216 S Poplar St · Dyer, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming and full of character, this inviting home at 216 S. Poplar in Dyer offers a versatile enclosed entry that can easily serve as a bright sunroom. Beautiful hardwood floors add warmth and shine throughout the living spaces. Situated on a spacious half-acre lot, there's plenty of room for outdoor activities, gardening, or simply relaxing. Whether you're a first-time buyer or looking for an investment opportunity, this property offers great potential. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Half-acre lot
- Enclosed entry
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Total of 2 parking spaces; 1 covered carport space; Open parking (2 spaces)
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (connected); Water connected; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Raised foundation
- Construction: Metal roof; Other construction materials; Raised foundation; Built as a one-story home
- Exterior features: Awnings; Level lot; Asphalt road frontage on a public maintained city street
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Cedar closets; Ceiling fans; Central vacuum; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Blinds; Wood window frames
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (11.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $98k (11.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#234 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Gibson County Sp District (rural): math 47% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 139 in TN (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Gibson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
- Gibson County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $110k implies a 273% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.03%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.58% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $11,756
- Equity at exit
- $40,903
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $43,187
- Equity at exit
- $57,048
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38330
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 28
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $979 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $565/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$206
- Net cashflow
- $103
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $166 | -5% $135 | +0% $103 | +5% $72 | +10% $41 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $26 | -5% $65 | +0% $103 | +5% $142 | +10% $181 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $159 | -0.5pp $131 | base $103 | +0.5pp $75 | +1.0pp $46 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $110,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $110,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $120,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-04-13$120,000 Active
-
2005-05-23soldstatus $29,500
-
2005-04-15soldstatus $24,000
-
2000-04-14soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $565 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $781 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$216/yr (+$18/mo · 38.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,745
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$565
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$940
- − Management
- −$940
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$611
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$147
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,388/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gibson County Sp District
- NCES district ID
- 4701400
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,868
- Composite
- 36.82/100
- National rank
- #4565
- State rank
- #11 of 139 in TN
Livability — Dyer
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #234
- US rank
- #17246
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dyer, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,938
Population outlook (Gibson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,793 people
- By 2030
- 48,221 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 46,793 · -4.1%
- By 2050
- 44,909 · -8.0%
- By 2075
- 40,191 · -17.6%
- By 2100
- 33,574 · -31.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gibson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.6% · R 75.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.2pp toward R · 2008: -28.8pp · 2024: -52.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+32.1 2008: R+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Current HPI
- 184.9194
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+275.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $120,000 CWTAR
- 2005-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $29,500 Public Records
- 2005-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
- 2000-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $565 · +154.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…