1119 Lakeview St · Pontiac, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.3/30.0
- ARV discount +14.8/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$134,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover this charming ranch-style home featuring a beautifully fenced yard and spacious deck - perfect for outdoor entertaining. With 2 bedrooms and 2 fully updated bathrooms, this move-in-ready gem boasts fresh paint and thoughtful upgrades throughout. Enjoy a large backyard ideal for pets, play, or relaxation. Conveniently located near restaurants, shopping, and freeway access for easy commuting. Don't miss your chance to own this upgraded, turnkey home!!
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Large backyard
- Spacious deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (7.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Waterford School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #285 of 540 in MI (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.73%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $161,165
- List price
- $134,999
- Delta
- -16.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1119 Lakeview St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (0%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $169 | 100 |
| 1094 Lakeview St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 724 (-6%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $186 | 81 |
| 1090 Boston Ave | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (-3%) | 6mo | $156,500 | $210 | 76 |
| 1090 Lakeview Street St | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 836 (+9%) | 9mo | $148,800 | $178 | 75 |
| 99 Calvert Ave | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 868 (+13%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $179 | 69 |
| 59 Camley Dr | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 725 (-6%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $214 | 66 |
| 1160 Boston Ave | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (+11%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $176 | 64 |
| 150 N Josephine Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 693 (-10%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $130 | 61 |
| 1064 Myrtle Ave N | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 880 (+15%) | 5mo | $185,000 | $210 | 60 |
| 1124 Holbrook Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 851 (+11%) | 9mo | $155,000 | $182 | 58 |
| 38 Hazel Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 847 (+10%) | 2mo | $93,900 | $111 | 51 |
| 230 Dick Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 880 (+15%) | 9mo | $210,000 | $239 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $25,721
- Equity at exit
- $60,701
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $78,226
- Equity at exit
- $93,548
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48328 3822
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,254 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $930/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $149
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $226 | -5% $187 | +0% $149 | +5% $111 | +10% $73 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $50 | -5% $100 | +0% $149 | +5% $199 | +10% $248 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $217 | -0.5pp $183 | base $149 | +0.5pp $114 | +1.0pp $79 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 995 Lakeview St Waterford, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 884 | $1,375 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 311 S Telegraph Rd Pontiac, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $1,200 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 100 Miami Rd Pontiac, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $750 | $1.14 | 12d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 60 Waldo St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 5d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 38 Spokane Dr Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 574 W Huron St Pontiac, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $999 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2750 Cherokee Dr Waterford Twp, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,389 | $1.39 | 0d | 8 | 1.10mi |
| 18 Salmer Ave Pontiac, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 595 | $818 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3530 Denise Ct Waterford Twp, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 890 | $1,980 | $2.22 | 0d | 15 | 1.29mi |
| 3530 Denise Ct Waterford Twp, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1004 | $1,910 | $1.90 | 24d | 15 | 1.29mi |
| 97 Mary Day Ave Apt 3 Pontiac, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1671 Cass Lake Rd Keego Harbor, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 743 | $1,200 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 152 Washington St Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $775 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1240 Wagner Ave Bloomfield Hills, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,550 | $2.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-15remarks 462-char remark
-
2026-06-15$134,999 Pending 208 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $134,999 Pending 208 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $134,999 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $134,999 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $134,999 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $134,999 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $134,999 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $134,999 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-04-07price $134,999 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Discover this charming ranch-style home featuring a beautifully fenced yard and spacious deck—perfect for outdoor entertaining. With 2 bedrooms and 2 fully updated bathrooms, this move-in-ready gem boasts fresh paint and thoughtful upgrades throughout. Enjoy a large backyard ideal for pets, play, or relaxation. Conveniently located near restaurants, shopping, and freeway access for easy commuting. Don’t miss your chance to own this upgraded, turnkey home!!
-
2026-04-07price $134,999 472-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Discover this charming ranch-style home featuring a beautifully fenced yard and spacious deck—perfect for outdoor entertaining. With 2 bedrooms and 2 fully updated bathrooms, this move-in-ready gem boasts fresh paint and thoughtful upgrades throughout. Enjoy a large backyard ideal for pets, play, or relaxation. Conveniently located near restaurants, shopping, and freeway access for easy commuting. Don’t miss your chance to own this upgraded, turnkey home!!
-
2026-02-10price $139,998 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Discover this charming ranch-style home featuring a beautifully fenced yard and spacious deck—perfect for outdoor entertaining. With 2 bedrooms and 2 fully updated bathrooms, this move-in-ready gem boasts fresh paint and thoughtful upgrades throughout. Enjoy a large backyard ideal for pets, play, or relaxation. Conveniently located near restaurants, shopping, and freeway access for easy commuting. Don’t miss your chance to own this upgraded, turnkey home!!
-
2026-02-10price $139,998 472-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Discover this charming ranch-style home featuring a beautifully fenced yard and spacious deck—perfect for outdoor entertaining. With 2 bedrooms and 2 fully updated bathrooms, this move-in-ready gem boasts fresh paint and thoughtful upgrades throughout. Enjoy a large backyard ideal for pets, play, or relaxation. Conveniently located near restaurants, shopping, and freeway access for easy commuting. Don’t miss your chance to own this upgraded, turnkey home!!
-
2025-11-12$149,988 Active 472-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Discover this charming ranch-style home featuring a beautifully fenced yard and spacious deck - perfect for outdoor entertaining. With 2 bedrooms and 2 fully updated bathrooms, this move-in-ready gem boasts fresh paint and thoughtful upgrades throughout. Enjoy a large backyard ideal for pets, play, or relaxation. Conveniently located near restaurants, shopping, and freeway access for easy commuting. Don't miss your chance to own this upgraded, turnkey home!!
-
2025-11-12$149,988 Active 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Discover this charming ranch-style home featuring a beautifully fenced yard and spacious deck - perfect for outdoor entertaining. With 2 bedrooms and 2 fully updated bathrooms, this move-in-ready gem boasts fresh paint and thoughtful upgrades throughout. Enjoy a large backyard ideal for pets, play, or relaxation. Conveniently located near restaurants, shopping, and freeway access for easy commuting. Don't miss your chance to own this upgraded, turnkey home!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $930 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,505 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- +$574/yr (+$48/mo · 61.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,050
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$930
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,204
- − Management
- −$1,204
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$452
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$109
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,898/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waterford School District
- NCES district ID
- 2635310
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,581
- Composite
- 29.99/100
- National rank
- #6364
- State rank
- #285 of 540 in MI
Livability — Pontiac
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #499
- US rank
- #14703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
No demographic data for this ZIP.
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $134,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $134,999 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $139,998 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $139,998 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-12 Listed $149,988 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-12 Listed $149,988 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $930 · -34.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…