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121 Century Ct
B+ Composite 75.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$195,000

121 Century Ct · Fairfield, CA 94533
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,560 sqft · Manufactured · 93 Days on market
Built 1976 Good condition $125/sqft · 11% below area Est $220k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Why rent when you can own! Great opportunity to own you home in a nice quiet Mobile Home park. Lots of space for your family with 3 full bedrooms 2 baths and an extra room for office or ? Updated bathrooms, dual pane windows and much more. Enjoy your morning coffee under the pergola. Just put your own personal touches and make it your own.

Key facts

  • Updated bathrooms
  • Dual pane windows
  • Parking

Tags

UPDATED BATHROOMSDUAL PANE WINDOWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $195k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $930 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $195k).
  • Recommended offer: $177k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 3.0% in Fairfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#314 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D-, commute F.
  • Fairfield-Suisun Unified (urban): math 23% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #238 of 517 in CA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 264 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,472 units permitted in Solano County in 2024 (131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Solano County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.1% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $177,450 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
12.01%
Cash-on-cash
20.43%
DSCR
1.91
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$220,194
List price
$195,000
Delta
-11.44%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
126 Chevy Chase Ct 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,550 (-1%) 9mo $225,000 $145 90
51 Barcelona Cir 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,560 (0%) 7mo $232,000 $149 79
49 Bel Air Cir 0.08mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,594 (+2%) 16mo $190,000 $119 74
41 Bel Air Cir 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-8%) 13mo $272,000 $189 74
144 Northridge Ct 0.05mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,640 (+5%) 15mo $239,000 $146 72
120 Century Ct Ct 0.01mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,368 (-12%) 4mo $225,000 $164 70
151 - 225 Northridge Ct 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,680 (+8%) 15mo $185,000 $110 66
137 Valencia 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-14%) 2mo $159,000 $118 64
150 Segovia Dr 0.24mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,664 (+7%) 11mo $270,000 $162 63
131 Chevy Chase Ct 0.04mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-14%) 9mo $222,000 $165 62
131 Zaragoza Dr 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,340 (-14%) 16mo $213,000 $159 50
190 Granada Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-14%) 17mo $40,000 $30 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.15% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$19,618
Equity at exit
$29,075
10-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
2.14×
Total profit
$62,350
Equity at exit
$16,860

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 94533

Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
264
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,883 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax est. 1.5%
$244 /mo · $2,925/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$605
Net cashflow
$930

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,706
Max offer price $195,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1431 Catlin Ct Fairfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1696 $2,750 $1.62 44d 1 0.41mi
1332 Renewal Ln Fairfield, CA 4.0 3.0 2055 $3,850 $1.87 14d 1 0.86mi
1930 Grande Cir #77 Fairfield, CA 2.0 2.0 1095 $1,750 $1.60 44d 1 0.87mi
1990 Grande Cir Fairfield, CA 2.0 1.0–1.5 895 $2,135 $2.39 3d 15 0.87mi
1335 Phillip Way Suisun City, CA 3.0 2.5 1606 $3,000 $1.87 14d 1 0.89mi
1970 Grande Cir #19 Fairfield, CA 2.0 1.5 1095 $2,200 $2.01 23d 1 0.90mi
1400 Humphrey Dr Suisun City, CA 2.0–3.0 1.5 1075 $2,425 $2.26 3d 4 0.90mi
1960 Grande Cir #42 Fairfield, CA 3.0 1.5 1176 $2,500 $2.13 44d 1 0.92mi
1648 Little Rock Cir Suisun City, CA 3.0 3.0 1839 $3,300 $1.79 21d 1 0.94mi
1648 Little Rock Cir Suisun City, CA 3.0 3.0 1839 $3,300 $1.79 44d 1 0.94mi
1284 Warmth Ct Fairfield, CA 3.0 2.5 2057 $3,500 $1.70 21d 1 0.94mi
1930 Manor Pl Unit 1 Fairfield, CA 2.0 1.5 1100 $2,150 $1.95 21d 1 0.99mi
2776 Woodmont Dr Fairfield, CA 3.0 2.5 1578 $2,995 $1.90 44d 1 1.05mi
1037 Mockingbird Ln Fairfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1476 $2,695 $1.83 44d 1 1.15mi
745 Monte Carlo Dr Suisun City, CA 4.0 3.0 1775 $3,400 $1.92 14d 1 1.22mi
1349 Blossom Ave Fairfield, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1017 $3,340 $3.28 2d 11 1.26mi
849 Finch Way Fairfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,895 $2.23 44d 1 1.33mi
849 Finch Way Fairfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,895 $2.23 44d 1 1.33mi
1777 Daniel Ct Fairfield, CA 3.0 2.5 1600 $2,955 $1.85 23d 1 1.39mi
995 Matthew Ct Fairfield, CA 4.0 2.0 1560 $3,150 $2.02 44d 1 1.41mi
1104 Waxwing Dr Suisun City, CA 3.0 2.0 1279 $3,079 $2.41 44d 1 1.47mi
145 Del Rey Ct Fairfield, CA 3.0 1.5 1164 $2,500 $2.15 14d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $195,000 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $195,000 Active 92 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $195,000 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $195,000 Active 90 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $195,000 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $195,000 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,000 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,000 Active 83 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,000 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    pricestatus $195,000 Active 78 DOM
  11. 2026-03-23
    status Active 342-char remark
    Show marketing remark (342 chars)

