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744 Mill St
D- Composite 37.36
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.0/30.0
  • Schools +6.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • DSCR +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$474,990

744 Mill St · Cranberry, PA 16066
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,018 sqft · Townhouse · 169 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 2,178 sqft lot Garage $235/sqft · 10% below area Est $528k · 10% under ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Main-level entry. Finished lower level. A private deck and quick access to the lake-this is the kind of home that rarely comes along. With only a limited number of these townhomes available in the neighborhood, it's a unique opportunity to blend style, comfort, and everyday convenience. From the inviting front entry to the sunlit main level, this 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home is thoughtfully designed for modern living. The open-concept layout creates a natural flow between the great room, kitchen, and dining area-perfect for entertaining or simply enjoying a quiet night in. Nine-foot ceilings and oversized windows elevate the space, while options like a tray ceiling, exposed beams, or a statement fireplace allow you to add your own touch of character. At the center of it all, the kitchen shines with a generous island ideal for gathering, meal prep, or morning coffee. Almond-stained cabinetry paired with a sage-painted island and quartz countertops creates a warm, designer-inspired aesthetic. Upstairs, the owner's suite offers a peaceful retreat, complete with a spa-like bath and a spacious walk-in closet. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, family, or a home office. The finished lower level expands your living space with a versatile game room and access to the two-car garage-perfect for everything from movie nights to workouts or remote work. Nestled in Cranberry Twp, Crescent offers a serene neighborhood lake and a central green for gatherings.

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 2026
  • Listed 169 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $475k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-695 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $374k (21.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $328k (31.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $328k (31.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.6% in Cranberry — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Seneca Valley SD (rural): math 48% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #73 of 539 in PA (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Rowan El Sch (math 62% / reading 77%, grade A-, #151 of 1,518 statewide, top 12%, 527 students, 14% FRL); Ryan Gloyer Ms (math 32% / reading 64%, grade C-, #153 of 512 statewide, top 30%, 1,123 students, 21% FRL); Seneca Valley Hs (math 71% / reading 75%, grade B+, #35 of 437 statewide, top 8%, 2,307 students, 18% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 443 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 61% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 987 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($124k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 169 days — a 12% lower offer ($418k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $43k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $327,529 (31.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 169 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
4.54%
Cash-on-cash
-6.27%
DSCR
0.72
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$528,221
List price
$474,990
Delta
-5.34%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
425 Ramsgate Rd 0.16mi 3/3.5 1,980 (-2%) 2mo $534,990 $270 83
610 Whitby Ln 0.14mi 3/3.5 1,980 (-2%) 4mo $489,990 $247 83
403 Ramsgate Rd 0.19mi 3/3.5 1,980 (-2%) 2mo $499,990 $253 83
221 Limehouse Rd 0.34mi 3/2.5 2,017 (-0%) 3mo $620,000 $307 81
600 Whitby Ln 0.17mi 3/3.5 1,980 (-2%) 6mo $529,990 $268 80
417 Ramsgate Rd 0.17mi 3/3.5 1,980 (-2%) 6mo $524,990 $265 80
606 Whitby Ln 0.15mi 3/3.5 1,980 (-2%) 7mo $450,000 $227 80
401 Ramsgate Rd 0.19mi 3/3.5 1,980 (-2%) 6mo $529,990 $268 79
222 Limehouse Rd 0.34mi 3/3.0 2,001 (-1%) 2mo $505,000 $252 79
423 Ramsgate Rd 0.17mi 3/2.5 2,131 (+6%) 7mo $542,990 $255 77
247 Limehouse Rd 0.30mi 3/2.5 2,215 (+10%) 6mo $499,900 $226 65
248 Limehouse Rd 0.32mi 3/3.0 2,258 (+12%) 4mo $539,000 $239 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-30.5%
Equity multiple
0.02×
Total profit
$-130,787
Equity at exit
$70,823
10-year hold
IRR
-52.3%
Equity multiple
-0.56×
Total profit
$-207,785
Equity at exit
$41,068

Cash invested: $132,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
7 active · 10 under contract
Months of supply
4.2 mo (24%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$517,990 ($260/sqft)
Median days on market
114 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
+0.6% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 16066

Rents YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
443
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,275 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,491
Tax est. 1.5%
$594 /mo · $7,125/yr
Insurance
$198
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$688
Net cashflow
$-695

