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52 Cotts Dr
B Composite 70.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

52 Cotts Dr · North Sioux City, SD 57049
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1990 $37/sqft · 86% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Turn key ready
  • All appliances stay
  • Quiet area

Tags

TURN KEY READYALL APPLIANCES STAYDEDICATED MASTER BATHQUIET AREA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking; No garage
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential home
  • Construction: Wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Level, landscaped lot with few trees; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Primary bedroom on main level; Water softener
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $555 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 1.5% in North Sioux City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#59 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Dakota Valley School District 61-8 (suburban): math 45% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #16 of 59 in SD (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Dakota Valley Elementary - 02 (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #32 of 253 statewide, top 14%, 365 students, 11% FRL); Dakota Valley Middle School - 03 (math 39% / reading 60%, grade C, #55 of 143 statewide, top 46%, 342 students, 10% FRL); Dakota Valley High School - 01 (math 52% / reading 72%, grade B-, #28 of 151 statewide, top 19%, 448 students, 8% FRL) — zoned schools at 9% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 46 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Union County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $43,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.33%
Cap rate
21.08%
Cash-on-cash
52.82%
DSCR
3.35
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$323,509
List price
$45,000
Delta
-86.09%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.8%
Equity multiple
3.22×
Total profit
$28,025
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
56.2%
Equity multiple
6.54×
Total profit
$69,859
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Dakota
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; mostly landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 57049

Home prices YoY
-27.9%
Active inventory
89
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,048 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$18 /mo · $218/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$555

Break-even live

Break-even rent $345
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $580 -5% $567 +0% $555 +5% $542 +10% $529
Rent -10% $472 -5% $513 +0% $555 +5% $596 +10% $637
Rate -1.0pp $577 -0.5pp $566 base $555 +0.5pp $543 +1.0pp $531

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
340 Streeter Dr North Sioux City, SD 2.0 1.0 750 $1,048 $1.40 44d 3 1.31mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $45,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $45,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $45,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $45,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-13
    listed $45,000 Active 750-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$218 · $18/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$590 · $49/mo
Expected delta
+$372/yr (+$31/mo · 170.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,570
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$218
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,006
− Management
−$1,006
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$6,286
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,509
After-tax cash flow
$5,147/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dakota Valley School District 61-8
NCES district ID
4636990
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$71,366
Composite
46.43/100
National rank
#2451
State rank
#16 of 59 in SD

Livability — North Sioux City

Score
71/100
State rank
#59
US rank
#7085

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Sioux City, SD
Population (ZIP)
7,814

Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,155 people
By 2030
16,737 · +3.6%
By 2040
17,804 · +10.2%
By 2050
18,877 · +16.8%
By 2075
23,022 · +42.5%
By 2100
29,133 · +80.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 3% Black 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Union

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.7) · D 28.7% · R 69.4% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-26.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -40.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.7 2020: R+36.4 2016: R+38.8 2012: R+25.2 2008: R+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.14%
Current HPI
175.7612
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.70%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $45,000 NWIA

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $218 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…