY, 4-bedroom home on LEVEL, DOUBLE LOT in White Bluff, 25 miles from Nashville. Huge fenced back yard with mature apple tree and lots of room for play and pets or space to build that dream workshop. House has vinyl windows, new paint. A deck off the kitchen/dining area offers a view of the expansive back yard and provides a perfect place to relax. Many amenities: a bonus room for additional entertainment and living space near the guest bedrooms; large master closet; spacious utility room and walk-in kitchen pantry; oversized concrete parking area. For the cook there's generous prep space and countertop seating as well as area for a large dining table. This home is located near schools but is surrounded by green space. Seller to offer credit towards flooring.
-
2024-03-08historical Active Under Contract 776-char remark
Show marketing remark (776 chars)
ONE-STORY, 4-bedroom home on LEVEL, DOUBLE LOT in White Bluff, 25 miles from Nashville. Huge fenced back yard with mature apple tree and lots of room for play and pets or space to build that dream workshop. House has vinyl windows, new paint. A deck off the kitchen/dining area offers a view of the expansive back yard and provides a perfect place to relax. Many amenities: a bonus room for additional entertainment and living space near the guest bedrooms; large master closet; spacious utility room and walk-in kitchen pantry; oversized concrete parking area. For the cook there's generous prep space and countertop seating as well as area for a large dining table. This home is located near schools but is surrounded by green space. Seller to offer credit towards flooring.
-
2024-03-02$359,900 Active 776-char remark
Show marketing remark (776 chars)
ONE-STORY, 4-bedroom home on LEVEL, DOUBLE LOT in White Bluff, 25 miles from Nashville. Huge fenced back yard with mature apple tree and lots of room for play and pets or space to build that dream workshop. House has vinyl windows, new paint. A deck off the kitchen/dining area offers a view of the expansive back yard and provides a perfect place to relax. Many amenities: a bonus room for additional entertainment and living space near the guest bedrooms; large master closet; spacious utility room and walk-in kitchen pantry; oversized concrete parking area. For the cook there's generous prep space and countertop seating as well as area for a large dining table. This home is located near schools but is surrounded by green space. Seller to offer credit towards flooring.
-
2024-02-19historical
-
2023-11-11price $365,000
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2023-10-14$370,000 Active
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2023-10-09historical
-
2023-09-11price $375,000
-
2023-08-23$380,000 Active
-
2004-09-10soldstatus $91,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,140 · $178/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,797 · $233/mo
- Expected delta
- +$658/yr (+$55/mo · 30.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,070
- − Property taxes
- −$2,140
- − Insurance
- −$1,970
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,072
- − Management
- −$3,072
- − Depreciation
- −$11,462
- Taxable loss
- −$5,386
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,293
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,725/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dickson County
- NCES district ID
- 4701020
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,458
- Composite
- 27.01/100
- National rank
- #7064
- State rank
- #39 of 139 in TN
Livability — White Bluff
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #230
- US rank
- #17056
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- White Bluff, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,382
Population outlook (Dickson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,013 people
- By 2030
- 56,448 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 58,508 · +6.4%
- By 2050
- 59,076 · +7.4%
- By 2075
- 58,343 · +6.1%
- By 2100
- 52,900 · -3.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Dickson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.9) · D 23.5% · R 75.4% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.6pp toward R · 2008: -21.4pp · 2024: -51.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.9 2020: R+47.4 2016: R+45.6 2012: R+28.4 2008: R+21.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.65%
- Current HPI
- 327.2594
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
-97.1% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed for Rent $2,650 REALTRACS
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $394,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-06 Price Changed $399,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $408,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $409,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Listed $420,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $359,900 Public Records
- 2024-04-22 Sold (MLS) $359,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-23 Contingent — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-15 Relisted — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-08 Contingent — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-02 Listed $359,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-19 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-11 Price Changed $365,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-14 Listed $370,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-09 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-11 Price Changed $375,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-23 Listed $380,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+25.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,140 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…