    Why rent when you can own! Great opportunity to own you home in a nice quiet Mobile Home park. Lots of space for your family with 3 full bedrooms 2 baths and an extra room for office or ? Updated bathrooms, dual pane windows and much more. Enjoy your morning coffee under the pergola. Just put your own personal touches and make it your own.

  12. 2026-03-18
    historical Contingent (No Show) 342-char remark
    Show marketing remark (342 chars)

    Why rent when you can own! Great opportunity to own you home in a nice quiet Mobile Home park. Lots of space for your family with 3 full bedrooms 2 baths and an extra room for office or ? Updated bathrooms, dual pane windows and much more. Enjoy your morning coffee under the pergola. Just put your own personal touches and make it your own.

  13. 2026-03-11
    listed $205,000 Active 342-char remark
    Show marketing remark (342 chars)

    Why rent when you can own! Great opportunity to own you home in a nice quiet Mobile Home park. Lots of space for your family with 3 full bedrooms 2 baths and an extra room for office or ? Updated bathrooms, dual pane windows and much more. Enjoy your morning coffee under the pergola. Just put your own personal touches and make it your own.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 21 unhealthy d/yr today · 22 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,591
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$2,925
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,767
− Management
−$2,767
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable income
$8,561
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,055
After-tax cash flow
$9,101/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in good condition with updated bathrooms and kitchen, and a welcoming exterior. Minor updates to the interior and landscaping would significantly enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both painting interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both upgrading light fixtures — modern light fixtures improve aesthetics and energy efficiency
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both painting interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both upgrading light fixtures — modern light fixtures improve aesthetics and energy efficiency
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fairfield-Suisun Unified
NCES district ID
0613360
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$69,654
Composite
34.59/100
National rank
#5157
State rank
#238 of 517 in CA

Livability — Fairfield

Score
67/100
State rank
#314
US rank
#10551

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fairfield, CA
County
Solano County · 433,239 people
City population
120,008
Metro
Vallejo, CA
Population (ZIP)
78,805
Household income
$87,384
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
3474.0

Population outlook (Solano County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
478,685 people
By 2030
497,974 · +4.0%
By 2040
528,515 · +10.4%
By 2050
549,115 · +14.7%
By 2075
587,229 · +22.7%
By 2100
571,378 · +19.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 39% White 23% Black 16% Two or more races 16% Asian 14% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 28% Tagalog/Filipino 6% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Solano

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.0) · D 60.0% · R 37.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 23.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.0 2020: D+30.3 2016: D+30.5 2012: D+28.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -258.88%
Current HPI
285.4365
Rent YoY
▲ 0.15%
Metro
Vallejo, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Relisted BAREIS
  • 2026-03-18 Contingent BAREIS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $205,000 BAREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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