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3066 Rt 9 #246
B Composite 74.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,000

3066 Rt 9 #246 · Seaville, NJ 08230
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 500 sqft · SingleFamily · 225 Days on market
Built 1989 Fair condition $58/sqft · 12% below area Est $33k · 12% under ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This park model with a Florida room site 246 is located at Echo Farms Campground. It only had one bedroom room right now but it use to have 2 , but can possibly 3. The owners were remodeling it but plans changed and they now have to sell their happy place. They already remodeled the bedroom and bathroom, so they slate is still clean for you. They are leaving the drywall they were going to use to possibly add a bedroom in the Florida room or where the living room area is. There was a room divider in the living room area . Echo Farms season is April 1st to October 26th. The seasonal lot fee is $7596. You can have guest without paying . You are allowed golf carts . What are you waiting for!

Key facts

  • Remodeled bathroom
  • Florida room
  • Remodeled bedroom

Tags

FLORIDA ROOMREMODELED BEDROOMREMODELED BATHROOMGOLF CARTS ALLOWED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $29k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $652 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $29k).
  • Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Upper Township School District (suburban): math 33% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #151 of 472 in NJ (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $200 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $870 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 225 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $25,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 225 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.72%
Cap rate
33.27%
Cash-on-cash
96.34%
DSCR
5.29
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$33,142
List price
$29,000
Delta
-12.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3066 Rt 9 #196 0.00mi 2/1.0 (+1) 500 (0%) 1mo $15,000 $30 94
3066 Route 9 Unit 8 0.00mi 2/1.0 (+1) 500 (0%) 10mo $27,000 $54 87
60 Corson Tavern Rd #148 0.19mi 2/1.0 (+1) 450 (-10%) 2mo $36,000 $80 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
97.3%
Equity multiple
5.54×
Total profit
$36,839
Equity at exit
$4,324
10-year hold
IRR
99.9%
Equity multiple
11.54×
Total profit
$85,610
Equity at exit
$2,507

Cash invested: $8,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08230

Home prices YoY
-15.3%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,079 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$152
Tax est. 1.5%
$36 /mo · $435/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$652

Break-even live

Break-even rent $254
Max offer price $29,000
Occupancy floor 35%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,250
Closing costs
$870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $29,000 Active 225 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $29,000 Active 224 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $29,000 Active 223 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $29,000 Active 222 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $29,000 Active 221 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $29,000 Active 219 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $29,000 Active 218 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $29,000 Active 216 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $29,000 Active 215 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,000 Active 214 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $29,000 Active 213 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $32,000 Active 210 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $32,000 Active 209 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $32,000 Active 208 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $32,000 Active 207 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $32,000 Active 206 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $32,000 Active 205 DOM
  18. 2026-04-05
    price $36,000 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    This park model with a Florida room site 246 is located at Echo Farms Campground. It only had one bedroom room right now but it use to have 2 , but can possibly 3. The owners were remodeling it but plans changed and they now have to sell their happy place. They already remodeled the bedroom and bathroom, so they slate is still clean for you. They are leaving the drywall they were going to use to possibly add a bedroom in the Florida room or where the living room area is. There was a room divider in the living room area . Echo Farms season is April 1st to October 26th. The seasonal lot fee is $7596. You can have guest without paying . You are allowed golf carts . What are you waiting for!

  19. 2026-04-05
    price $38,000 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    This park model with a Florida room site 246 is located at Echo Farms Campground. It only had one bedroom room right now but it use to have 2 , but can possibly 3. The owners were remodeling it but plans changed and they now have to sell their happy place. They already remodeled the bedroom and bathroom, so they slate is still clean for you. They are leaving the drywall they were going to use to possibly add a bedroom in the Florida room or where the living room area is. There was a room divider in the living room area . Echo Farms season is April 1st to October 26th. The seasonal lot fee is $7596. You can have guest without paying . You are allowed golf carts . What are you waiting for!

  20. 2025-11-06
    listed $43,000 Active 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    This park model with a Florida room site 246 is located at Echo Farms Campground. It only had one bedroom room right now but it use to have 2 , but can possibly 3. The owners were remodeling it but plans changed and they now have to sell their happy place. They already remodeled the bedroom and bathroom, so they slate is still clean for you. They are leaving the drywall they were going to use to possibly add a bedroom in the Florida room or where the living room area is. There was a room divider in the living room area . Echo Farms season is April 1st to October 26th. The seasonal lot fee is $7596. You can have guest without paying . You are allowed golf carts . What are you waiting for!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,947
− Mortgage interest
−$1,624
− Property taxes
−$435
− Insurance
−$145
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,036
− Management
−$1,036
− Depreciation
−$844
Taxable income
$7,827
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,879
After-tax cash flow
$5,945/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This park model requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and exterior, with some minor repairs needed. The interior walls and carpet could use a fresh coat and replacement, respectively, to enhance the home's value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen countertops — worn and dated
  • Minor exterior siding — some peeling
  • Minor windows — some screens missing

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale update kitchen countertops — modernizes the space
  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace worn carpet — improves comfort and appearance

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen countertops · worn and dated Moderate $3,000–15,000
exterior siding · some peeling Minor $500–3,000
windows · some screens missing Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $4,000–21,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale update kitchen countertops — modernizes the space
  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace worn carpet — improves comfort and appearance

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Upper Township School District
NCES district ID
3416650
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$78,141
Composite
43.29/100
National rank
#3040
State rank
#151 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Seaville

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Seaville, NJ
City population
5,998
Population (ZIP)
5,998

Population outlook (Cape May County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,234 people
By 2030
84,144 · -4.6%
By 2040
75,146 · -14.8%
By 2050
67,389 · -23.6%
By 2075
55,732 · -36.8%
By 2100
44,972 · -49.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cape May

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 39.7% · R 58.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+15.9 2016: R+19.9 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.62%
Current HPI
347.2196
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-05 Price Changed $36,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-05 Price Changed $38,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-06 Listed $43,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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