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1644 E Goulson Ave
C Composite 59.36
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,950

1644 E Goulson Ave · Hazel Park, MI 48030
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 952 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 1954 4,356 sqft lot Est $145k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Hazel Park featuring a 2-car garage and a newer roof for added peace of mind. This property offers great potential for a first-time homebuyer or savvy investor looking to add value. Spacious layout with plenty of natural light and opportunity to make it your own. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Home has been virtually staged to showcase its potential.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1954

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual property tax: $1,975

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Other water source
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation; Built area above grade: 952 square feet
  • Exterior features: Paved road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 6.3% in Hazel Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#65 in MI, #1,385 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+.
  • Hazel Park School District (suburban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #490 of 540 in MI (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: United Oaks Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,185 of 1,397 statewide, top 86%, 350 students, 86% FRL); Hazel Park Junior High School (math 11% / reading 30%, grade F, #418 of 493 statewide, top 85%, 430 students, 78% FRL); Hazel Park High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #622 of 713 statewide, top 88%, 587 students, 73% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 31y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $140k implies a 409% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $135,751 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
8.84%
Cash-on-cash
9.09%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$144,704
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1644 E Goulson Ave 0.00mi 3/1.0 952 (0%) 0mo $139,950 $147 100
23036 Couzens Ave 0.41mi 3/1.0 973 (+2%) 1mo $215,000 $221 76
2184 Garrick Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 960 (+1%) 1mo $95,100 $99 76
23384 Vassar Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 940 (-1%) 0mo $212,000 $226 69
23067 Hazelwood Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 918 (-4%) 1mo $120,000 $131 63
23345 Tawas Ave 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 930 (-2%) 1mo $118,000 $127 60
720 E Robert Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,056 (+11%) 2mo $150,000 $142 54
23392 Cayuga Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 875 (-8%) 1mo $145,000 $166 54
23361 Hazelwood Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,020 (+7%) 2mo $165,000 $162 54
1218 E Milton Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,021 (+7%) 1mo $155,000 $152 53
1032 E Maxlow Ave 0.64mi 2/1.5 (-1) 867 (-9%) 1mo $185,000 $213 48
1721 E Woodward Heights Blvd 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 868 (-9%) 2mo $117,200 $135 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-3,908
Equity at exit
$20,867
10-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$20,368
Equity at exit
$12,100

Cash invested: $39,186 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48030

Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
141
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,587 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$165 /mo · $1,976/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$333
Net cashflow
$297

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,211
Max offer price $139,950
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $376 -5% $337 +0% $297 +5% $257 +10% $218
Rent -10% $172 -5% $234 +0% $297 +5% $360 +10% $422
Rate -1.0pp $367 -0.5pp $333 base $297 +0.5pp $261 +1.0pp $224

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,988
Closing costs
$4,198
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1731 E Pearl Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 844 $1,500 $1.78 22d 1 0.13mi
23077 Davey Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 933 $1,895 $2.03 26d 1 0.20mi
1621 E Evelyn Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 749 $1,295 $1.73 19d 1 0.44mi
1326 E Evelyn Ave Unit 1032332P Hazel Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1097 $6,448 $5.88 0d 1 0.52mi
21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 837 $1,375 $1.64 23d 1 0.53mi
1770 E Woodward Heights Blvd Unit E3 Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 26d 1 0.60mi
1770 E Woodward Heights Blvd Hazel Park, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 712 $1,400 $1.96 6d 1 0.60mi
1770 E Woodward Heights Blvd Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,525 $1.79 14d 1 0.60mi
23115 Tawas Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 706 $1,375 $1.95 26d 1 0.61mi
2709 Capitol Ave Warren, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,649 $1.56 45d 1 0.63mi
23345 Tawas Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 12d 1 0.65mi
1211 E Bernhard Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 721 $1,500 $2.08 26d 1 0.66mi
1045 E Woodward Heights Blvd Hazel Park, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 715 $1,209 $1.69 26d 3 0.75mi
1019 E Hayes Ave Unit 1032331P Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1033 $5,281 $5.11 0d 1 0.79mi
2034 John B Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 920 $1,261 $1.37 45d 1 0.81mi
21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 756 $1,029 $1.36 26d 1 0.81mi
23773 Hazelwood Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 671 $1,400 $2.09 14d 1 0.81mi
429 E Milton Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1075 $1,595 $1.48 1d 1 0.95mi
90 W Meyers Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 831 $1,800 $2.17 26d 1 1.00mi
407 E Hayes Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 26d 1 1.01mi
266 W Goulson Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 942 $1,600 $1.70 23d 1 1.02mi
3840 Bart Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,350 $1.27 26d 1 1.05mi
25151 Dequindre Rd Madison Heights, MI 3.0 2.0 1088 $1,279 $1.18 25d 1 1.20mi
2023 Ardmore Dr Ferndale, MI 2.0 1.0 771 $1,250 $1.62 26d 1 1.21mi
20255 Harned St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,374 $1.37 18d 1 1.23mi
155 W George Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 725 $1,000 $1.38 26d 1 1.26mi
1561 E Webster St Ferndale, MI 2.0 1.0 939 $1,600 $1.70 26d 1 1.39mi
2033 Wrenson St Ferndale, MI 3.0 1.0 816 $1,675 $2.05 0d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 433-char remark
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Hazel Park featuring a 2-car garage and a newer roof for added peace of mind. This property offers great potential for a first-time homebuyer or savvy investor looking to add value. Spacious layout with plenty of natural light and opportunity to make it your own. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Home has been virtually staged to showcase its potential.

