2500 E Harmony Rd #191 · Fort Collins, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Appreciation +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom double-wide home located in the desirable Harmony Village community in Fort Collins. Built in 2009 and offering 1,104 square feet of comfortable living space, this well-kept home features central air conditioning, a bright open floor plan, and plenty of room to make it your own. Enjoy the peaceful cul-de-sac location with a lovely tree out front, providing both shade and curb appeal. The home offers a practical layout with an inviting living area, large kitchen, and a primary suite complete with a private bath. Residents of Harmony Village enjoy a friendly community atmosphere, and pets are welcome (cats and dogs with restrictions). Monthly lot
Key facts
- Cul-de-sac location
- Private bath
- Large kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No designated parking features listed
- Utilities: City water (meter installed); Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electricity available; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Manufactured in park; Mobile home
- Construction: Composition construction; Composition roof; Built by Fleetwood
- Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac; Storage structure on property; Minimal flood risk (C rating)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Microwave; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all conforming)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Open floor plan; Fire alarm
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 30.0% vs local median 2.6% in Fort Collins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#11 in CO, #1,750 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Poudre School District R-1 (urban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #10 of 86 in CO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Traut Core Elementary School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade A-, #26 of 966 statewide, top 4%, 502 students, 12% FRL); Kinard Core Knowledge Middle School (math 61% / reading 77%, grade A, #8 of 270 statewide, top 3%, 748 students, 7% FRL); Fort Collins High School (math 42% / reading 73%, grade C, #68 of 381 statewide, top 18%, 1,903 students, 32% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 66% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Poudre School District R-1 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.4%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $990 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-1.4% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 233 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 233 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 30.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 84.77%
- DSCR
- 4.77
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $73,968
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2500 E Harmony Rd #166 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,186 (+7%) | 5mo | $48,000 | $40 | 84 |
| 2500 E Harmony Rd #269 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (+12%) | 3mo | $82,000 | $67 | 78 |
| 2500 E Harmony Rd #439 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+13%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $84 | 77 |
| 2500 E Harmony Rd #281 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+4%) | 24mo | $65,000 | $56 | 73 |
| 2500 E Harmony Rd #293 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,241 (+12%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $60 | 73 |
| 2500 E Harmony Rd #104 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,038 (-6%) | 22mo | $81,000 | $78 | 72 |
| 2500 E Harmony Rd #484 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+10%) | 14mo | $105,000 | $86 | 71 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.42% appreciation · 3.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 86.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.24×
- Total profit
- $82,888
- Equity at exit
- $15,487
- IRR
- 89.2%
- Equity multiple
- 11.00×
- Total profit
- $195,734
- Equity at exit
- $15,110
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80528
- Home prices YoY
- -0.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,293 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $399/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$482
- Net cashflow
- $1,383
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,422 | -5% $1,402 | +0% $1,383 | +5% $1,363 | +10% $1,343 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,201 | -5% $1,292 | +0% $1,383 | +5% $1,473 | +10% $1,564 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,418 | -0.5pp $1,400 | base $1,383 | +0.5pp $1,365 | +1.0pp $1,346 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2921 Timberwood Dr Fort Collins, CO | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $1,920 | $1.83 | 15d | 3 | 0.61mi |
| 2002 Battlecreek Dr Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 929 | $2,265 | $2.44 | 15d | 15 | 0.88mi |
| 5225 White Willow Dr Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1003 | $1,940 | $1.93 | 15d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4545 Wheaton Dr Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 903 | $2,200 | $2.44 | 15d | 5 | 1.21mi |
| 1314 Armsley Ct Fort Collins, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,400 | $1.92 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2212 Vermont Dr Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 852 | $2,089 | $2.45 | 15d | 7 | 1.31mi |
| 4470 S Lemay Ave Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 870 | $2,229 | $2.56 | 15d | 10 | 1.35mi |
| 3465 Lochwood Dr Unit J39 Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1057 | $1,795 | $1.70 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,900 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,900 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,900 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-04-09price $69,900
-
2026-04-07$75,000 Active
-
2026-03-31soldstatus Closed
-
2025-10-24$75,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $399 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $399 · $33/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,518
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$399
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,201
- − Management
- −$2,201
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $16,417
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,940
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,651/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Poudre School District R-1
- NCES district ID
- 0803990
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,281
- Composite
- 45.5/100
- National rank
- #2610
- State rank
- #10 of 86 in CO
Livability — Fort Collins
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #1750
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Collins, CO
- County
- Larimer County · 338,255 people
- City population
- 202,303
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,960
- Household income
- $130,350
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 378.0
Population outlook (Larimer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,361 people
- By 2030
- 457,762 · +10.2%
- By 2040
- 542,310 · +30.6%
- By 2050
- 627,048 · +51.0%
- By 2075
- 833,722 · +100.7%
- By 2100
- 952,590 · +129.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 12% Asian 6% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Larimer
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.6) · D 57.4% · R 39.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 17.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.6 2020: D+15.4 2016: D+4.9 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.42%
- Current HPI
- 244.4061
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.60%
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-6.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $69,900 IRES
- 2026-04-07 Listed $75,000 IRES
- 2026-03-31 Sold (MLS) — IRES
- 2025-10-24 Listed $75,000 IRES
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $399 · +316.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…