65000 E Highway 26 Unit WFB8 · Mount Hood Villages, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -4.6
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Escape to your private oasis located inside the gated community of Mt Hood Village in Welches! This charming cabin with den, living room, eating area, kitchen, bedroom and full bathroom on the main level, as well as upstairs loft offers ultimate privacy with a tall gated front entry and fencing surrounded the secluded courtyard. Driveway has dedicated parking for 2 cars! The inviting kitchen features an eat-at bar, new gas range, and microwave and is open to the living room with a wall of windows facing all the nature the mountain has to offer. Unwind in the cozy den, complete with tongue and groove accents and direct access to a spacious rear wrap-around deck, perfect for soaking in picturesque tree and mountain range views. The large, detached shed with plenty of storage house the full-size washer/dryer. Enjoy access to all park amenities which include a pool, hot tub, gym, clubhouse, basketball court, playground, and onsite general store. Explore scenic trails winding down to the Salmon River and beyond. Conveniently located just 15 minutes to Government Camp, 25 minutes to Timberline, and 1 hour to PDX.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Inviting kitchen
- New gas range
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($829/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (5.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.2% in Mount Hood Villages — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Oregon Trail SD 46 (town): math 47% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #12 of 183 in OR (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Sandy High School (1,440 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools at 32% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 946 units permitted in Clackamas County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clackamas County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 405 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 405 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.37%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $229,900
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -45.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65000 E Highway 26 Unit RF10 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 778 (+9%) | 23mo | $215,000 | $276 | 66 |
| 65000 E Highway 26 Unit RF11 | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 880 (+23%) | 18mo | $190,000 | $216 | 55 |
| 65000 E Highway 26 #2 | 0.01mi | 1/1.0 | 600 (-16%) | 28mo | $179,001 | $298 | 54 |
| 65000 E Highway 26 Unit WFBF | 0.02mi | 1/1.0 | 602 (-16%) | 26mo | $125,000 | $208 | 54 |
| 65337 E Wemme | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 624 (-13%) | 11mo | $369,000 | $591 | 54 |
| 65000 E Highway 26 Unit RF 26 | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 840 (+18%) | 4mo | $229,900 | $274 | 54 |
| 65000 E Highway 26 Unit RF20 | 0.16mi | 1/1.0 | 824 (+15%) | 17mo | $205,000 | $249 | 53 |
| 64954 E Mountain Meadow Ln | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+21%) | 1mo | $382,570 | $443 | 41 |
| 66655 E Barlow Trail Rd | 0.94mi | 1/1.0 | 595 (-17%) | 11mo | $422,000 | $709 | 31 |
| 66785 E Oregon St | 1.03mi | 1/1.0 | 594 (-17%) | 14mo | $430,000 | $724 | 28 |
| 66251 E Barlow Trail Rd | 0.78mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 812 (+14%) | 18mo | $385,000 | $474 | 22 |
| 66151 E Mountain Air Dr | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+21%) | 21mo | $515,000 | $596 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-15,840
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-8,058
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 3 active
- Months of supply
- 18.0 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $120,000 ($170/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 5 d
- This list price
- 67% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +89.8% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 97067
- Home prices YoY
- -21.2%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,181 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $69
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $155 | -5% $112 | +0% $69 | +5% $26 | +10% $-17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-24 | -5% $22 | +0% $69 | +5% $116 | +10% $162 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $132 | -0.5pp $101 | base $69 | +0.5pp $37 | +1.0pp $4 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $125,000 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $125,000 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $125,000 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $125,000 Active 401 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $125,000 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $125,000 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $125,000 Active 395 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $125,000 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $125,000 Active 392 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $125,000 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $125,000 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $125,000 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $125,000 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $125,000 Active 386 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $125,000 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $125,000 Active 383 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $125,000 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $125,000 Active 381 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $125,000 Active 380 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $125,000 Active 379 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $125,000 Active 378 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $125,000 Active 377 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $125,000 Active 376 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $125,000 Active 375 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $125,000 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $125,000 Active 372 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $125,000 Active 371 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $125,000 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $125,000 Active 367 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $125,000 Active 366 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $125,000 Active 365 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $125,000 Active 364 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $125,000 Active 363 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $125,000 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $125,000 Active 359 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 353 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 350 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 345 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 344 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 340 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 339 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 338 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 337 DOM
-
2026-04-01status Active 1124-char remark
Show marketing remark (1124 chars)
Escape to your private oasis located inside the gated community of Mt Hood Village in Welches! This charming cabin with den, living room, eating area, kitchen, bedroom and full bathroom on the main level, as well as upstairs loft offers ultimate privacy with a tall gated front entry and fencing surrounded the secluded courtyard. Driveway has dedicated parking for 2 cars! The inviting kitchen features an eat-at bar, new gas range, and microwave and is open to the living room with a wall of windows facing all the nature the mountain has to offer. Unwind in the cozy den, complete with tongue and groove accents and direct access to a spacious rear wrap-around deck, perfect for soaking in picturesque tree and mountain range views. The large, detached shed with plenty of storage house the full-size washer/dryer. Enjoy access to all park amenities which include a pool, hot tub, gym, clubhouse, basketball court, playground, and onsite general store. Explore scenic trails winding down to the Salmon River and beyond. Conveniently located just 15 minutes to Government Camp, 25 minutes to Timberline, and 1 hour to PDX.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥86°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,171
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,134
- − Management
- −$1,134
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$1,235
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$296
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,125/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This charming cabin in a gated community offers a good condition with a well-maintained exterior and interior. A fresh coat of paint and a new deck would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace the deck — Improves durability and adds value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oregon Trail SD 46
- NCES district ID
- 4110890
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,406
- Composite
- 50.19/100
- National rank
- #4075
- State rank
- #12 of 183 in OR
Livability — Mount Hood Villages
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mount Hood Villages, OR
- County
- Clackamas · 458,456 people
- City population
- 2,285
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,285
- Household income
- $86,429
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5% of renters
Population outlook (Clackamas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 458,456 people
- By 2030
- 485,185 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 532,932 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 574,445 · +25.3%
- By 2075
- 665,497 · +45.2%
- By 2100
- 697,488 · +52.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Two or more races 21% Hispanic / Latino 19%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Italian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Clackamas
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 53.4% · R 43.6% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.6pp no change · 2008: 10.4pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+11.1 2016: D+6.1 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.81%
- Current HPI
- 310.9922
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-21.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Relisted — RMLS
- 2026-03-02 Relisted — RMLS
- 2026-01-16 Relisted — RMLS
- 2025-11-26 Price Changed $125,000 RMLS
- 2025-11-19 Relisted — RMLS
- 2025-11-08 Pending — RMLS
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed $130,000 RMLS
- 2025-08-26 Price Changed $135,000 RMLS
- 2025-08-15 Price Changed $137,000 RMLS
- 2025-06-30 Price Changed $145,000 RMLS
- 2025-06-17 Listed $160,000 RMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…