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,155
Max offer price $374,412
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-367 -5% $-531 +0% $-695 +5% $-859 +10% $-1,023
Rent -10% $-954 -5% $-824 +0% $-695 +5% $-566 +10% $-436
Rate -1.0pp $-456 -0.5pp $-574 base $-695 +0.5pp $-818 +1.0pp $-943

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$118,748
Closing costs
$14,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
304 Highbridge Ln Cranberry Township, PA 3.0 2.5 2935 $4,800 $1.64 9d 1 0.21mi
219 Limehouse Rd Cranberry Township, PA 3.0 2.5 2200 $7,500 $3.41 139d 1 0.39mi
8131 Rowan Rd Cranberry Township, PA 3.0 2.5 1474 $2,800 $1.90 139d 1 0.74mi
1000 Creekview Cir Cranberry Township, PA 3.0 1.0–2.0 1254 $2,840 $2.26 0d 19 0.99mi
8000 Brandt Dr Cranberry Twp, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1196 $2,726 $2.28 0d 28 1.04mi
1000 Strand Rd Cranberry Township, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1117 $2,812 $2.52 0d 14 1.06mi
227 Oliver Way Cranberry Twp, PA 2.0 2.5 1561 $2,750 $1.76 139d 1 1.08mi
305 Frederick Way Cranberry Twp, PA 3.0 3.5 1748 $3,200 $1.83 139d 1 1.10mi
114 Main St Cranberry Twp, PA 4.0 3.5 2900 $5,995 $2.07 63d 1 1.13mi
233 Main St Cranberry Township, PA 3.0 2.5 1778 $2,895 $1.63 82d 1 1.14mi
121 Main St Cranberry Twp, PA 3.0 2.5 2286 $3,400 $1.49 9d 1 1.16mi
701 Halcyon Ln Cranberry Township, PA 3.0 2.5 2000 $3,200 $1.60 57d 1 1.16mi
197 Foundation Dr Cranberry Twp, PA 3.0 2.5 2206 $3,500 $1.59 74d 1 1.17mi
105 Gress Rd Cranberry Twp, PA 3.0 2.5 2000 $2,850 $1.43 9d 1 1.22mi
210 Gress Rd Cranberry Township, PA 4.0 2.5 2070 $3,100 $1.50 9d 1 1.23mi
417 Roebling Ct Cranberry Twp, PA 3.0 2.5 2500 $3,100 $1.24 63d 1 1.25mi
816 Graywyck Dr Seven Fields, PA 4.0 3.5 2512 $3,200 $1.27 111d 1 1.44mi
274 Clearbrook Ct Cranberry Township, PA 3.0 2.5 1700 $2,150 $1.26 67d 1 1.46mi

Property features AI

Exterior

Parking
Attached garage with garage door openerOff-street parkingBuilt-in/garage parking for 2 vehicles
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewer
Home design
2-story homeNew constructionComposition roofBrick constructionHome warranty included
Construction
Brick exteriorComposition roof
Exterior features
Water access

Interior

Kitchen
CooktopStoveMicrowaveDishwasherGarbage disposalSome gas appliances
Bedrooms
Multiple bedrooms including two upper-level bedrooms (10x12 each); additional bedrooms/bonus rooms on upper and main levels
Flooring
VinylCarpet
Bathrooms
Two full bathroomsOne half bathroom
Heating & cooling
Gas forced-air heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Kitchen islandPantry
Laundry & utility
Main level laundry

