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Torrey Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 30.54
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.3/30.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.5/10.0
  • DSCR +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,990

Torrey Plan · Springfield, OH 45503
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,946 sqft · SingleFamily · 247 Days on market
Good condition ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Maple Grove, the only new homes with everything included 5 minutes to I-70 between Dayton and Columbus. The Torrey single-family home perfectly balances comfort and practicality. Experience a smart two-story layout featuring a bright, versatile loft space. The open great room seamlessly connects to a well-appointed kitchen and dining area, keeping your family connected throughout the day. Upstairs, you'll find four thoughtfully sized bedrooms plus a generous loft area ideal for family activities, study time, or children's play. Retreat to your private owner's suite, complete with dual walk-in closets and an elegant bathroom featuring double vanities and an oversized shower. Schedule a private model tour today!

Key facts

  • Dual walk in closets
  • Open great room
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

SMART TWO STORY LAYOUTBRIGHT VERSATILE LOFT SPACEOPEN GREAT ROOMWELL APPOINTED KITCHENPRIVATE OWNER'S SUITEDUAL WALK IN CLOSETS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $269,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $302,802.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $270k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-538 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $225k (16.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (27.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $197k (27.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Clark-Shawnee Local (rural): math 54% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #301 of 656 in OH (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Shawnee Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #906 of 1,584 statewide, top 59%, 1,010 students, 46% FRL); Shawnee Middle School/High School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #275 of 781 statewide, top 37%, 687 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 359 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 104d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 247 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $196,795 (27.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 247 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.65% ✗
Cap rate
4.16%
Cash-on-cash
-7.61%
DSCR
0.66
GRM
12.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$302,802
List price
$269,990
Delta
-10.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
169 Chesapeake Cir 0.21mi 4/2.5 1,900 (-2%) 8mo $303,000 $159 80
180 Chesapeake Cir 0.25mi 4/2.5 1,900 (-2%) 6mo $296,000 $156 80
207 Chesapeake Cir 0.33mi 4/2.5 2,080 (+7%) 6mo $295,000 $142 68
224 Meadow Ln 0.62mi 4/2.5 1,916 (-2%) 3mo $270,000 $141 66
39 S Bird Rd 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,972 (+1%) 8mo $290,000 $147 66
224 Golden Gate Ave 0.29mi 4/2.5 1,680 (-14%) 2mo $277,000 $165 62
3530 Heatherwood Ave 0.50mi 4/2.5 1,828 (-6%) 9mo $335,000 $183 59
224 Mackinac Dr 0.37mi 4/2.5 1,680 (-14%) 6mo $295,000 $176 55
197 Chesapeake Cir 0.28mi 4/2.5 1,680 (-14%) 12mo $264,900 $158 54
255 S Bird Rd 0.45mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,738 (-11%) 5mo $370,000 $213 52
172 Skyway Dr 0.29mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,200 (+13%) 9mo $315,000 $143 52
431 Meadow Ln 0.70mi 3/1.0 (-1) 2,048 (+5%) 4mo $255,000 $125 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-29.6%
Equity multiple
0.02×
Total profit
$-83,297
Equity at exit
$45,149
10-year hold
IRR
-30.4%
Equity multiple
-0.37×
Total profit
$-116,528
Equity at exit
$26,181

Cash invested: $84,784 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
24 active · 10 under contract
Months of supply
16.0 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$285,662 ($150/sqft)
Median days on market
101 d
This list price
21% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+3.8% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 45503

Active inventory
359
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,968 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,588
Tax est. 1.5%
−$379 /mo · $4,542/yr
Insurance
−$126
HOA
−$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$413
Net cashflow
$-538

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,649
Max offer price $224,965
Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-329 -5% $-433 +0% $-538 +5% $-643 +10% $-747
Rent -10% $-693 -5% $-616 +0% $-538 +5% $-460 +10% $-382
Rate -1.0pp $-385 -0.5pp $-461 base $-538 +0.5pp $-616 +1.0pp $-696

