3255 Sutherland Dr · Lexington-Fayette, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention investors, flippers, and/or buyers looking to build equity! Home will not pass for Gov. backed financing unless FHA203K to my knowledge. Brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch with a one car attached garage. Fully fenced backyard. Seller just installed new roof and gutters this month! Needs updates on interior, likely full reno of bathroom & possibly kitchen. Great opportunity in an established neighborhood, bring your ideas, bring your offers, and unlock the potential this home has to offer! Inspections are welcome, however selling as is. Caveat Emptor.
Key facts
- New gutters
- New roof
- 0.25 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: GAINESWAY
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car) with front entry
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas service
- Home design: Single-family ranch-style home; One story; Built in 1972
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation with concrete block
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Sidewalk; Located on a cul-de-sac / dead-end street
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the first floor
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (first floor)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; No basement; Living room on the first floor; Full bathroom on the first floor
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the first floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.8% in Lexington-Fayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Fayette County (urban): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #27 of 165 in KY (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 103 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,036 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (542 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $180k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.99%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $218,283
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3504 Gunbow Ct | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,215 (+7%) | 2mo | $233,900 | $193 | 53 |
| 3501 Gunbow Ct | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,215 (+7%) | 2mo | $197,450 | $163 | 53 |
| 3461 Dixiana Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,069 (-6%) | 22mo | $231,950 | $217 | 40 |
| 2657 Twinbrooke Ln | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-12%) | 20mo | $146,000 | $146 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-4,983
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $35,089
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40517
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,842 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,208/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $336
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $437 | -5% $387 | +0% $336 | +5% $285 | +10% $234 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $190 | -5% $263 | +0% $336 | +5% $408 | +10% $481 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $426 | -0.5pp $381 | base $336 | +0.5pp $289 | +1.0pp $241 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3339 Sutherland Dr Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1108 | $1,895 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3522 Creekwood Dr Lexington, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 838 | $1,593 | $1.90 | 14d | 14 | 0.32mi |
| 3448 Dixiana Dr Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1161 | $1,995 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2371 Chauvin Dr Lexington, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 875 | $1,499 | $1.71 | 14d | 2 | 0.68mi |
| 2653 Twinbrooke Ln Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3501 Pimlico Pkwy Lexington, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 832 | $1,405 | $1.69 | 14d | 11 | 0.75mi |
| 2500 Alumni Dr Lexington, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 996 | $1,975 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2848 Yellowstone Pkwy Unit A Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2844 Yellowstone Pkwy Unit C Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2941 Winter Gdn Unit 4 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3203 Paxson Ct Unit 3203 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,100 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3260 Commodore Dr Lexington, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1229 | $2,625 | $2.14 | 14d | 11 | 0.99mi |
| 3200 Baird Ct Unit A Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,450 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3375 Moundview Ct Unit B Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,500 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3628 Bold Bidder Dr Unit B Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,495 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3300 Montavesta Rd Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,275 | $1.46 | 22d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3545 Sundart Dr Lexington, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,795 | $1.75 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3504 Careto Ct Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 546 El Paseo Pl Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1044 | $1,450 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 531 Laketower Dr Unit 414 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1147 | $3,499 | $3.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 531 Laketower Dr Unit 502 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1457 | $5,499 | $3.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 531 Laketower Dr Unit 519 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $4,599 | $3.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 531 Laketower Dr Unit 522 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $5,699 | $4.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 531 Laketower Dr Unit 506 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $4,699 | $3.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 531 Laketower Dr Unit 518 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $4,299 | $3.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 531 Laketower Dr Unit 316 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $3,199 | $2.72 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 531 Laketower Dr Unit 418 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $3,799 | $3.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 531 Laketower Dr Unit 308 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $3,699 | $2.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 531 Laketower Dr Unit 314 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1147 | $2,999 | $2.61 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 251 Chippendale Cir Lexington, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 842 | $1,450 | $1.72 | 14d | 12 | 1.23mi |
| 3612 River Park Dr Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,695 | $1.65 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1552 Samara Glen Way Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1145 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 495 Laketower Dr Unit 2120-105 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,419 | $1.13 | 22d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 495 Laketower Dr Unit 2120-304 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,549 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 495 Laketower Dr Unit 2120-210 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,439 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 495 Laketower Dr Unit 491-214 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,509 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 495 Laketower Dr Unit 2120-211 Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,739 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 495 Laketower Dr Unit 2120-302 Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,759 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 495 Laketower Dr Unit 491-114 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,519 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 495 Laketower Dr Unit 479-312 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,459 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-05status $180,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 645-char remark
-
2026-05-29$180,000 Active
-
2026-05-28$180,000 Active 567-char remark
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
Attention investors, flippers, and/or buyers looking to build equity! Home will not pass for Gov. backed financing unless FHA203K to my knowledge. Brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch with a one car attached garage. Fully fenced backyard. Seller just installed new roof and gutters this month! Needs updates on interior, likely full reno of bathroom & possibly kitchen. Great opportunity in an established neighborhood, bring your ideas, bring your offers, and unlock the potential this home has to offer! Inspections are welcome, however selling as is. Caveat Emptor.
-
2013-11-25soldstatus $100,000
-
2013-11-22soldstatus $100,000 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Most affordable brick ranch featuring 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths with an attached garage. Hardwood floors in living room, hall and all bedrooms. Eat-in kitchen with new range and dishwasher. Updates per seller include windows, HVAC, sump pump, gutters & soffits. Garage extra deep perfect for storage. Deck and fenced back yard. Situated in a cul de sac.
-
2013-10-18historical 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Most affordable brick ranch featuring 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths with an attached garage. Hardwood floors in living room, hall and all bedrooms. Eat-in kitchen with new range and dishwasher. Updates per seller include windows, HVAC, sump pump, gutters & soffits. Garage extra deep perfect for storage. Deck and fenced back yard. Situated in a cul de sac.
-
2013-08-21$112,000 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Most affordable brick ranch featuring 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths with an attached garage. Hardwood floors in living room, hall and all bedrooms. Eat-in kitchen with new range and dishwasher. Updates per seller include windows, HVAC, sump pump, gutters & soffits. Garage extra deep perfect for storage. Deck and fenced back yard. Situated in a cul de sac.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,208 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,548 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- +$340/yr (+$28/mo · 28.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,104
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$1,208
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,768
- − Management
- −$1,768
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $1,140
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$274
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,753/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayette County
- NCES district ID
- 2101860
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,245
- Composite
- 34.38/100
- National rank
- #5211
- State rank
- #27 of 165 in KY
Livability — Lexington-Fayette
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- County
- Fayette County · 317,143 people
- City population
- 321,882
- Metro
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,656
- Household income
- $53,670
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2743.0
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 363,454 people
- By 2030
- 388,270 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 438,688 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 490,667 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 625,394 · +72.1%
- By 2100
- 721,354 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 24% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- D (+18.1) · D 58.0% · R 39.9% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.3pp toward D · 2008: 4.8pp · 2024: 18.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+18.1 2020: D+20.8 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -182.53%
- Current HPI
- 248.0466
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.52%
- Metro
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+60.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $180,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-05-28 Listed $180,000 HKARMLS
- 2013-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2013-11-22 Sold (MLS) $100,000 ImagineMLS
- 2013-10-18 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2013-08-21 Listed $112,000 ImagineMLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2015): $1,208 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…