452 Marsh St · Hoven, SD
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.3/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$83,700
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 1 1/2 story home on a large, 3 lot property in a quiet, small town in NE SD. This home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and a 1 stall garage. Boosts hardwood floors, newer kitchen appliances, large mud room, and steel roofing on house & garage. Tons of storage in this one! Don't miss out on this opportunity!
Key facts
- Steel roof
- New front door
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories
- Construction: Below-grade finished area included
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Shed(s); Lot approximately 103 x 132; Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement; 13 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#168 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Hoven School District 53-2 (rural): math 40% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #76 of 148 in SD (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($579 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.06%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $83,294
- List price
- $83,700
- Delta
- 0.49%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 449 O Gorman St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,155 (+7%) | 19mo | $110,000 | $95 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.23×
- Total profit
- $28,811
- Equity at exit
- $37,635
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.26×
- Total profit
- $76,321
- Equity at exit
- $58,000
Cash invested: $23,436 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Dakota
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 57450
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,064 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$439
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $875/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $294
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,925
- Closing costs
- $2,511
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 34 events
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2026-06-19days on market $83,700 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $83,700 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $83,700 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $83,700 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $83,700 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $83,700 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $83,700 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $83,700 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $83,700 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $83,700 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $83,700 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $83,700 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $83,700 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $83,700 Active 22 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $83,700 Active 21 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $83,700 Active 20 DOM
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2026-05-11$83,700 Active 319-char remark
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2025-02-11$90,000 Active
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2023-11-01soldstatus $76,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Charming 1 1/2 story home on a large, 3 lot property in a quiet, small town in NE SD. This home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and a 1 stall garage. Boosts hardwood floors, newer kitchen appliances, large mud room, and steel roofing on house & garage. Tons of storage in this one! Don't miss out on this opportunity!
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2023-09-05status Pending
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2023-08-30historical Active - Contingent Misc
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2023-08-26status Pending
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Charming 1 1/2 story home on a large, 3 lot property in a quiet, small town in NE SD. This home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and a 1 stall garage. Boosts hardwood floors, newer kitchen appliances, large mud room, and steel roofing on house & garage. Tons of storage in this one! Don't miss out on this opportunity!
-
2023-08-26historical
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Charming 1 1/2 story home on a large, 3 lot property in a quiet, small town in NE SD. This home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and a 1 stall garage. Boosts hardwood floors, newer kitchen appliances, large mud room, and steel roofing on house & garage. Tons of storage in this one! Don't miss out on this opportunity!
-
2023-08-26status Active
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Charming 1 1/2 story home on a large, 3 lot property in a quiet, small town in NE SD. This home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and a 1 stall garage. Boosts hardwood floors, newer kitchen appliances, large mud room, and steel roofing on house & garage. Tons of storage in this one! Don't miss out on this opportunity!
-
2023-08-15historical
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Charming 1 1/2 story home on a large, 3 lot property in a quiet, small town in NE SD. This home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and a 1 stall garage. Boosts hardwood floors, newer kitchen appliances, large mud room, and steel roofing on house & garage. Tons of storage in this one! Don't miss out on this opportunity!
-
2023-07-17price $70,000
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Charming 1 1/2 story home on a large, 3 lot property in a quiet, small town in NE SD. This home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and a 1 stall garage. Boosts hardwood floors, newer kitchen appliances, large mud room, and steel roofing on house & garage. Tons of storage in this one! Don't miss out on this opportunity!
-
2023-07-17price $70,000
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Charming 1 1/2 story home on a large, 3 lot property in a quiet, small town in NE SD. This home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and a 1 stall garage. Boosts hardwood floors, newer kitchen appliances, large mud room, and steel roofing on house & garage. Tons of storage in this one! Don't miss out on this opportunity!
-
2023-06-16price $75,000
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2023-06-15price $75,000
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Charming 1 1/2 story home on a large, 3 lot property in a quiet, small town in NE SD. This home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and a 1 stall garage. Boosts hardwood floors, newer kitchen appliances, large mud room, and steel roofing on house & garage. Tons of storage in this one! Don't miss out on this opportunity!
-
2023-05-27$79,900 Active
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Charming 1 1/2 story home on a large, 3 lot property in a quiet, small town in NE SD. This home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and a 1 stall garage. Boosts hardwood floors, newer kitchen appliances, large mud room, and steel roofing on house & garage. Tons of storage in this one! Don't miss out on this opportunity!
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2023-05-21$79,900 Active - New
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2022-10-22$79,900 Active
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2019-08-23soldstatus $30,000
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2019-07-23$30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $875 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,096 · $91/mo
- Expected delta
- +$221/yr (+$18/mo · 25.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,772
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,689
- − Property taxes
- −$875
- − Insurance
- −$418
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,022
- − Management
- −$1,022
- − Depreciation
- −$2,435
- Taxable income
- $2,312
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$555
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,974/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hoven School District 53-2
- NCES district ID
- 4634600
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,824
- Composite
- 43.98/100
- National rank
- #6269
- State rank
- #76 of 148 in SD
Livability — Hoven
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #168
- US rank
- #14372
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hoven, SD
- Population (ZIP)
- 605
Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,235 people
- By 2030
- 2,208 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 2,203 · -1.4%
- By 2050
- 2,266 · +1.4%
- By 2075
- 2,920 · +30.6%
- By 2100
- 3,427 · +53.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Potter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.1) · D 16.5% · R 81.6% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.5pp toward R · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -65.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.1 2020: R+66.1 2016: R+64.0 2012: R+50.0 2008: R+31.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities | 1 | $1B |
|
||
Price history
+179.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $83,700 ABOR
- 2025-02-11 Listed $90,000 ABOR
- 2023-11-01 Sold (MLS) $76,000 ABOR
- 2023-09-05 Pending — REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2023-08-30 Contingent — REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2023-08-26 Pending — ABOR
- 2023-08-26 Listing Removed — REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2023-08-26 Relisted — ABOR
- 2023-08-15 Delisted — ABOR
- 2023-07-17 Price Changed $70,000 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2023-07-17 Price Changed $70,000 ABOR
- 2023-06-16 Price Changed $75,000 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2023-06-15 Price Changed $75,000 ABOR
- 2023-05-27 Listed $79,900 ABOR
- 2023-05-21 Listed $79,900 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2022-10-22 Listed $79,900 ABOR
- 2019-08-23 Sold (MLS) $30,000 ABOR
- 2019-07-23 Listed $30,000 ABOR
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $875 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…