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25 Bellmawr Dr
D+ Composite 45.38
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,900

25 Bellmawr Dr · Gates, NY 14624
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,608 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1971 0.35 ac lot Est $275k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial located in Chili! Offering 1,608 sq ft of living space, this home features a classic layout with great bones and the perfect opportunity to make it your own. Step inside to a spacious, light-filled living room that flows into a formal dining area—ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The eat-in kitchen offers abundant cabinet space and overlooks the backyard, ready for your personal touch. A convenient first-floor half bath completes the main level. Upstairs, you’ll find three generously sized bedrooms, including a spacious primary, along with a full bath. Beautiful hardwood floors run throughout much of the home

Key facts

  • Eat in kitchen
  • Hardwood floors
  • 0.35 acre lot

Tags

LIGHT FILLED LIVING ROOMEAT IN KITCHENHARDWOOD FLOORSADDITIONAL LIVING SPACEQUIET NEIGHBORHOOD SETTING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is rectangular, residential; dimensions approximately 90 x 170; about 0.35 acre; City street frontage
  • Financial info: Financial details not included
  • HOA & community: No HOA information specified

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with electricity; 2-car garage
  • Security: No security features specified
  • Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Electric service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Two-story home; Resale property
  • Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Existing (previously built) structure
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Shed(s) and storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms information not specified
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Full basement with sump pump; 7 total rooms; Laundry in basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1 ($10/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (5.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $237k (5.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#582 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Gates-Chili Central School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #491 of 590 in NY (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $236,992 (5.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
6.30%
Cash-on-cash
0.01%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$274,968
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
25 Bellmawr Dr 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,608 (0%) 1mo $310,000 $193 99
52 Chestnut Ridge Rd 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,590 (-1%) 1mo $300,500 $189 74
21 Red Bud Rd 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,582 (-2%) 8mo $269,900 $171 70
71 Bellmawr Dr 0.16mi 3/1.5 1,429 (-11%) 8mo $280,000 $196 67
25 Red Bud Rd 0.44mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,568 (-2%) 4mo $200,000 $128 67
3112 Chili Ave 0.45mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,656 (+3%) 8mo $235,000 $142 60
536 Paul Rd 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,662 (+3%) 6mo $240,000 $144 59
20 White Birch Cir 0.58mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,714 (+7%) 1mo $350,000 $204 56
34 Chestnut Ridge Rd 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,494 (-7%) 4mo $224,000 $150 55
22 Laredo Dr 0.55mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,492 (-7%) 5mo $230,000 $154 53
162 Chestnut Ridge Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-7%) 8mo $261,000 $174 48
159 Chestnut Ridge Rd 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,512 (-6%) 8mo $250,000 $165 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.2%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-40,317
Equity at exit
$37,261
10-year hold
IRR
-7.8%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-34,533
Equity at exit
$21,607

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14624

Active inventory
127
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,370 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$457 /mo · $5,481/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$498
Net cashflow
$1

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,369
Max offer price $249,900
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,475
Closing costs
$7,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
25 Red Bud Rd Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1568 $2,600 $1.66 19d 1 0.45mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    listed $249,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,481 · $457/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,481 · $457/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,439
− Mortgage interest
−$13,998
− Property taxes
−$5,481
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,275
− Management
−$2,275
− Depreciation
−$7,270
Taxable loss
−$4,110
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$986
After-tax cash flow
$996/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gates-Chili Central School District
NCES district ID
3611880
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$55,045
Composite
36.23/100
National rank
#4719
State rank
#491 of 590 in NY

Livability — Gates

Score
67/100
State rank
#582
US rank
#10531

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
38,626
Household income
$87,989
Rent vs Own
21.1% rent · 78.9% own
Severe rent burden
584.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, India
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -151.26%
Current HPI
267.356
Rent YoY
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $249,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,481 · +24.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…