1416 N Court St · Rockford, IL 61103

$79,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,148 sqft · SingleFamily · 4 Days on market

Built 1900 6,970 sqft lot Est $130k · 38% under

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.5/5.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Special! Opportunity knocks with this 3-bedroom home featuring a functional floor plan, detached garage, and plenty of space to transform into something special. Property needs TLC and updates throughout but offers strong potential for investors, flippers, contractors, or buyers seeking a renovation project. Convenient location close to schools, shopping, dining, and other amenities. Sold AS-IS. Don't miss your chance to add value and make this property your own!

Key facts

• Convenient location
• Detached garage
• 6,970 sq ft lot

Tags

• DETACHED GARAGE
• FUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLAN
• CONVENIENT LOCATION

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Detached 1-car garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence (house); 1 story
• Exterior features: Shingle roof; 0.16-acre lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Gas cooktop
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Gas cooktop; Gas water heater; Full basement
• Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $538 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
• Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: R K Welsh Elem School (math 7% / reading 7%, grade F, #1,719 of 2,056 statewide, top 84%, 435 students, 0% FRL); West Middle School (math 3% / reading 11%, grade F, #627 of 665 statewide, top 95%, 849 students, 0% FRL); Guilford High School (math 15% / reading 28%, grade F, #345 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 2,071 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 105 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $45k; list at $80k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.60% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.37%
• Cash-on-cash: 28.85%
• DSCR: 2.28
• GRM: 5.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $129,724
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1427 N Court St	0.03mi	3/1.0	1,200 (+4%)	2mo	$113,220	$94	89
1311 Grant Ave	0.10mi	3/1.0	1,191 (+4%)	3mo	$99,000	$83	87
1422 North Ave	0.13mi	3/1.0	1,092 (-5%)	0mo	$127,000	$116	86
1705 N Church St	0.24mi	3/1.5	1,056 (-8%)	0mo	$160,000	$152	73
2018 Bruner St	0.51mi	3/1.0	1,115 (-3%)	2mo	$102,000	$91	70
618 Napoleon St	0.38mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,200 (+4%)	5mo	$115,000	$96	66
2208 N Court St	0.57mi	4/1.0 (+1)	1,107 (-4%)	2mo	$80,000	$72	61
2031 Ridge Ave	0.55mi	3/1.5	1,270 (+11%)	0mo	$175,000	$138	54
2216 N Court St	0.58mi	3/1.0	1,000 (-13%)	3mo	$125,000	$125	49
2122 N Church St	0.54mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,286 (+12%)	3mo	$155,000	$121	48
717 Ellis Ave	0.67mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,040 (-9%)	1mo	$118,000	$113	47
1021 N Rockton Ave	0.65mi	4/1.0 (+1)	1,248 (+9%)	5mo	$90,000	$72	46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 28.3%
• Equity multiple: 2.25×
• Total profit: $28,024
• Equity at exit: $11,913

10-year hold

• IRR: 38.4%
• Equity multiple: 5.43×
• Total profit: $99,090
• Equity at exit: $6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Illinois: 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 61103

• Home prices YoY: -27.3%
• Rents YoY: 8.1%
• Active inventory: 105
• Price-to-rent: 5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,276 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$419
• Tax from tax record: −$18 /mo · $219/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$268
• Net cashflow: $538

Break-even live

Break-even rent $596

Max offer price $79,900

Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $583	-5% $560	+0% $538	+5% $515	+10% $493
Rent	-10% $437	-5% $487	+0% $538	+5% $588	+10% $639
Rate	-1.0pp $578	-0.5pp $558	base $538	+0.5pp $517	+1.0pp $496

