1301 Upper Cahokia Rd · Cahokia Heights, IL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR'S SPECIAL!! SOLD AS IS! This home features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and a bonus sleeping area in the basement. This income generating property is a great investment with a tenant already in place who has guaranteed on time rental payments.
Key facts
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1948
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1-car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Lot includes other features; Approximately 0.22-acre lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Partial finished basement; Two levels
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Wirth/Parks Middle School (617 students, 0% FRL); Cahokia High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 845 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 85% district-wide (85 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,362/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $85k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.31%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $100,464
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1203 Upper Cahokia Rd | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-2%) | 10mo | $110,000 | $102 | 78 |
| 110 Kinder St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+4%) | 6mo | $105,000 | $91 | 69 |
| 3306 Falling Springs Rd | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,169 (+6%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $90 | 64 |
| 239 Nadine St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (-10%) | 0mo | $105,000 | $106 | 64 |
| 436 Chaudet Ave | 0.36mi | 3/— | 1,036 (-6%) | 12mo | $105,000 | $101 | 63 |
| 713 Mildred Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+4%) | 6mo | $45,000 | $39 | 59 |
| 237 Nadine St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 978 (-11%) | 6mo | $105,000 | $107 | 58 |
| 860 Saint Bartholomew Dr | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,073 (-3%) | 3mo | $89,900 | $84 | 55 |
| 11 Hissrich St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,224 (+11%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $86 | 48 |
| 804 Otto St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (+14%) | 6mo | $35,000 | $28 | 40 |
| 870 Saint Cletus Dr | 0.72mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,165 (+6%) | 10mo | $110,000 | $94 | 40 |
| 10 Edgar St | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-13%) | 8mo | $69,000 | $72 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $6,517
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $32,153
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62206
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Active inventory
- 152
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,362 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$212 /mo · $2,544/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $317
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $365 | -5% $341 | +0% $317 | +5% $293 | +10% $268 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $209 | -5% $263 | +0% $317 | +5% $370 | +10% $424 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $359 | -0.5pp $338 | base $317 | +0.5pp $295 | +1.0pp $272 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1002 Upper Cahokia Rd East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $860 | $1.19 | 16d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 58 David St East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,285 | $1.22 | 0d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,285 | $1.22 | 17d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 819 Mildred Ave East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 818 La Salle Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1109 Saint Helena Dr Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,400 | $1.70 | 4d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 111 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,350 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 124 Saint James Ln Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1220 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $1,500 | $1.71 | 16d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 121 Saint Dorothy Dr Cahokia, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 302 Saint Leonard Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1155 | $1,300 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 148 Saint James Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,200 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 502 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 4d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 500 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $950 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,295 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,295 | $1.25 | 0d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 142 Saint Barbara Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $1,300 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $875 | $1.01 | 17d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $875 | $1.01 | 16d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 101 E 5th St Cahokia, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $900 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,095 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1405 Williams St Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1312 Saint Raphael St East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,500 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1716 # E Unit Loretta Ave unit East St Louis, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,000 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1162 Smith St East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,295 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 526 Saint Leo Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,400 | $1.51 | 4d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1420 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1417 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,400 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1421 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 3d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1150 Price St Cahokia, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 701 Saint Paul Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,500 | $1.74 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 705 Saint Martin Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $1,600 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1808 Mullens Ave Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,500 | $1.51 | 4d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$85,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,544 · $212/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,544 · $212/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,347
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$2,544
- − Insurance
- −$1,222
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,308
- − Management
- −$1,308
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $2,731
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$656
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,144/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cahokia CUSD 187
- NCES district ID
- 1708040
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 5% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,028
- Composite
- 6.44/100
- National rank
- #14827
- State rank
- #864 of 919 in IL
Livability — Cahokia Heights
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cahokia Heights, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 19,956
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,959
- Household income
- $33,838
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 729.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.26%
- Current HPI
- 131.5144
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+88.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $85,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-10 Coming Soon $85,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-18 Rental Removed $1,500 BUILDIUM
- 2024-12-13 Listed for Rent $1,500 BUILDIUM
- 2024-06-28 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-20 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-14 Listed $49,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-08 Coming Soon $49,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 1997-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 1997-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2024): $2,544 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…