3713 Lowcroft Ave · Lansing, MI
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.48%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity on Lansing's desirable south side! Located near W Holmes Rd and Martin Luther King Jr Blvd, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath vinyl bungalow offers strong potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for their next renovation project. The home features a functional layout, Michigan basement for storage and utilities, and a backyard shed for additional storage space. While the property needs substantial updates and repairs, the location adds tremendous value - just minutes from Everett High School, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes. With the right vision and improvements, this property has excellent upside potential. Property is being sold as-is. Buyer to verify all information.
Key facts
- Shed for storage
- Near major roads
- Michigan basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-a-half story; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding construction
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Awning(s); Enclosed porch; Porch; Back yard fencing (fenced); Paved road access; Shed(s)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $598 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.3% vs local median 6.0% in Lansing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#94 in MI, #2,182 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Lansing Public School District (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #650 of 760 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 175 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 64.27%
- DSCR
- 3.86
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $105,415
- List price
- $39,900
- Delta
- -62.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3801 Schlee St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+14%) | 6mo | $93,700 | $108 | 68 |
| 3540 Jewell Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 791 (+5%) | 0mo | $116,000 | $147 | 66 |
| 1422 Warwick Dr | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 740 (-2%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $122 | 65 |
| 200 Rita St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 787 (+4%) | 0mo | $115,000 | $146 | 63 |
| 3209 Stabler St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 720 (-5%) | 2mo | $89,000 | $124 | 62 |
| 3115 Tenny St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-5%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $181 | 60 |
| 1321 Pompton Cir | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 707 (-6%) | 4mo | $89,000 | $126 | 60 |
| 108 Dunlap St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-5%) | 0mo | $79,000 | $110 | 54 |
| 2901 Palmer St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+14%) | 4mo | $91,000 | $105 | 43 |
| 5009 Kessler Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 855 (+13%) | 2mo | $129,000 | $151 | 42 |
| 218 Dunlap St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 663 (-12%) | 3mo | $62,000 | $94 | 41 |
| 1415 Reo Rd | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 867 (+15%) | 6mo | $142,500 | $164 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 65.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.02×
- Total profit
- $33,740
- Equity at exit
- $5,949
- IRR
- 70.4%
- Equity multiple
- 8.82×
- Total profit
- $87,340
- Equity at exit
- $3,450
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48910
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 175
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,169 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,188/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $598
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $621 | -5% $610 | +0% $598 | +5% $587 | +10% $576 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $506 | -5% $552 | +0% $598 | +5% $645 | +10% $691 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $618 | -0.5pp $609 | base $598 | +0.5pp $588 | +1.0pp $578 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 911 W Cavanaugh Rd Lansing, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,000 | $1.29 | 22d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1001 W Cavanaugh Rd Lansing, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $850 | $1.10 | 15d | 4 | 0.31mi |
| 3518 Davidson Dr Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,115 | $1.31 | 45d | 3 | 0.43mi |
| 3031 S Washington Ave Lansing, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,100 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 915 Loa St Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 674 | $999 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 430 Dunlap St Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,450 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1115 Dorchester Cir Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $855 | $1.01 | 15d | 5 | 0.62mi |
| 3515 Bergman Ave Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,195 | $1.87 | 22d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2009 W Holmes Rd Unit 11 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $925 | $1.16 | 15d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3501 Simken Dr Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 401 E Willard Ave Unit 19 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,000 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2114 Ferrol St Unit 1 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3606 Pleasant Grove Rd Lansing, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $1,100 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3334 Pleasant Grove Rd Unit 19 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $999 | $1.43 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4318 Pleasant Grove Rd Lansing, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 722 | $1,350 | $1.87 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3334 Pleasant Grove Rd Apt 15 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3334 Pleasant Grove Rd Apt 10 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3716 Homewood Ave Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 692 | $1,300 | $1.88 | 22d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 645 E Jolly Rd Lansing, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $825 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1913 Stirling Ave Unit 1 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2612 Fielding Dr Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4125 Ingham St Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 933 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1828 Davis Ave Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,150 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2823 Hillcrest St Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,245 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 910 E Jolly Rd #2 Lansing, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $895 | $1.43 | 22d | 2 | 1.40mi |
| 2711 Dunlap St Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 5540 Kaynorth Rd Unit 4 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $925 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2920 Hillcrest St Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,225 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1016 E Greenlawn Ave Unit 3 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $925 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1815 Potomac Cir Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $39,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,900 Active 39 DOM
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
Great investment opportunity on Lansing's desirable south side! Located near W Holmes Rd and Martin Luther King Jr Blvd, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath vinyl bungalow offers strong potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for their next renovation project. The home features a functional layout, Michigan basement for storage and utilities, and a backyard shed for additional storage space. While the property needs substantial updates and repairs, the location adds tremendous value - just minutes from Everett High School, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes. With the right vision and improvements, this property has excellent upside potential. Property is being sold as-is. Buyer to verify all information.
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $39,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $49,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $49,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-30pricedays on market $49,900 Active 21 DOM
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
Great investment opportunity on Lansing's desirable south side! Located near W Holmes Rd and Martin Luther King Jr Blvd, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath vinyl bungalow offers strong potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for their next renovation project. The home features a functional layout, Michigan basement for storage and utilities, and a backyard shed for additional storage space. While the property needs substantial updates and repairs, the location adds tremendous value - just minutes from Everett High School, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes. With the right vision and improvements, this property has excellent upside potential. Property is being sold as-is. Buyer to verify all information.
-
2026-05-09$59,900 Active 732-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
Great investment opportunity on Lansing's desirable south side! Located near W Holmes Rd and Martin Luther King Jr Blvd, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath vinyl bungalow offers strong potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for their next renovation project. The home features a functional layout, Michigan basement for storage and utilities, and a backyard shed for additional storage space. While the property needs substantial updates and repairs, the location adds tremendous value - just minutes from Everett High School, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes. With the right vision and improvements, this property has excellent upside potential. Property is being sold as-is. Buyer to verify all information.
-
2026-05-09$59,900 Active 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
Great investment opportunity on Lansing's desirable south side! Located near W Holmes Rd and Martin Luther King Jr Blvd, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath vinyl bungalow offers strong potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for their next renovation project. The home features a functional layout, Michigan basement for storage and utilities, and a backyard shed for additional storage space. While the property needs substantial updates and repairs, the location adds tremendous value - just minutes from Everett High School, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes. With the right vision and improvements, this property has excellent upside potential. Property is being sold as-is. Buyer to verify all information.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,188 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,188 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 48% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,025
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$1,188
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,122
- − Management
- −$1,122
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $6,997
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,679
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,501/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lansing Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2621150
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,453
- Composite
- 18.76/100
- National rank
- #14002
- State rank
- #650 of 760 in MI
Livability — Lansing
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #94
- US rank
- #2182
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lansing, MI
- County
- Ingham County · 237,052 people
- City population
- 161,269
- Metro
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,800
- Household income
- $54,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1305.0
Population outlook (Ingham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 300,362 people
- By 2030
- 307,808 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 320,492 · +6.7%
- By 2050
- 333,223 · +10.9%
- By 2075
- 373,693 · +24.4%
- By 2100
- 392,021 · +30.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 12% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ingham
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.7) · D 63.9% · R 34.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 33.3pp · 2024: 29.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.7 2020: D+32.2 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+27.9 2008: D+33.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.82%
- Current HPI
- 196.8087
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.71%
- Metro
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
-33.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Price Changed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-30 Price Changed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-09 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-09 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+25.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,188 · -13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…