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14801 Madison Ave
A- Composite 84.04
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$55,000

14801 Madison Ave · Harvey, IL 60426
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 744 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 83 Days on market
Built 1926 3,500 sqft lot Est $89k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity for investors or savvy buyers! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers solid bones with plenty of potential to make it your own. Featuring a spacious living and dining area with original character, this property is ready for your vision and updates. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space and layout potential, while the full basement provides additional storage or future finishing possibilities. Situated on a quiet residential street with a fenced yard, this home is perfect for a rehab project, rental investment, or owner-occupant looking to build equity. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and major expressways. Sold as-is. Bring your ideas and unlock the potent

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Full basement
  • Ample cabinet space

Tags

FENCED YARDFULL BASEMENTAMPLE CABINET SPACEQUIET RESIDENTIAL STREET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property not currently leased; Possession at closing
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 parking spaces (total 2 spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story home; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Built before 1978 (property age estimated 91–100 years)
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 35; Lot under 0.25 acre; Commuter bus access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 10 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (second level); Bedroom (second level, approx. 10 x 10); Additional bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfinished full basement; 5 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 9.3% in Harvey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#539 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $55k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $51,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.07%
Cap rate
17.66%
Cash-on-cash
40.59%
DSCR
2.81
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$89,280
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14726 Madison Ave 0.07mi 2/1.0 760 (+2%) 1mo $35,000 $46 92
319 E 148th St 0.03mi 2/1.0 724 (-3%) 15mo $115,000 $159 82
296 E 149th St 0.13mi 3/1.0 (+1) 772 (+4%) 4mo $93,000 $120 79
14717 E Riverside Dr 0.56mi 2/1.0 728 (-2%) 3mo $35,000 $48 68
282 E 149th St 0.15mi 3/1.0 (+1) 813 (+9%) 13mo $100,000 $123 62
14300 Parnell Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 730 (-2%) 7mo $179,900 $246 56
14632 Halsted St 0.42mi 2/1.0 672 (-10%) 18mo $40,500 $60 49
14325 Park Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 832 (+12%) 6mo $68,000 $82 46
522 Frances St 0.56mi 2/1.0 840 (+13%) 13mo $115,000 $137 41
14732 Loomis Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 712 (-4%) 17mo $155,000 $218 37
541 E 149th St 0.71mi 1/3.5 (-1) 720 (-3%) 20mo $33,000 $46 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
55.7%
Equity multiple
5.10×
Total profit
$63,150
Equity at exit
$49,548
10-year hold
IRR
49.2%
Equity multiple
11.38×
Total profit
$159,909
Equity at exit
$106,853

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60426

Home prices YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,141 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $825/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$240
Net cashflow
$521

Break-even live

Break-even rent $481
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
455 W 144th St Unit 2W Riverdale, IL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,150 $1.53 4d 1 0.91mi
14119 S Tracy Ave Riverdale, IL 2.0 1.0 696 $1,205 $1.73 3d 1 1.25mi
14031 S School St Riverdale, IL 1.0 1.0 620 $1,045 $1.69 3d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 83 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 82 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 81 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $55,000 Active 78 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 76 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 75 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 74 DOM
  9. 2026-05-05
    status Active
  10. 2026-04-27
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  11. 2026-04-04
    price $55,000
  12. 2026-04-03
    price $59,000
  13. 2026-03-19
    listed $69,000 Active
  14. 1994-12-07
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,686
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$825
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,095
− Management
−$1,095
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$5,716
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,372
After-tax cash flow
$4,879/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Harvey

Score
67/100
State rank
#539
US rank
#11162

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety D+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harvey, IL
City population
23,066
Population (ZIP)
23,066

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% White 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.36%
Current HPI
313.7895
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+120.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-27 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-04 Price Changed $55,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $59,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $69,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1994-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2023): $3,791 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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