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-23
    days on market $474,990 Active 169 DOM
  2. 2026-09-22
    pricedays on market $474,990 Active 168 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $499,990 Active 167 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $499,990 Active 166 DOM
  5. 2026-09-19
    days on market $499,990 Active 165 DOM
  6. 2026-09-18
    days on market $499,990 Active 164 DOM
  7. 2026-09-17
    days on market $499,990 Active 163 DOM
  8. 2026-09-16
    days on market $499,990 Active 162 DOM
  9. 2026-09-15
    days on market $499,990 Active 161 DOM
  10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $499,990 Active 160 DOM
  11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $499,990 Active 159 DOM
  12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $499,990 Active 158 DOM
  13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $499,990 Active 157 DOM
  14. 2026-09-05
    days on market $499,990 Active 151 DOM
  15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $499,990 Active 150 DOM
  16. 2026-09-03
    days on market $499,990 Active 149 DOM
  17. 2026-08-31
    days on market $499,990 Active 146 DOM
  18. 2026-08-29
    days on market $499,990 Active 144 DOM
  19. 2026-08-28
    days on market $499,990 Active 143 DOM
  20. 2026-08-27
    days on market $499,990 Active 142 DOM
  21. 2026-08-25
    days on market $499,990 Active 140 DOM
  22. 2026-08-24
    days on market $499,990 Active 139 DOM
  23. 2026-08-23
    days on market $499,990 Active 138 DOM
  24. 2026-08-22
    days on market $499,990 Active 137 DOM
  25. 2026-08-21
    days on market $499,990 Active 136 DOM
  26. 2026-08-20
    days on market $499,990 Active 135 DOM
  27. 2026-08-19
    days on market $499,990 Active 134 DOM
  28. 2026-08-18
    days on market $499,990 Active 133 DOM
  29. 2026-08-17
    days on market $499,990 Active 132 DOM
  30. 2026-08-16
    days on market $499,990 Active 131 DOM
  31. 2026-08-15
    days on market $499,990 Active 130 DOM
  32. 2026-08-14
    days on market $499,990 Active 129 DOM
  33. 2026-08-13
    days on market $499,990 Active 128 DOM
  34. 2026-08-12
    days on market $499,990 Active 127 DOM
  35. 2026-08-11
    days on market $499,990 Active 126 DOM
  36. 2026-08-10
    days on market $499,990 Active 125 DOM
  37. 2026-08-09
    days on market $499,990 Active 124 DOM
  38. 2026-08-08
    days on market $499,990 Active 123 DOM
  39. 2026-08-07
    days on market $499,990 Active 122 DOM
  40. 2026-08-06
    days on market $499,990 Active 121 DOM
  41. 2026-08-05
    days on market $499,990 Active 120 DOM
  42. 2026-08-04
    days on market $499,990 Active 119 DOM
  43. 2026-08-03
    days on market $499,990 Active 118 DOM
  44. 2026-07-31
    days on market $499,990 Active 115 DOM
  45. 2026-07-30
    days on market $499,990 Active 114 DOM
  46. 2026-07-30
    days on market $499,990 Active 113 DOM
  47. 2026-07-28
    days on market $499,990 Active 112 DOM
  48. 2026-07-26
    days on market $499,990 Active 110 DOM
  49. 2026-07-24
    days on market $499,990 Active 108 DOM
  50. 2026-07-23
    days on market $499,990 Active 107 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,303
− Mortgage interest
−$26,607
− Property taxes
−$7,125
− Insurance
−$2,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,144
− Management
−$3,144
− Depreciation
−$13,818
Taxable loss
−$16,910
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,058
After-tax cash flow
$-4,283/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $10,090–$30,270 screening

This well-maintained townhouse is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good rehab level of 'cosmetic' and requires minimal repairs. The highest-ROI updates include painting the exterior siding, landscaping improvements, and updating the kitchen backsplash and interior walls. The home is move-in ready and would be a great investment for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Resale Kitchen backsplash — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value.
  • Resale Painting interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Resale Window treatments — Fresh window treatments enhance curb appeal and value.
  • Both Flooring replacement — Fresh flooring enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Rental HVAC system maintenance — A clean and efficient HVAC system improves tenant satisfaction and reduces maintenance costs.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

C Composite school gradezoned avg 67/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Rowan El Sch A- PA #151/1,518 Nat'l #3,487/41,679 Middle Haine Ms B PA #55/512 Nat'l #2,008/14,009 High Seneca Valley Hs B+ PA #35/437 Nat'l #1,820/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Seneca Valley SD
NCES district ID
4222440
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$80,381
Composite
51.84/100
National rank
#1666
State rank
#73 of 539 in PA

Livability — Cranberry

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Butler County · 190,777 people
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
33,873
Household income
$124,189
Rent vs Own
24.8% rent · 75.2% own
Severe rent burden
7% of renters

Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
190,777 people
By 2030
191,476 · +0.4%
By 2040
189,474 · -0.7%
By 2050
182,050 · -4.6%
By 2075
159,526 · -16.4%
By 2100
129,028 · -32.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Asian 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Butler

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.2) · D 33.5% · R 65.7%
2008→2024 swing
-4.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -32.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-3.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $499,990 Zillow
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $499,990 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $517,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $517,990 West Penn MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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