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105 Larkins Dr
D Composite 40.31
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.9/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$394,000

105 Larkins Dr · White Bluff, TN 37187
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,876 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 2013 1.17 ac lot $210/sqft · at area comps Est $388k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ONE-STORY, 4-bedroom home on LEVEL, DOUBLE LOT in White Bluff, 25 miles from Nashville. Huge fenced back yard with mature apple tree and lots of room for play and pets or space to build that dream workshop. House has vinyl windows, new paint. A deck off the kitchen/dining area offers a view of the expansive back yard and provides a perfect place to relax. Many amenities: a bonus room for additional entertainment and living space near the guest bedrooms; large master closet; spacious utility room and walk-in kitchen pantry; oversized concrete parking area. For the cook there's generous prep space and countertop seating as well as area for a large dining table. This home is located near schools but is surrounded by green space. Seller to offer credit towards flooring.

Key facts

  • Room to grow
  • Space for goats
  • Space for ducks

Tags

SPACIOUS BONUS ROOMHOBBY FARMINGCHICKEN COOPSPACE FOR GOATSSPACE FOR DUCKSROOM TO GROW

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking for 3 vehicles (all open spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Crawl space / no finished basement; Existing structure
  • Exterior features: Porch; Covered patio/porch areas; Deck; Chain link fencing; Storage building/structure; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven and range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Pantry; Walk-in closets; Double vanity in master bathroom
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $394k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $119 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $320k (18.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $320k (18.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.2% in White Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#230 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Dickson County (rural): math 30% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #39 of 139 in TN (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: White Bluff Elementary (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #369 of 952 statewide, top 42%, 464 students, 0% FRL); W James Middle School (math 35% / reading 35%, grade F, #65 of 333 statewide, top 20%, 253 students, 0% FRL); Creek Wood High School (math 22% / reading 39%, grade F, #75 of 332 statewide, top 24%, 933 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 45% district-wide (45 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 376 units permitted in Dickson County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dickson County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($382k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 14768% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $320,000 (18.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.30%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$388,431
List price
$394,000
Delta
1.43%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1000 Twin Oaks Dr 0.23mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,726 (-8%) 1mo $339,000 $196 70
1526 Taylortown Rd 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,961 (+4%) 15mo $379,900 $194 66
1631 Taylor Town Rd 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,728 (-8%) 7mo $425,000 $246 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.3%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-56,389
Equity at exit
$58,747
10-year hold
IRR
-5.6%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-39,903
Equity at exit
$34,066

Cash invested: $110,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37187

Home prices YoY
-19.0%
Active inventory
48
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,066
Tax from tax record
$178 /mo · $2,140/yr
Insurance
$164
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$672
Net cashflow
$119

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,049
Max offer price $394,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $342 -5% $231 +0% $119 +5% $8 +10% $-104
Rent -10% $-133 -5% $-7 +0% $119 +5% $246 +10% $372
Rate -1.0pp $318 -0.5pp $220 base $119 +0.5pp $17 +1.0pp $-87

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$98,500
Closing costs
$11,820
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1394 Taylor Town Rd White Bluff, TN 5.0 3.0 2350 $3,200 $1.36 0d 1 0.33mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $394,000 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $394,000 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $394,000 Active 37 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $394,000 Active 36 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $394,000 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $394,000 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $394,000 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $394,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $394,000 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $399,900 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    remarks 699-char remark
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $408,000 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $408,000 Active 23 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $409,000 Active 22 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $409,000 Active 21 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $409,000 Active 20 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    listed $420,000 Active 469-char remark
  18. 2024-04-23
    soldstatus $359,900
  19. 2024-04-22
    soldstatus $359,900 Closed 776-char remark
    Show marketing remark (776 chars)

    ONE-STORY, 4-bedroom home on LEVEL, DOUBLE LOT in White Bluff, 25 miles from Nashville. Huge fenced back yard with mature apple tree and lots of room for play and pets or space to build that dream workshop. House has vinyl windows, new paint. A deck off the kitchen/dining area offers a view of the expansive back yard and provides a perfect place to relax. Many amenities: a bonus room for additional entertainment and living space near the guest bedrooms; large master closet; spacious utility room and walk-in kitchen pantry; oversized concrete parking area. For the cook there's generous prep space and countertop seating as well as area for a large dining table. This home is located near schools but is surrounded by green space. Seller to offer credit towards flooring.

