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7029 Florence Pl 🏷️ Likely Rental
A- Composite 82.59
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$49,900

7029 Florence Pl · Jennings, MO 63136
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 884 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1925 7,971 sqft lot Est $77k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 7029 Florence Place! This property has opportunity written all over it. Buy it an with a little elbow grease, live in it way cheaper than you coul rent it. Investors - this would make a great addition to any portfolio with average market rent over $1,000/month (RentOMeter. com). You really just can't go wrong! The property is being sold in its current, "AS-IS" condition. Seller will not provide for any inspections or pay for any repairs. Better hurry - This one will not last!

Key facts

  • 7,971 sq ft lot
  • Built 1925
  • Listed 21 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 884 (per public records); Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 159; Lot size approximately 0.183 acre; Taxes listed (annual): $1,297 (2025)
  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Cable available; Natural gas available; Water available; Sewer connected; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family residential home; One level
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Front yard; Back yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Carpet flooring; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $49,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$76,908) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $546 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 11.9% in Jennings — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#208 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, commute A-, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jennings (suburban): math 8% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #315 of 324 in MO (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Fairview Primary (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 267 students, 100% FRL); Rose Johnson Jennings Jr. High (math 10% / reading 23%, grade F, #357 of 391 statewide, top 91%, 361 students, 100% FRL); Jennings High (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #497 of 521 statewide, top 96%, 691 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 379 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $49,151 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.26%
Cap rate
19.42%
Cash-on-cash
46.87%
DSCR
3.09
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$76,908
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5218 Fletcher St 0.44mi 2/1.0 918 (+4%) 2mo $75,000 $82 71
6705 Kenwood Dr 0.68mi 2/1.0 912 (+3%) 2mo $78,900 $87 61
7439 Embury Ct 0.55mi 2/1.0 792 (-10%) 2mo $69,000 $87 55
7471 Sharon Dr 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 945 (+7%) 0mo $98,000 $104 54
5712 Floy Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 966 (+9%) 1mo $62,000 $64 52
5537 Sunbury Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 936 (+6%) 0mo $39,900 $43 52
4704 Seattle St 0.59mi 2/1.0 768 (-13%) 1mo $84,900 $111 49
5811 Helen Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 806 (-9%) 1mo $29,900 $37 49
7117 W Florissant Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 992 (+12%) 1mo $77,000 $78 49
7431 Esterbrook Dr 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 792 (-10%) 2mo $110,000 $139 48
5614 Albia Ter 0.54mi 3/2.0 (+1) 988 (+12%) 1mo $125,000 $127 46
6331 Saloma Ave 0.69mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,008 (+14%) 1mo $80,000 $79 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
54.9%
Equity multiple
4.23×
Total profit
$45,179
Equity at exit
$24,690
10-year hold
IRR
54.6%
Equity multiple
9.10×
Total profit
$113,214
Equity at exit
$39,903

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63136

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
379
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,125 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $729/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$546

Break-even live

Break-even rent $434
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $574 -5% $560 +0% $546 +5% $532 +10% $518
Rent -10% $457 -5% $501 +0% $546 +5% $590 +10% $635
Rate -1.0pp $571 -0.5pp $558 base $546 +0.5pp $533 +1.0pp $520

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7030 Emma Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 801 $1,350 $1.69 46d 1 0.06mi
7024 Idlewild Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 588 $995 $1.69 46d 1 0.09mi
7036 Garesche Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 864 $950 $1.10 20d 1 0.17mi
7131 Garesche Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 918 $1,090 $1.19 6d 1 0.18mi
5516 Fairridge Ct Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1110 $995 $0.90 26d 1 0.25mi
5439 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 770 $950 $1.23 20d 1 0.27mi
5637 Jennings Station Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1116 $895 $0.80 46d 1 0.31mi
5415 Hamilton Ave Unit Labs Jennings, MO 2.0 1.0 864 $1,100 $1.27 26d 1 0.34mi
7218 Albright Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $980 $0.89 26d 1 0.37mi
5638 Helen Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,299 $1.59 1d 1 0.37mi
5635 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 580 $899 $1.55 23d 1 0.40mi
5615 Beldon Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 46d 1 0.41mi
7304 Albright Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 46d 1 0.42mi
5361 Wilborn Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,420 $1.58 20d 1 0.43mi
5225 Fletcher St Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 918 $1,295 $1.41 26d 1 0.43mi
7160 Beulah Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 784 $1,059 $1.35 1d 1 0.43mi
7160 Beulah Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 784 $1,059 $1.35 46d 1 0.43mi
7315 Albright Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 888 $1,150 $1.30 46d 1 0.45mi
7142 Lamont Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 20d 1 0.47mi
5662 Wilborn Dr Saint Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 768 $850 $1.11 26d 1 0.54mi
5640 Sapphire Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 46d 1 0.56mi
5654 Acme Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 968 $325 $0.34 24d 1 0.58mi
7205 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 832 $750 $0.90 46d 1 0.59mi
7431 Esterbrook Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,350 $1.70 46d 1 0.62mi
5546 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 850 $1,273 $1.50 23d 1 0.63mi
5721 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1032 $1,120 $1.09 26d 1 0.66mi
5741 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 26d 1 0.68mi
6150 Sherry Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1032 $896 $0.87 26d 1 0.70mi
5574 Era Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 850 $1,400 $1.65 14d 1 0.70mi
7414 Pleaseway Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 768 $1,100 $1.43 46d 1 0.71mi
6153 Laura Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 834 $1,000 $1.20 26d 1 0.71mi
5756 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1080 $995 $0.92 46d 1 0.72mi
8344 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $895 $1.19 6d 1 0.72mi
7420 Pleaseway Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 952 $1,250 $1.31 24d 1 0.73mi
8347 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,075 $1.43 46d 1 0.73mi
8347 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,075 $1.43 1d 1 0.73mi
5613 Statler Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 7d 1 0.74mi
5636 Statler Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 777 $1,200 $1.54 26d 1 0.75mi
8502 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1072 $1,175 $1.10 26d 1 0.76mi
7426 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,125 $1.02 20d 1 0.78mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $49,900 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $49,900 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,900 Active 17 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 16 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,900 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,900 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    remarks 493-char remark
  13. 2026-06-01
    listed $49,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$729 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$729 · $61/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,503
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$729
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,080
− Management
−$1,080
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$6,118
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,468
After-tax cash flow
$5,081/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jennings
NCES district ID
2916290
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$30,595
Composite
11.04/100
National rank
#9739
State rank
#315 of 324 in MO

Livability — Jennings

Score
67/100
State rank
#208
US rank
#10499

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jennings, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
40,929
Household income
$41,154
Rent vs Own
53.1% rent · 46.9% own
Severe rent burden
3085.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.79%
Current HPI
420.28
Rent YoY
▲ 4.97%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+53.5% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $49,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $220,500 Public Records
  • 2017-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $198,000 Public Records
  • 2017-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $165,900 Public Records
  • 2010-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
  • 2009-05-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
  • 2008-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
  • 2006-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 1996-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
  • 1993-05-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1993-05-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2022): $729 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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