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2478 Richmond Hwy
C+ Composite 62.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$109,999

2478 Richmond Hwy · Amherst, VA 24553
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · Other · 3 Days on market
Built 1992 2.89 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the perfect blend of country living, investment potential, and future opportunity at 2478 Richmond Highway. Situated on a spacious parcel featuring open land, mature hardwoods, a year-round creek, this property offers room to spread out and endless possibilities for the next owner. The home is positioned on a large, mostly open homesite surrounded by nature, providing privacy and a peaceful setting while still offering convenient access to surrounding communities. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence, rental property, weekend retreat, or investment opportunity, this property checks all the boxes. What truly sets this property apart is its potential for future

Key facts

  • Mature hardwoods
  • Generous acreage
  • Year round creek

Tags

MATURE HARDWOODSYEAR ROUND CREEKLARGE MOSTLY OPEN HOMESITEGENEROUS ACREAGEADDITIONAL BUILDING SITES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: $175 annual tax (listed)

Exterior

  • Parking: Circular driveway; Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Single-family residence; 1 story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Built on crawl space
  • Exterior features: Front porch

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Crawl space
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.5% in Amherst — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#90 in VA, #2,933 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Amherst County Public School District (rural): math 40% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #94 of 131 in VA (top 72%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Amherst Elementary (math 57% / reading 77%, grade B+, #381 of 1,108 statewide, top 36%, 260 students, 78% FRL); Amherst Middle (math 30% / reading 66%, grade C-, #247 of 342 statewide, top 74%, 347 students, 77% FRL); Amherst County High (math 57% / reading 81%, grade B, #170 of 319 statewide, top 55%, 1,260 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 42% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 228 units permitted in Amherst County in 2024 (108 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
  • Amherst County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $109,999

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.18%
Cash-on-cash
6.75%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.03% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
1.99×
Total profit
$30,441
Equity at exit
$55,993
10-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
3.78×
Total profit
$85,691
Equity at exit
$91,758

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24553

Home prices YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,182 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax est. 1.5%
$137 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $109,999
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $249 -5% $211 +0% $173 +5% $135 +10% $97
Rent -10% $80 -5% $127 +0% $173 +5% $220 +10% $267
Rate -1.0pp $229 -0.5pp $201 base $173 +0.5pp $145 +1.0pp $116

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $109,999 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,999 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    listed $109,999 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,178
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,134
− Management
−$1,134
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$348
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$84
After-tax cash flow
$1,995/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amherst County Public School District
NCES district ID
5100210
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -42.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$45,945
Composite
43.96/100
National rank
#2900
State rank
#94 of 131 in VA

Livability — Amherst

Score
77/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#2933

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,553

Population outlook (Amherst County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
29,790 people
By 2030
28,332 · -4.9%
By 2040
24,963 · -16.2%
By 2050
21,468 · -27.9%
By 2075
14,111 · -52.6%
By 2100
9,344 · -68.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Lithuanian 4% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Amherst

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.5) · D 31.4% · R 67.9%
2008→2024 swing
-20.3pp toward R · 2008: -16.2pp · 2024: -36.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.5 2020: R+31.6 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+19.9 2008: R+16.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.03%
Current HPI
181.5455
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $109,999 LMLS

Property tax history

-2.8%/yr

Latest (2021): $112 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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