  20. 2024-03-23
    historical Active Under Contract 776-char remark
    Show marketing remark (776 chars)

    ONE-STORY, 4-bedroom home on LEVEL, DOUBLE LOT in White Bluff, 25 miles from Nashville. Huge fenced back yard with mature apple tree and lots of room for play and pets or space to build that dream workshop. House has vinyl windows, new paint. A deck off the kitchen/dining area offers a view of the expansive back yard and provides a perfect place to relax. Many amenities: a bonus room for additional entertainment and living space near the guest bedrooms; large master closet; spacious utility room and walk-in kitchen pantry; oversized concrete parking area. For the cook there's generous prep space and countertop seating as well as area for a large dining table. This home is located near schools but is surrounded by green space. Seller to offer credit towards flooring.

  21. 2024-03-15
    status Active 776-char remark
    Show marketing remark (776 chars)

    ONE-STORY, 4-bedroom home on LEVEL, DOUBLE LOT in White Bluff, 25 miles from Nashville. Huge fenced back yard with mature apple tree and lots of room for play and pets or space to build that dream workshop. House has vinyl windows, new paint. A deck off the kitchen/dining area offers a view of the expansive back yard and provides a perfect place to relax. Many amenities: a bonus room for additional entertainment and living space near the guest bedrooms; large master closet; spacious utility room and walk-in kitchen pantry; oversized concrete parking area. For the cook there's generous prep space and countertop seating as well as area for a large dining table. This home is located near schools but is surrounded by green space. Seller to offer credit towards flooring.

  22. 2024-03-08
    historical Active Under Contract 776-char remark
    Show marketing remark (776 chars)

    ONE-STORY, 4-bedroom home on LEVEL, DOUBLE LOT in White Bluff, 25 miles from Nashville. Huge fenced back yard with mature apple tree and lots of room for play and pets or space to build that dream workshop. House has vinyl windows, new paint. A deck off the kitchen/dining area offers a view of the expansive back yard and provides a perfect place to relax. Many amenities: a bonus room for additional entertainment and living space near the guest bedrooms; large master closet; spacious utility room and walk-in kitchen pantry; oversized concrete parking area. For the cook there's generous prep space and countertop seating as well as area for a large dining table. This home is located near schools but is surrounded by green space. Seller to offer credit towards flooring.

  23. 2024-03-02
    listed $359,900 Active 776-char remark
    Show marketing remark (776 chars)

    ONE-STORY, 4-bedroom home on LEVEL, DOUBLE LOT in White Bluff, 25 miles from Nashville. Huge fenced back yard with mature apple tree and lots of room for play and pets or space to build that dream workshop. House has vinyl windows, new paint. A deck off the kitchen/dining area offers a view of the expansive back yard and provides a perfect place to relax. Many amenities: a bonus room for additional entertainment and living space near the guest bedrooms; large master closet; spacious utility room and walk-in kitchen pantry; oversized concrete parking area. For the cook there's generous prep space and countertop seating as well as area for a large dining table. This home is located near schools but is surrounded by green space. Seller to offer credit towards flooring.

  24. 2024-02-19
    historical
  25. 2023-11-11
    price $365,000
  26. 2023-10-14
    listed $370,000 Active
  27. 2023-10-09
    historical
  28. 2023-09-11
    price $375,000
  29. 2023-08-23
    listed $380,000 Active
  30. 2004-09-10
    soldstatus $91,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,140 · $178/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,797 · $233/mo
Expected delta
+$658/yr (+$55/mo · 30.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,400
− Mortgage interest
−$22,070
− Property taxes
−$2,140
− Insurance
−$1,970
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,072
− Management
−$3,072
− Depreciation
−$11,462
Taxable loss
−$5,386
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,293
After-tax cash flow
$2,725/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dickson County
NCES district ID
4701020
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$45,458
Composite
27.01/100
National rank
#7064
State rank
#39 of 139 in TN

Livability — White Bluff

Score
62/100
State rank
#230
US rank
#17056

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
White Bluff, TN
Population (ZIP)
8,382

Population outlook (Dickson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,013 people
By 2030
56,448 · +2.6%
By 2040
58,508 · +6.4%
By 2050
59,076 · +7.4%
By 2075
58,343 · +6.1%
By 2100
52,900 · -3.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Dickson

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.9) · D 23.5% · R 75.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-30.6pp toward R · 2008: -21.4pp · 2024: -51.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.9 2020: R+47.4 2016: R+45.6 2012: R+28.4 2008: R+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.65%
Current HPI
327.2594
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-97.1% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed for Rent $2,650 REALTRACS
  • 2026-06-08 Price Changed $394,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-06 Price Changed $399,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $408,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $409,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $420,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $359,900 Public Records
  • 2024-04-22 Sold (MLS) $359,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-23 Contingent REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-15 Relisted REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-08 Contingent REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-02 Listed $359,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-19 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-11 Price Changed $365,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-14 Listed $370,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-09 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-11 Price Changed $375,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-23 Listed $380,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+25.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,140 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…