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,700
Closing costs
$9,084
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
190 Skyway Dr Springfield, OH 3.0 2.5 1460 $2,200 $1.51 143d 1 0.35mi
157 Lawnview Ave Springfield, OH 3.0 2.0 1268 $1,850 $1.46 13d 1 0.86mi
432 Mount Joy St Springfield, OH 3.0 1.0 1248 $1,245 $1.00 103d 1 1.13mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-11-08
    days on market $269,990 Active 247 DOM
  2. 2026-11-07
    days on market $269,990 Active 246 DOM
  3. 2026-11-06
    days on market $269,990 Active 245 DOM
  4. 2026-11-05
    days on market $269,990 Active 244 DOM
  5. 2026-11-04
    pricedays on market $269,990 Active 243 DOM
  6. 2026-11-02
    days on market $289,990 Active 241 DOM
  7. 2026-11-01
    days on market $289,990 Active 240 DOM
  8. 2026-10-31
    days on market $289,990 Active 239 DOM
  9. 2026-10-30
    days on market $289,990 Active 238 DOM
  10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $289,990 Active 237 DOM
  11. 2026-10-28
    days on market $289,990 Active 236 DOM
  12. 2026-10-27
    days on market $289,990 Active 235 DOM
  13. 2026-10-26
    days on market $289,990 Active 234 DOM
  14. 2026-10-25
    days on market $289,990 Active 233 DOM
  15. 2026-10-24
    days on market $289,990 Active 232 DOM
  16. 2026-10-23
    days on market $289,990 Active 231 DOM
  17. 2026-10-22
    days on market $289,990 Active 230 DOM
  18. 2026-10-21
    days on market $289,990 Active 229 DOM
  19. 2026-10-20
    days on market $289,990 Active 228 DOM
  20. 2026-10-19
    days on market $289,990 Active 227 DOM
  21. 2026-10-18
    days on market $289,990 Active 226 DOM
  22. 2026-10-17
    days on market $289,990 Active 225 DOM
  23. 2026-10-16
    days on market $289,990 Active 224 DOM
  24. 2026-10-15
    days on market $289,990 Active 223 DOM
  25. 2026-10-14
    days on market $289,990 Active 222 DOM
  26. 2026-10-13
    days on market $289,990 Active 221 DOM
  27. 2026-10-12
    days on market $289,990 Active 220 DOM
  28. 2026-10-11
    days on market $289,990 Active 219 DOM
  29. 2026-10-10
    days on market $289,990 Active 218 DOM
  30. 2026-10-09
    days on market $289,990 Active 217 DOM
  31. 2026-10-08
    days on market $289,990 Active 216 DOM
  32. 2026-10-07
    days on market $289,990 Active 215 DOM
  33. 2026-10-06
    days on market $289,990 Active 214 DOM
  34. 2026-10-05
    days on market $289,990 Active 213 DOM
  35. 2026-10-04
    days on market $289,990 Active 212 DOM
  36. 2026-10-03
    days on market $289,990 Active 211 DOM
  37. 2026-10-02
    days on market $289,990 Active 210 DOM
  38. 2026-10-01
    days on market $289,990 Active 209 DOM
  39. 2026-09-30
    days on market $289,990 Active 208 DOM
  40. 2026-09-29
    days on market $289,990 Active 207 DOM
  41. 2026-09-28
    days on market $289,990 Active 206 DOM
  42. 2026-09-27
    days on market $289,990 Active 205 DOM
  43. 2026-09-26
    days on market $289,990 Active 204 DOM
  44. 2026-09-25
    pricedays on market $289,990 Active 203 DOM
  45. 2026-09-24
    days on market $284,990 Active 202 DOM
  46. 2026-09-23
    days on market $284,990 Active 201 DOM
  47. 2026-09-18
    days on market $284,990 Active 196 DOM
  48. 2026-09-17
    days on market $284,990 Active 195 DOM
  49. 2026-09-16
    days on market $284,990 Active 194 DOM
  50. 2026-09-15
    days on market $284,990 Active 193 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,615
− Mortgage interest
−$16,962
− Property taxes
−$4,542
− Insurance
−$1,514
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,889
− Management
−$1,889
− Depreciation
−$8,809
Taxable loss
−$11,989
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,877
After-tax cash flow
$-3,577/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 80/100 None rehab

This Torrey Plan home in Springfield, OH is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good ROI with updates focusing on curb appeal and interior aesthetics.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
  • Both New window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
D Composite school gradezoned avg 53/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Shawnee Elementary School D OH #906/1,584 Nat'l #12,785/41,679 High Shawnee Middle School/high School C OH #275/781 Nat'l #4,077/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clark-Shawnee Local
NCES district ID
3904628
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$59,411
Composite
50.29/100
National rank
#1884
State rank
#301 of 656 in OH
D Composite livability gradescore 56/100

Livability — Springfield

Score
56/100
State rank
#1108
US rank
#22551

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, OH
County
Clark · 130,703 people
City population
33,261
Metro
Springfield, OH
Population (ZIP)
32,673
Household income
$54,561
Rent vs Own
40.1% rent · 59.9% own
Severe rent burden
5% of renters

Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
130,703 people
By 2030
126,952 · -2.9%
By 2040
118,344 · -9.5%
By 2050
109,590 · -16.2%
By 2075
89,464 · -31.6%
By 2100
68,810 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clark

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
2008→2024 swing
-27.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+1.8 2008: R+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

-2.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $273,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-12 Price Changed $269,990 Zillow
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $279,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…