457 Old Charleston Dr SE · Bolivia, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1513-B single story garage home! The home includes a spacious great room that opens up to the dinette and kitchen. The owner's suite features a private bathroom and walk in closet! Additionally, there is a flex room, 2 more bedrooms, and another full bath! Completion date is February 2019. Haggle free pricing. No negotiation necessary. Lowest price guaranteed.
Key facts
- Flexible bonus space
- Covered front porch
- Open concept
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: Co-R-7500
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $500 (approximately $41.67/month); Association management (no other listed amenities)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (front-facing); 1 total garage space; Concrete driveway / off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One level / one story; Entry level: 1; Vinyl siding and frame construction
- Construction: Built with vinyl siding and frame; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Partial wood fencing in back yard; Shingle roof; Paved road access; Street lights in the community; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Ice maker; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Master downstairs
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Electric heating; Forced air; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Master suite on the main floor; Walk-in closet(s); Vaulted and high ceilings; Entrance foyer; Pantry; See remarks
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Washer and dryer included; Laundry closet; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($279/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (21.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $209k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.5% in Bolivia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#549 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Brunswick County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #82 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Virginia Williamson Elem (math 50% / reading 49%, grade D, #417 of 1,410 statewide, top 32%, 502 students, 99% FRL); Cedar Grove Middle (math 30% / reading 36%, grade F, #305 of 475 statewide, top 65%, 434 students, 99% FRL); South Brunswick High (math 62% / reading 57%, grade C+, #216 of 535 statewide, top 43%, 1,172 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 575 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,112 units permitted in Brunswick County in 2024 (990 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brunswick County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $140k; list at $265k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.38%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $292,160
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2161 Brookstone Dr SE | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,717 (+3%) | 11mo | $296,400 | $173 | 81 |
| 453 Old Charleston Dr SE | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,849 (+11%) | 6mo | $285,000 | $154 | 75 |
| 2272 Brookstone Dr SE | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,831 (+10%) | 3mo | $365,000 | $199 | 68 |
| 2480 Caraway Dr SE | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,674 (+1%) | 6mo | $309,900 | $185 | 66 |
| 2606 Provence Dr SE | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,727 (+4%) | 4mo | $290,000 | $168 | 65 |
| 2216 Grande Palms Trl SE | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,774 (+7%) | 6mo | $312,500 | $176 | 65 |
| 2235 E Brookstone Dr SE | 0.20mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,855 (+12%) | 4mo | $315,000 | $170 | 61 |
| 2577 Provence Dr SE | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,522 (-8%) | 9mo | $314,800 | $207 | 58 |
| 2249 Brookstone Dr SE | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,876 (+13%) | 14mo | $319,000 | $170 | 56 |
| 2564 Provence Dr SE | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,511 (-9%) | 10mo | $316,000 | $209 | 54 |
| 2492 Provence Dr SE | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,771 (+7%) | 13mo | $293,000 | $165 | 45 |
| 2417 Sunset Harbor Rd SE | 0.55mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,878 (+13%) | 5mo | $389,500 | $207 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-41,554
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-34,655
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28422
- Home prices YoY
- -23.8%
- Active inventory
- 575
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,092 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,052/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$42
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$439
- Net cashflow
- $23
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $173 | -5% $98 | +0% $23 | +5% $-52 | +10% $-127 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-142 | -5% $-59 | +0% $23 | +5% $106 | +10% $189 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $157 | -0.5pp $91 | base $23 | +0.5pp $-45 | +1.0pp $-115 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4024 Cypress Forest Way Bolivia, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $1,700 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 2157 Grande Palms Trl SE Bolivia, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $1,850 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2537 Provence Dr SE Bolivia, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1607 | $1,895 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2617 Provence Dr SE Bolivia, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $1,920 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 756 Pantego Blvd SE Bolivia, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1506 | $2,100 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2502 Kenton Ct SE Bolivia, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1601 | $1,895 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $42 · $504/yr
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $265,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $265,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $265,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $265,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $265,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $265,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $265,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $265,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $265,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $265,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $265,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $265,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $265,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $265,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $265,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $265,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $265,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$265,000 Active
-
2023-07-18historical
-
2019-02-26soldstatus $140,490 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
1513-B single story garage home! The home includes a spacious great room that opens up to the dinette and kitchen. The owner's suite features a private bathroom and walk in closet! Additionally, there is a flex room, 2 more bedrooms, and another full bath! Completion date is February 2019. Haggle free pricing. No negotiation necessary. Lowest price guaranteed.
-
2018-03-27$140,490 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
1513-B single story garage home! The home includes a spacious great room that opens up to the dinette and kitchen. The owner's suite features a private bathroom and walk in closet! Additionally, there is a flex room, 2 more bedrooms, and another full bath! Completion date is February 2019. Haggle free pricing. No negotiation necessary. Lowest price guaranteed.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,052 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,173 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,121/yr (+$93/mo · 106.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,108
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$1,052
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,009
- − Management
- −$2,009
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$4,343
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,042
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,321/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brunswick County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700420
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,494
- Composite
- 39.23/100
- National rank
- #4011
- State rank
- #82 of 178 in NC
Livability — Bolivia
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #549
- US rank
- #20206
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Brunswick County · 131,536 people
- City population
- 10,059
- Metro
- Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,059
- Household income
- $69,412
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 243.0
Population outlook (Brunswick County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,111 people
- By 2030
- 165,705 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 188,494 · +23.9%
- By 2050
- 206,228 · +35.6%
- By 2075
- 237,876 · +56.4%
- By 2100
- 251,451 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Brunswick
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+25.0 2016: R+28.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.19%
- Current HPI
- 141.1956
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
||
Price history
+88.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $265,000 Hive MLS
- 2023-07-18 Rental Removed — BUILDIUM
- 2019-02-26 Sold (MLS) $140,490 Hive MLS
- 2018-03-27 Listed $140,490 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+63.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,052 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…