121 Century Ct · Fairfield, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 21 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Why rent when you can own! Great opportunity to own you home in a nice quiet Mobile Home park. Lots of space for your family with 3 full bedrooms 2 baths and an extra room for office or ? Updated bathrooms, dual pane windows and much more. Enjoy your morning coffee under the pergola. Just put your own personal touches and make it your own.
Key facts
- Updated bathrooms
- Dual pane windows
- Parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $195k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $930 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $177k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 3.0% in Fairfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#314 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D-, commute F.
- Fairfield-Suisun Unified (urban): math 23% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #238 of 517 in CA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 264 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,472 units permitted in Solano County in 2024 (131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Solano County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.1% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.43%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $220,194
- List price
- $195,000
- Delta
- -11.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126 Chevy Chase Ct | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (-1%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $145 | 90 |
| 51 Barcelona Cir | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (0%) | 7mo | $232,000 | $149 | 79 |
| 49 Bel Air Cir | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,594 (+2%) | 16mo | $190,000 | $119 | 74 |
| 41 Bel Air Cir | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-8%) | 13mo | $272,000 | $189 | 74 |
| 144 Northridge Ct | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,640 (+5%) | 15mo | $239,000 | $146 | 72 |
| 120 Century Ct Ct | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,368 (-12%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $164 | 70 |
| 151 - 225 Northridge Ct | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (+8%) | 15mo | $185,000 | $110 | 66 |
| 137 Valencia | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-14%) | 2mo | $159,000 | $118 | 64 |
| 150 Segovia Dr | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,664 (+7%) | 11mo | $270,000 | $162 | 63 |
| 131 Chevy Chase Ct | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-14%) | 9mo | $222,000 | $165 | 62 |
| 131 Zaragoza Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,340 (-14%) | 16mo | $213,000 | $159 | 50 |
| 190 Granada Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-14%) | 17mo | $40,000 | $30 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $19,618
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $62,350
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 94533
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 264
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,883 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$244 /mo · $2,925/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$605
- Net cashflow
- $930
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1431 Catlin Ct Fairfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $2,750 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1332 Renewal Ln Fairfield, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2055 | $3,850 | $1.87 | 14d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1930 Grande Cir #77 Fairfield, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1095 | $1,750 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1990 Grande Cir Fairfield, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 895 | $2,135 | $2.39 | 3d | 15 | 0.87mi |
| 1335 Phillip Way Suisun City, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1606 | $3,000 | $1.87 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1970 Grande Cir #19 Fairfield, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1095 | $2,200 | $2.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1400 Humphrey Dr Suisun City, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 1075 | $2,425 | $2.26 | 3d | 4 | 0.90mi |
| 1960 Grande Cir #42 Fairfield, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1176 | $2,500 | $2.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1648 Little Rock Cir Suisun City, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1839 | $3,300 | $1.79 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1648 Little Rock Cir Suisun City, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1839 | $3,300 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1284 Warmth Ct Fairfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2057 | $3,500 | $1.70 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1930 Manor Pl Unit 1 Fairfield, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,150 | $1.95 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2776 Woodmont Dr Fairfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1578 | $2,995 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1037 Mockingbird Ln Fairfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $2,695 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 745 Monte Carlo Dr Suisun City, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1775 | $3,400 | $1.92 | 14d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1349 Blossom Ave Fairfield, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1017 | $3,340 | $3.28 | 2d | 11 | 1.26mi |
| 849 Finch Way Fairfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,895 | $2.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 849 Finch Way Fairfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,895 | $2.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1777 Daniel Ct Fairfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,955 | $1.85 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 995 Matthew Ct Fairfield, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $3,150 | $2.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1104 Waxwing Dr Suisun City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1279 | $3,079 | $2.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 145 Del Rey Ct Fairfield, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1164 | $2,500 | $2.15 | 14d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $195,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $195,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricestatus $195,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-03-23status Active 342-char remark
Show marketing remark (342 chars)
Why rent when you can own! Great opportunity to own you home in a nice quiet Mobile Home park. Lots of space for your family with 3 full bedrooms 2 baths and an extra room for office or ? Updated bathrooms, dual pane windows and much more. Enjoy your morning coffee under the pergola. Just put your own personal touches and make it your own.
-
2026-03-18historical Contingent (No Show) 342-char remark
Show marketing remark (342 chars)
Why rent when you can own! Great opportunity to own you home in a nice quiet Mobile Home park. Lots of space for your family with 3 full bedrooms 2 baths and an extra room for office or ? Updated bathrooms, dual pane windows and much more. Enjoy your morning coffee under the pergola. Just put your own personal touches and make it your own.
-
2026-03-11$205,000 Active 342-char remark
Show marketing remark (342 chars)
Why rent when you can own! Great opportunity to own you home in a nice quiet Mobile Home park. Lots of space for your family with 3 full bedrooms 2 baths and an extra room for office or ? Updated bathrooms, dual pane windows and much more. Enjoy your morning coffee under the pergola. Just put your own personal touches and make it your own.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 21 unhealthy d/yr today · 22 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,591
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$2,925
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,767
- − Management
- −$2,767
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable income
- $8,561
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,055
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,101/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home is in good condition with updated bathrooms and kitchen, and a welcoming exterior. Minor updates to the interior and landscaping would significantly enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both painting interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both upgrading light fixtures — modern light fixtures improve aesthetics and energy efficiency
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both painting interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both upgrading light fixtures — modern light fixtures improve aesthetics and energy efficiency ↑
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fairfield-Suisun Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0613360
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,654
- Composite
- 34.59/100
- National rank
- #5157
- State rank
- #238 of 517 in CA
Livability — Fairfield
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #314
- US rank
- #10551
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fairfield, CA
- County
- Solano County · 433,239 people
- City population
- 120,008
- Metro
- Vallejo, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 78,805
- Household income
- $87,384
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3474.0
Population outlook (Solano County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 478,685 people
- By 2030
- 497,974 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 528,515 · +10.4%
- By 2050
- 549,115 · +14.7%
- By 2075
- 587,229 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 571,378 · +19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 39% White 23% Black 16% Two or more races 16% Asian 14% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 34%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 28% Tagalog/Filipino 6% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Solano
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.0) · D 60.0% · R 37.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.0 2020: D+30.3 2016: D+30.5 2012: D+28.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -258.88%
- Current HPI
- 285.4365
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.15%
- Metro
- Vallejo, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Relisted — BAREIS
- 2026-03-18 Contingent — BAREIS
- 2026-03-11 Listed $205,000 BAREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…