1919 Madison St · Great Bend, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Water line replaced
- Eat-in kitchen
- 7,000 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 50' x 140'; Zoned NC.1 / R-1
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Window coverings; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($818 rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#138 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Great Bend (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #124 of 169 in KS (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Barton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Barton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $6k; list at $65k implies a 982% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.00%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $4,904
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $24,085
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67530
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $818 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $440/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$172
- Net cashflow
- $242
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $279 | -5% $261 | +0% $242 | +5% $224 | +10% $206 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $178 | -5% $210 | +0% $242 | +5% $275 | +10% $307 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $275 | -0.5pp $259 | base $242 | +0.5pp $226 | +1.0pp $208 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $64,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $64,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $64,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $64,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $64,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $64,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $64,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $64,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-14$64,900 Active
-
2000-11-01soldstatus $6,000
-
1985-06-01soldstatus $5,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $440 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $915 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- +$475/yr (+$40/mo · 107.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,819
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$440
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$786
- − Management
- −$786
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $1,960
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$470
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,438/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Great Bend
- NCES district ID
- 2006660
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,027
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7883
- State rank
- #124 of 169 in KS
Livability — Great Bend
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #6794
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Great Bend, KS
- City population
- 17,979
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,979
Population outlook (Barton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,088 people
- By 2030
- 25,418 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 24,010 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 22,719 · -12.9%
- By 2075
- 20,690 · -20.7%
- By 2100
- 18,869 · -27.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 14% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 12%
Political lean MEDSL · Barton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.8) · D 20.9% · R 77.6% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.4pp toward R · 2008: -43.3pp · 2024: -56.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.8 2020: R+56.4 2016: R+58.9 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+43.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.50%
- Current HPI
- 151.6054
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+1198.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $64,900 Hays MLS
- 2000-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
- 1985-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $440 · -5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…