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,975
• Closing costs: $2,397
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 28 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1401 N Court St Rockford, IL	2.0	1.0	850	$950	$1.12	45d	1	0.06mi
1904 Auburn St Unit 1904-4 Rockford, IL	2.0	1.0	800	$1,050	$1.31	45d	1	0.18mi
1121 N Church St Rockford, IL	2.0	1.0	900	$1,200	$1.33	22d	1	0.34mi
1832 N Main St Rockford, IL	2.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	872	$1,199	$1.37	14d	1	0.37mi
920 N Church St Rockford, IL	2.0	1.0	750	$1,295	$1.73	14d	4	0.54mi
922 N Church St Rockford, IL	2.0	2.0	1150	$1,450	$1.26	45d	1	0.54mi
203 Carlton Ter Rockford, IL	2.0	1.0	900	$1,250	$1.39	22d	1	0.55mi
2422 Benderwirt Ave Unit 2422-1 Rockford, IL	2.0	1.0	1150	$1,025	$0.89	45d	1	0.58mi
2208 Fremont St Rockford, IL	3.0	1.0	938	$1,400	$1.49	14d	1	0.62mi
913 N Main St Rockford, IL	2.0	1.0–2.0	1050	$2,300	$2.19	22d	1	0.63mi
2308 Fremont St Rockford, IL	3.0	1.0	1320	$1,600	$1.21	45d	1	0.68mi
2215 Hecker Ave Unit 2215 Rockford, IL	3.0	1.0	800	$1,095	$1.37	45d	1	0.68mi
728 N Winnebago St Rockford, IL	4.0	1.0	1250	$1,600	$1.28	14d	1	0.71mi
1614 Pauline Ave Rockford, IL	2.0	1.0	956	$1,400	$1.46	45d	1	0.85mi
3007 Huffman Blvd Rockford, IL	3.0	1.5	1296	$1,450	$1.12	45d	1	1.07mi
1823 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL	3.0	1.0	875	$1,500	$1.71	22d	1	1.07mi
1823 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL	3.0	1.0	875	$1,400	$1.60	14d	1	1.07mi
607 N 2nd St Unit 607-6 Rockford, IL	2.0	1.0	875	$950	$1.09	45d	1	1.08mi
2019 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL	3.0	1.0	875	$1,400	$1.60	14d	1	1.09mi
2019 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL	3.0	1.0	875	$1,500	$1.71	45d	1	1.09mi
1617 Vermont St Rockford, IL	2.0	1.0	1375	$1,325	$0.96	45d	1	1.24mi
1146 Fairview Ave Rockford, IL	4.0	1.5	1344	$1,250	$0.93	22d	1	1.24mi
314 N Longwood St Rockford, IL	2.0	1.0	1060	$1,100	$1.04	45d	1	1.29mi
1112 Crosby St Rockford, IL	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,050	$1.05	22d	1	1.32mi
2330 Kilburn Ave Rockford, IL	2.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	950	$1,199	$1.26	14d	1	1.33mi
912 Furman St Rockford, IL	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,300	$1.30	14d	1	1.40mi
1138 Revell Ave Rockford, IL	2.0	1.0	900	$800	$0.89	45d	1	1.41mi
1116 Irving Ave Unit 1116-301 Rockford, IL	2.0	1.0	800	$950	$1.19	22d	1	1.48mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-06-17
   status $79,900 Pending 4 DOM
2. 2026-06-16
   days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
3. 2026-06-15
   days on market $79,900 Active 3 DOM
4. 2026-06-13
   remarks 633-char remark
5. 2026-06-13
   listed $79,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $219 · $18/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,016 · $85/mo
• Expected delta: +$798/yr (+$66/mo · 364.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,317
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,476
• − Property taxes: −$219
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,225
• − Management: −$1,225
• − Depreciation: −$2,324
• Taxable income: $5,448
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,308
• After-tax cash flow: $5,147/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Rockford SD 205
• NCES district ID: 1734510
• Math proficiency: 12% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 16% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $42,533
• Composite: 12.21/100
• National rank: #9649
• State rank: #533 of 620 in IL

Livability — Rockford

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #876
• US rank: #17035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Rockford, IL
• County: Winnebago County · 147,297 people
• City population: 147,297
• Metro: Rockford, IL
• Population (ZIP): 22,869
• Household income: $51,161
• Rent vs Own: 48.4% rent · 51.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 1402.0

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 271,080 people
• By 2030: 260,684 · -3.8%
• By 2040: 238,405 · -12.1%
• By 2050: 216,129 · -20.3%
• By 2075: 172,882 · -36.2%
• By 2100: 135,336 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
• Race & ethnicity: White 56% Black 25% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 12%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 10%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Portuguese 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -81.02%
• Current HPI: 215.8559
• Rent YoY: ▲ 8.11%
• Metro: Rockford, IL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.59%
• F500 in state: 60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	4	$201B
▸Consumer Goods	4	$87B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$64B
▸Healthcare	2	$55B
▸Retail / Pharmacy	1	$148B
▸Agriculture / Food	1	$86B

Price history

+15.8% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-09 Listed $79,900 NWIAR
• 2026-06-09 Listed $79,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1998-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
• 1989-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-10.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $219 · -6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.