  2. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Hazel Park featuring a 2-car garage and a newer roof for added peace of mind. This property offers great potential for a first-time homebuyer or savvy investor looking to add value. Spacious layout with plenty of natural light and opportunity to make it your own. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Home has been virtually staged to showcase its potential.

  3. 2026-04-28
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 433-char remark
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Hazel Park featuring a 2-car garage and a newer roof for added peace of mind. This property offers great potential for a first-time homebuyer or savvy investor looking to add value. Spacious layout with plenty of natural light and opportunity to make it your own. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Home has been virtually staged to showcase its potential.

  4. 2026-04-28
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Hazel Park featuring a 2-car garage and a newer roof for added peace of mind. This property offers great potential for a first-time homebuyer or savvy investor looking to add value. Spacious layout with plenty of natural light and opportunity to make it your own. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Home has been virtually staged to showcase its potential.

  5. 2026-04-24
    price $139,950 433-char remark
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Hazel Park featuring a 2-car garage and a newer roof for added peace of mind. This property offers great potential for a first-time homebuyer or savvy investor looking to add value. Spacious layout with plenty of natural light and opportunity to make it your own. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Home has been virtually staged to showcase its potential.

  6. 2026-04-23
    price $139,950
  7. 2026-04-01
    price $147,500 433-char remark
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Hazel Park featuring a 2-car garage and a newer roof for added peace of mind. This property offers great potential for a first-time homebuyer or savvy investor looking to add value. Spacious layout with plenty of natural light and opportunity to make it your own. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Home has been virtually staged to showcase its potential.

  8. 2026-03-31
    price $147,500
  9. 2026-03-20
    listed $150,000 Active 433-char remark
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Hazel Park featuring a 2-car garage and a newer roof for added peace of mind. This property offers great potential for a first-time homebuyer or savvy investor looking to add value. Spacious layout with plenty of natural light and opportunity to make it your own. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Home has been virtually staged to showcase its potential.

  10. 2026-03-20
    listed $150,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Hazel Park featuring a 2-car garage and a newer roof for added peace of mind. This property offers great potential for a first-time homebuyer or savvy investor looking to add value. Spacious layout with plenty of natural light and opportunity to make it your own. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Home has been virtually staged to showcase its potential.

  11. 2013-08-12
    historical
  12. 2013-05-24
    listed $800
  13. 2013-05-10
    soldstatus $27,510
  14. 2013-05-10
    soldstatus $27,510
  15. 2013-04-22
    historical
  16. 2013-04-09
    listed $24,900
  17. 2013-04-09
    listed $24,900
  18. 2013-04-09
    historical
  19. 2013-04-08
    soldstatus $11,000
  20. 2013-04-01
    historical
  21. 2013-03-01
    listed $24,900
  22. 2013-03-01
    listed $24,900
  23. 2003-09-30
    soldstatus $105,800
  24. 2003-06-11
    historical
  25. 2003-04-25
    historical
  26. 2003-01-16
    listed $101,900
  27. 2003-01-16
    listed $104,750
  28. 2001-09-12
    soldstatus $95,000
  29. 1996-08-15
    soldstatus $51,000
  30. 1995-10-03
    soldstatus $51,000
  31. 1995-07-18
    historical
  32. 1995-06-26
    listed $52,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,976 · $165/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,066 · $172/mo
Expected delta
+$90/yr (+$7/mo · 4.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,045
− Mortgage interest
−$7,839
− Property taxes
−$1,976
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,524
− Management
−$1,524
− Depreciation
−$4,071
Taxable income
$1,412
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$339
After-tax cash flow
$3,224/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hazel Park School District
NCES district ID
2618030
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$36,181
Composite
14.05/100
National rank
#9466
State rank
#490 of 540 in MI

Livability — Hazel Park

Score
81/100
State rank
#65
US rank
#1385

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hazel Park, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
14,963
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
14,963
Household income
$67,073
Rent vs Own
33.9% rent · 66.1% own
Severe rent burden
432.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Two or more races 10% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -184.32%
Current HPI
285.5923
Rent YoY
▲ 2.90%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+165.1% since first listed
32 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-28 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $139,950 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $139,950 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $147,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $147,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-08-12 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-05-24 Listed $800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-05-10 Sold (MLS) $27,510 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-05-10 Sold (MLS) $27,510 REALCOMP
  • 2013-04-22 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-04-09 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2013-04-09 Listed $24,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-04-09 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP
  • 2013-04-08 Sold (MLS) $11,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-04-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-03-01 Listed $24,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-03-01 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $105,800 Public Records
  • 2003-06-11 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2003-04-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2003-01-16 Listed $104,750 REALCOMP
  • 2003-01-16 Listed $101,900 REALCOMP
  • 2001-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 1996-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
  • 1995-10-03 Sold (MLS) $51,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1995-07-18 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1995-06-26 Listed $52,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,976 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…