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38 Leicester Dr
C- Composite 51.73
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$44,999

38 Leicester Dr · Bella Vista, AR 72714
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,861 sqft · Other · 1 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Build-ready lot in the highly desirable Bella Vista community! This property offers a major advantage to buyers and builders alike & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; a septic permit has already been approved by the Arkansas Department of Health, and GEC is approved, saving you significant time, uncertainty, and upfront legwork. With some of the most time-consuming steps already completed, you & acirc; & euro; & trade; re well ahead of the typical building process. All that & acirc; & euro; & trade; s left is obtaining the ACC approval and building permit, allowing you to move forward with construction much faster than a standard lot. A large portion of the upfront

Key facts

  • Gec approved

Tags

SEPTIC PERMIT APPROVEDGEC APPROVEDBUILDING PERMIT READY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
  • Cap rate 49.8% vs local median 3.6% in Bella Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 484 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $934 of equity ($311 loan paydown + $623 appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $44,999

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.47%
Cap rate
49.85%
Cash-on-cash
155.55%
DSCR
7.92
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.39×
Total profit
$105,755
Equity at exit
$16,270
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
19.71×
Total profit
$235,704
Equity at exit
$22,341

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72714

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
484
Price-to-rent
1.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,461 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax est. 1.5%
$56 /mo · $675/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$517
Net cashflow
$1,633

Break-even live

Break-even rent $394
Max offer price $44,999
Occupancy floor 29%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,664 -5% $1,649 +0% $1,633 +5% $1,618 +10% $1,602
Rent -10% $1,439 -5% $1,536 +0% $1,633 +5% $1,730 +10% $1,828
Rate -1.0pp $1,656 -0.5pp $1,645 base $1,633 +0.5pp $1,622 +1.0pp $1,610

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
24 Pickering Dr Unit 1297038P Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 2497 $2,040 $0.82 16d 1 0.51mi
7 Ulverston Dr Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 2000 $1,900 $0.95 15d 1 0.67mi
16 Stretford Dr Bella Vista, AR 4.0 3.0 2182 $3,500 $1.60 15d 1 0.72mi
53 Skipton Dr Bella Vista, AR 4.0 2.0 1607 $2,600 $1.62 16d 1 1.15mi
1 Sandy Ln Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1640 $1,950 $1.19 15d 1 1.47mi
1 Dent Ln Bella Vista, AR 4.0 2.0 2215 $2,850 $1.29 15d 1 1.49mi

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,533
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$675
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,363
− Management
−$2,363
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$20,078
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,819
After-tax cash flow
$14,780/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bentonville School District
NCES district ID
0503060
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$66,721
Composite
51.85/100
National rank
#1661
State rank
#3 of 238 in AR

Livability — Bella Vista

Score
67/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#11129

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bella Vista, AR
County
Benton County · 259,241 people
City population
31,638
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
Population (ZIP)
14,350
Household income
$103,125
Rent vs Own
13.2% rent · 86.8% own
Severe rent burden
61.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
318,683 people
By 2030
353,481 · +10.9%
By 2040
425,280 · +33.4%
By 2050
497,239 · +56.0%
By 2075
662,114 · +107.8%
By 2100
776,431 · +143.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.38%
Current HPI
307.5796
Rent YoY
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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