CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1301 Upper Cahokia Rd
B Composite 72.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

1301 Upper Cahokia Rd · Cahokia Heights, IL 62206
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1948 9,583 sqft lot Est $100k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTOR'S SPECIAL!! SOLD AS IS! This home features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and a bonus sleeping area in the basement. This income generating property is a great investment with a tenant already in place who has guaranteed on time rental payments.

Key facts

  • 9,583 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1948

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1-car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Lot includes other features; Approximately 0.22-acre lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Partial finished basement; Two levels

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Wirth/Parks Middle School (617 students, 0% FRL); Cahokia High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 845 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 85% district-wide (85 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,362/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $85k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
11.70%
Cash-on-cash
19.31%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$100,464
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1203 Upper Cahokia Rd 0.10mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,080 (-2%) 10mo $110,000 $102 78
110 Kinder St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+4%) 6mo $105,000 $91 69
3306 Falling Springs Rd 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,169 (+6%) 5mo $105,000 $90 64
239 Nadine St 0.31mi 3/1.0 988 (-10%) 0mo $105,000 $106 64
436 Chaudet Ave 0.36mi 3/— 1,036 (-6%) 12mo $105,000 $101 63
713 Mildred Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+4%) 6mo $45,000 $39 59
237 Nadine St 0.32mi 3/1.0 978 (-11%) 6mo $105,000 $107 58
860 Saint Bartholomew Dr 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,073 (-3%) 3mo $89,900 $84 55
11 Hissrich St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,224 (+11%) 5mo $105,000 $86 48
804 Otto St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,260 (+14%) 6mo $35,000 $28 40
870 Saint Cletus Dr 0.72mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,165 (+6%) 10mo $110,000 $94 40
10 Edgar St 0.59mi 2/2.0 (-1) 960 (-13%) 8mo $69,000 $72 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.0%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$6,517
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$32,153
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62206

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
152
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,362 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$212 /mo · $2,544/yr
Insurance
$35
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$286
Net cashflow
$317

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $365 -5% $341 +0% $317 +5% $293 +10% $268
Rent -10% $209 -5% $263 +0% $317 +5% $370 +10% $424
Rate -1.0pp $359 -0.5pp $338 base $317 +0.5pp $295 +1.0pp $272

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1002 Upper Cahokia Rd East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 720 $860 $1.19 16d 1 0.20mi
58 David St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 45d 1 0.46mi
850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,285 $1.22 0d 1 0.69mi
850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,285 $1.22 17d 1 0.69mi
819 Mildred Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,250 $1.34 23d 1 0.72mi
818 La Salle Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1106 $1,300 $1.18 25d 1 0.81mi
1109 Saint Helena Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 825 $1,400 $1.70 4d 1 0.95mi
111 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,350 $1.30 45d 1 1.01mi
124 Saint James Ln Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 45d 1 1.02mi
1220 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 876 $1,500 $1.71 16d 1 1.08mi
121 Saint Dorothy Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,500 $1.52 45d 1 1.08mi
302 Saint Leonard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1155 $1,300 $1.13 45d 1 1.13mi
148 Saint James Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,200 $1.39 45d 1 1.14mi
502 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 4d 1 1.18mi
500 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $950 $1.10 25d 1 1.18mi
811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,295 $1.25 25d 1 1.19mi
811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,295 $1.25 0d 1 1.19mi
142 Saint Barbara Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 2.0 990 $1,300 $1.31 45d 1 1.22mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 17d 1 1.23mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 16d 1 1.23mi
101 E 5th St Cahokia, IL 2.0 1.0 770 $900 $1.17 45d 1 1.26mi
1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 944 $1,095 $1.16 45d 1 1.28mi
1405 Williams St Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 45d 1 1.29mi
1312 Saint Raphael St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1280 $1,500 $1.17 45d 1 1.30mi
1716 # E Unit Loretta Ave unit East St Louis, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,000 $1.39 45d 1 1.30mi
1162 Smith St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,295 $1.31 23d 1 1.34mi
526 Saint Leo Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,400 $1.51 4d 1 1.36mi
1420 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,500 $1.15 45d 1 1.37mi
1417 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,400 $1.50 23d 1 1.37mi
1421 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 3d 1 1.39mi
1150 Price St Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 4d 1 1.40mi
701 Saint Paul Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 45d 1 1.43mi
705 Saint Martin Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1033 $1,600 $1.55 23d 1 1.46mi
1808 Mullens Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 992 $1,500 $1.51 4d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $85,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,544 · $212/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,544 · $212/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,347
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$2,544
− Insurance
−$1,222
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,308
− Management
−$1,308
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$2,731
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$656
After-tax cash flow
$3,144/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cahokia CUSD 187
NCES district ID
1708040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
5% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,028
Composite
6.44/100
National rank
#14827
State rank
#864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cahokia Heights

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Cahokia Heights, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
19,956
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
12,959
Household income
$33,838
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
131.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+88.9% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $85,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-10 Coming Soon $85,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-18 Rental Removed $1,500 BUILDIUM
  • 2024-12-13 Listed for Rent $1,500 BUILDIUM
  • 2024-06-28 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-20 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-14 Listed $49,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-08 Coming Soon $49,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 1997-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 1997-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,544 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…