16447 SW Two Wood Way · Indiantown, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This beautifully furnished home features 2 bedrooms and a bonus room perfect for an office or crafts. It boasts a new A/C installed in 2024, a metal roof from 2022, double-pane windows added in 2023, upgraded 2"x6" wall studs, gutters with leaf filters, and hurricane shutters. It comes with 2 portable generators. The enclosed lanai includes impact glass windows, high-end shades, split A/C, reinforced ceiling beams, and double entry, plus there's an outdoor patio and a spacious shed. Located in a 55+ community, amenities include 2 pools, a recreation center, fitness room, tennis courts, shuffleboard, bocce ball, and pickleball. Right next door is a public golf course with a pro shop and a restaurant offering indoor/outdoor seating, full liquor service, and scenic views of the golf course and lake. This pet-friendly community allows 2 pets (no aggressive breeds). The land lease is $1304.00 and the land is not owned. HOA application and a 650+ credit score is required.
Key facts
- A/c 2024
- Hurricane shutters
- Upgraded wall studs
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.8% vs local median 10.9% in Indiantown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#829 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
- Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 472 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 472 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 66.12%
- DSCR
- 3.94
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $20,950
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- 305.73%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
6.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 74.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.68×
- Total profit
- $111,388
- Equity at exit
- $56,972
- IRR
- 70.9%
- Equity multiple
- 11.99×
- Total profit
- $261,509
- Equity at exit
- $106,515
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34956
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,338 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $653/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$491
- Net cashflow
- $1,311
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15817 SW Winter Rd Indiantown, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $2,300 | $1.61 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 15760 SW Hammock Way Indiantown, FL | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 1918 | $2,420 | $1.26 | 1d | 41 | 1.25mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 472 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 471 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 470 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 469 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 467 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 466 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $85,000 Active 464 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 463 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 462 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 461 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 457 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 456 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 455 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 454 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 453 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $85,000 990-char remark
Show marketing remark (990 chars)
This beautifully furnished home features 2 bedrooms and a bonus room perfect for an office or crafts. It boasts a new A/C installed in 2024, a metal roof from 2022, double-pane windows added in 2023, upgraded 2"x6" wall studs, gutters with leaf filters, and hurricane shutters. It comes with 2 portable generators. The enclosed lanai includes impact glass windows, high-end shades, split A/C, reinforced ceiling beams, and double entry, plus there's an outdoor patio and a spacious shed. Located in a 55+ community, amenities include 2 pools, a recreation center, fitness room, tennis courts, shuffleboard, bocce ball, and pickleball. Right next door is a public golf course with a pro shop and a restaurant offering indoor/outdoor seating, full liquor service, and scenic views of the golf course and lake. This pet-friendly community allows 2 pets (no aggressive breeds). The land lease is $1304.00 and the land is not owned. HOA application and a 650+ credit score is required.
-
2025-10-27price $99,000 990-char remark
Show marketing remark (990 chars)
This beautifully furnished home features 2 bedrooms and a bonus room perfect for an office or crafts. It boasts a new A/C installed in 2024, a metal roof from 2022, double-pane windows added in 2023, upgraded 2"x6" wall studs, gutters with leaf filters, and hurricane shutters. It comes with 2 portable generators. The enclosed lanai includes impact glass windows, high-end shades, split A/C, reinforced ceiling beams, and double entry, plus there's an outdoor patio and a spacious shed. Located in a 55+ community, amenities include 2 pools, a recreation center, fitness room, tennis courts, shuffleboard, bocce ball, and pickleball. Right next door is a public golf course with a pro shop and a restaurant offering indoor/outdoor seating, full liquor service, and scenic views of the golf course and lake. This pet-friendly community allows 2 pets (no aggressive breeds). The land lease is $1304.00 and the land is not owned. HOA application and a 650+ credit score is required.
-
2025-08-21price $110,000 990-char remark
Show marketing remark (990 chars)
This beautifully furnished home features 2 bedrooms and a bonus room perfect for an office or crafts. It boasts a new A/C installed in 2024, a metal roof from 2022, double-pane windows added in 2023, upgraded 2"x6" wall studs, gutters with leaf filters, and hurricane shutters. It comes with 2 portable generators. The enclosed lanai includes impact glass windows, high-end shades, split A/C, reinforced ceiling beams, and double entry, plus there's an outdoor patio and a spacious shed. Located in a 55+ community, amenities include 2 pools, a recreation center, fitness room, tennis courts, shuffleboard, bocce ball, and pickleball. Right next door is a public golf course with a pro shop and a restaurant offering indoor/outdoor seating, full liquor service, and scenic views of the golf course and lake. This pet-friendly community allows 2 pets (no aggressive breeds). The land lease is $1304.00 and the land is not owned. HOA application and a 650+ credit score is required.
-
2025-03-03$149,900 Active 990-char remark
Show marketing remark (990 chars)
This beautifully furnished home features 2 bedrooms and a bonus room perfect for an office or crafts. It boasts a new A/C installed in 2024, a metal roof from 2022, double-pane windows added in 2023, upgraded 2"x6" wall studs, gutters with leaf filters, and hurricane shutters. It comes with 2 portable generators. The enclosed lanai includes impact glass windows, high-end shades, split A/C, reinforced ceiling beams, and double entry, plus there's an outdoor patio and a spacious shed. Located in a 55+ community, amenities include 2 pools, a recreation center, fitness room, tennis courts, shuffleboard, bocce ball, and pickleball. Right next door is a public golf course with a pro shop and a restaurant offering indoor/outdoor seating, full liquor service, and scenic views of the golf course and lake. This pet-friendly community allows 2 pets (no aggressive breeds). The land lease is $1304.00 and the land is not owned. HOA application and a 650+ credit score is required.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $653 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $706 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$53/yr (+$4/mo · 8.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,054
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$653
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,244
- − Management
- −$2,244
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $15,253
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,661
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,075/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin
- NCES district ID
- 1201290
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,482
- Composite
- 45.1/100
- National rank
- #2690
- State rank
- #24 of 73 in FL
Livability — Indiantown
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #829
- US rank
- #20298
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indiantown, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,639
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 172,383 people
- By 2030
- 180,192 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 194,114 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 204,992 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 229,641 · +33.2%
- By 2100
- 232,146 · +34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% Black 24% White 24% Two or more races 16% Native American 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 42%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.65%
- Current HPI
- 561.896
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-43.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $85,000 MCRTC
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $99,000 MCRTC
- 2025-08-21 Price Changed $110,000 MCRTC
- 2025-03-03 Listed $149,900 MCRTC
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2024): $653 · -44.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…