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C- Composite 53.26
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

214 4th St · Kinder, LA 70648
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,386 sqft · Manufactured · 14 Days on market
Built 2022 9,148 sqft lot Est $87k · 14% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 214 4th Street in Kinder, LA! This 2022 mobile home offers modern comfort with a fresh, like-new feel. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, the layout is both functional and inviting, perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The open-concept living area flows into the kitchen, giving you plenty of space to gather, cook, and relax. The primary suite provides a private retreat with its own bathroom, while the additional bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Whether you're looking for a place to call home or thinking about adding a solid rental to your portfolio, this one checks both boxes.

Key facts

  • 9,148 sq ft lot
  • Built 2022
  • Listed 14 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story manufactured home; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Lot is approximately 0.21 acre; Residential zoning

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#21 in LA, #4,044 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Allen Parish (rural): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #36 of 98 in LA (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Kinder Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #251 of 646 statewide, top 41%, 541 students, 72% FRL); Kinder Middle School (math 31% / reading 56%, grade D, #55 of 218 statewide, top 25%, 374 students, 61% FRL); Kinder High School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #45 of 265 statewide, top 20%, 426 students, 60% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Allen Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allen County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.09%
Cash-on-cash
10.00%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$87,318
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
706 3rd Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+8%) 20mo $95,000 $63 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-1,324
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$18,035
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70648

Home prices YoY
-25.9%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,169 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$233

Break-even live

Break-even rent $874
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $302 -5% $268 +0% $233 +5% $199 +10% $164
Rent -10% $141 -5% $187 +0% $233 +5% $279 +10% $325
Rate -1.0pp $283 -0.5pp $259 base $233 +0.5pp $207 +1.0pp $181

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-05-28
    status Active
  6. 2026-04-08
    historical
  7. 2026-03-30
    listed $99,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,028
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,498
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,122
− Management
−$1,122
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$1,283
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$308
After-tax cash flow
$2,489/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Allen Parish
NCES district ID
2200060
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -46.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -39.00%
Median HH income
$39,440
Composite
28.45/100
National rank
#6751
State rank
#36 of 98 in LA

Livability — Kinder

Score
75/100
State rank
#21
US rank
#4044

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kinder, LA
Population (ZIP)
6,994

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,056 people
By 2030
24,668 · -1.5%
By 2040
23,964 · -4.4%
By 2050
23,166 · -7.5%
By 2075
21,285 · -15.1%
By 2100
15,904 · -36.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Black 19% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 10% Serbian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.0) · D 19.0% · R 80.0%
2008→2024 swing
-24.7pp toward R · 2008: -36.4pp · 2024: -61.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.0 2020: R+55.7 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+41.7 2008: R+36.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.24%
Current HPI
120.6268
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Relisted GFPAR
  • 2026-04-08 Delisted GFPAR
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $99,900 GFPAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…