🏗️ New Construction
Torrey Plan · Springfield, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.5/30.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
- DSCR +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$284,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Maple Grove, the only new homes with everything included 5 minutes to I-70 between Dayton and Columbus. The Torrey single-family home perfectly balances comfort and practicality. Experience a smart two-story layout featuring a bright, versatile loft space. The open great room seamlessly connects to a well-appointed kitchen and dining area, keeping your family connected throughout the day. Upstairs, you'll find four thoughtfully sized bedrooms plus a generous loft area ideal for family activities, study time, or children's play. Retreat to your private owner's suite, complete with dual walk-in closets and an elegant bathroom featuring double vanities and an oversized shower. Schedule a private model tour today!
Key facts
- Dual walk in closets
- Open great room
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $285k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-514 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $229k (19.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (29.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $200k (29.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Clark-Shawnee Local (rural): math 54% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #301 of 656 in OH (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Shawnee Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #906 of 1,584 statewide, top 59%, 1,010 students, 46% FRL); Shawnee Middle School/High School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #275 of 781 statewide, top 37%, 687 students, 46% FRL).
- Market conditions: 278 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 201 days — a 12% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 201 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.27%
- DSCR
- 0.68
- GRM
- 12.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $303,090
- List price
- $284,990
- Delta
- -5.97%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169 Chesapeake Cir | 0.21mi | 4/2.5 | 1,900 (-2%) | 6mo | $303,000 | $159 | 82 |
| 180 Chesapeake Cir | 0.25mi | 4/2.5 | 1,900 (-2%) | 4mo | $296,000 | $156 | 81 |
| 207 Chesapeake Cir | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 | 2,080 (+7%) | 4mo | $295,000 | $142 | 70 |
| 224 Meadow Ln | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 | 1,916 (-2%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $141 | 67 |
| 39 S Bird Rd | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,972 (+1%) | 7mo | $290,000 | $147 | 67 |
| 224 Golden Gate Ave | 0.29mi | 4/2.5 | 1,680 (-14%) | 1mo | $277,000 | $165 | 63 |
| 3530 Heatherwood Ave | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 | 1,828 (-6%) | 7mo | $335,000 | $183 | 61 |
| 224 Mackinac Dr | 0.37mi | 4/2.5 | 1,680 (-14%) | 5mo | $295,000 | $176 | 56 |
| 197 Chesapeake Cir | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 | 1,680 (-14%) | 10mo | $264,900 | $158 | 56 |
| 255 S Bird Rd | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,738 (-11%) | 3mo | $370,000 | $213 | 53 |
| 172 Skyway Dr | 0.29mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,200 (+13%) | 8mo | $315,000 | $143 | 53 |
| 431 Meadow Ln | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,048 (+5%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $125 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-81,811
- Equity at exit
- $45,192
- IRR
- -28.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.33×
- Total profit
- $-113,259
- Equity at exit
- $26,206
Cash invested: $84,865 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 18 active · 10 under contract
- Months of supply
- 9.8 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $294,950 ($153/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 89 d
- This list price
- 33% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +1.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 45503
- Active inventory
- 278
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,001 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,589
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$379 /mo · $4,546/yr
- Insurance
- −$126
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $-514
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-304 | -5% $-409 | +0% $-514 | +5% $-619 | +10% $-723 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-672 | -5% $-593 | +0% $-514 | +5% $-435 | +10% $-356 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-361 | -0.5pp $-437 | base $-514 | +0.5pp $-592 | +1.0pp $-672 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,773
- Closing costs
- $9,093
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 190 Skyway Dr Springfield, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1460 | $2,200 | $1.51 | 98d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 432 Mount Joy St Springfield, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,245 | $1.00 | 58d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $284,990 Active 201 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $284,990 Active 196 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $284,990 Active 195 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $284,990 Active 194 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $284,990 Active 193 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $284,990 Active 192 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $284,990 Active 191 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $284,990 Active 190 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $284,990 Active 189 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $284,990 Active 183 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $284,990 Active 182 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $284,990 Active 181 DOM
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2026-09-02days on market $284,990 Active 180 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $284,990 Active 177 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $284,990 Active 176 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $284,990 Active 175 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $284,990 Active 174 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $284,990 Active 173 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $284,990 Active 172 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $284,990 Active 171 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $284,990 Active 170 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $284,990 Active 169 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $284,990 Active 168 DOM
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2026-08-20price $284,990 Active 167 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $279,990 Active 167 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $279,990 Active 166 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $279,990 Active 165 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $279,990 Active 164 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $279,990 Active 163 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $279,990 Active 162 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $279,990 Active 161 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $279,990 Active 160 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $279,990 Active 159 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $279,990 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $279,990 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $279,990 Active 156 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $279,990 Active 155 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $279,990 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $279,990 Active 153 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $279,990 Active 152 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $279,990 Active 151 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $279,990 Active 150 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $279,990 Active 147 DOM
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2026-07-29pricedays on market $279,990 Active 145 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $285,990 Active 143 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $285,990 Active 141 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $285,990 Active 140 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $285,990 Active 139 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $285,990 Active 138 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $285,990 Active 137 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,011
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,978
- − Property taxes
- −$4,546
- − Insurance
- −$1,515
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,921
- − Management
- −$1,921
- − Depreciation
- −$8,817
- Taxable loss
- −$11,687
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,805
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,361/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This Torrey Plan home in Springfield, OH is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good ROI with updates focusing on curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both New window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clark-Shawnee Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904628
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,411
- Composite
- 50.29/100
- National rank
- #1884
- State rank
- #301 of 656 in OH
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1108
- US rank
- #22551
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, OH
- County
- Clark · 130,703 people
- City population
- 33,261
- Metro
- Springfield, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,673
- Household income
- $54,561
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5% of renters
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,703 people
- By 2030
- 126,952 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 118,344 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 109,590 · -16.2%
- By 2075
- 89,464 · -31.6%
- By 2100
- 68,810 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+1.8 2008: R+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.92%
- Current HPI
- 257.5694
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-2.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $273,990 Zillow
- 2026-04-12 Price Changed $269,990 Zillow
- 2026-03-06 Listed $279,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…