700 E Gobbi St #136 · Ukiah, CA 95482

$35,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 648 sqft · Manufactured · 2 Days on market

Built 1975 Est $47k · 25% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

A quaint mobile awaiting new owner(s) to breathe fresh life into this home!

Key facts

• Remodeled
• Furnished
• 2 parking spots

Tags

• REMODELED
• FURNISHED
• WELL MAINTAINED GROUNDS
• SPARKLING SWIMMING POOL
• CAREFREE RETIREMENT LIFESTYLE

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Located in Manor Oaks park; Not a senior community
• Financial info: Land lease: yes (land lease amount provided in listing data)
• HOA & community: No association

Exterior

• Parking: Covered parking (2 total); No garage
• Security: Carbon monoxide detector; Smoke detector
• Utilities: Public sewer; Natural gas connected; Internet available; Other utilities: see remarks
• Home design: Manufactured home in park (single wide); Facing west; Updated/remodeled condition
• Construction: Metal roof; Aluminum skirting; Manufactured home (Bendix)
• Exterior features: Carport awning; Patio awning; Carpeted porch with porch steps; Storage shed(s); Corner lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Free standing gas range; Free standing refrigerator; Laminate counters; Breakfast area
• Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
• Flooring: Carpet
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with shower stall
• Heating & cooling: Evaporative cooler; Window unit(s) for cooling; No central heating
• Interior features: Dining and living area combined; Breakfast area in kitchen; Laminate kitchen counters; Free standing gas range; Free standing refrigerator; Carbon monoxide detector; Smoke detector; Updated/remodeled interior; Green energy features: window shading/exposure
• Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups inside (listed as None/Other)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $589 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $35k).
• Cap rate 41.1% vs local median 3.0% in Ukiah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#425 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime D-.
• Ukiah Unified (town): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #1,018 of 1,400 in CA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 8 units permitted in Mendocino County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Mendocino County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $12k; list at $35k implies a 192% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $35,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 4.55% ✓
• Cap rate: 41.10%
• Cash-on-cash: 124.30%
• DSCR: 6.53
• GRM: 1.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $46,656
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
700 E Gobbi St #34	0.00mi	2/1.0 (+1)	672 (+4%)	18mo	$48,500	$72	73
700 E Gobbi St #37	0.01mi	2/1.0 (+1)	742 (+14%)	6mo	$43,700	$59	65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.07% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 77.2%
• Equity multiple: 4.79×
• Total profit: $37,167
• Equity at exit: $5,219

10-year hold

• IRR: 82.0%
• Equity multiple: 11.61×
• Total profit: $103,938
• Equity at exit: $3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 95482

• Rents YoY: 6.1%
• Active inventory: 153
• Price-to-rent: 1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,591 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$184
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$44 /mo · $525/yr
• Insurance: −$15
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$334
• Net cashflow: $589

Break-even live

Break-even rent $846

Max offer price $35,000

Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $8,750
• Closing costs: $1,050
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
314 Cooper Ln Ukiah, CA	2.0	1.0	660	$1,750	$2.65	43d	1	0.45mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $35,000 Active 2 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   remarks 644-char remark
3. 2026-06-17
   listed $35,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 22% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 20 unhealthy d/yr today · 22 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,094
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,961
• − Property taxes: −$525
• − Insurance: −$5,294
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,527
• − Management: −$1,527
• − Depreciation: −$1,018
• Taxable income: $7,241
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,738
• After-tax cash flow: $5,325/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Ukiah Unified
• NCES district ID: 0640300
• Math proficiency: 24% ▲ 2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 37% ▲ 4.00%
• Median HH income: $47,865
• Composite: 29.21/100
• National rank: #11858
• State rank: #1018 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Ukiah

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #425
• US rank: #14442

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment D Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Ukiah, CA
• County: Mendocino County · 33,164 people
• City population: 33,164
• Metro: Ukiah, CA
• Population (ZIP): 33,164
• Household income: $69,772
• Rent vs Own: 44.7% rent · 55.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 1349.0

Population outlook (Mendocino County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 84,643 people
• By 2030: 82,138 · -3.0%
• By 2040: 76,402 · -9.7%
• By 2050: 71,759 · -15.2%
• By 2075: 61,454 · -27.4%
• By 2100: 50,130 · -40.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
• Race & ethnicity: White 57% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 18% Asian 3% Native American 2% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 30%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 16% · Canada, China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 71% English-only · Spanish 25% Chinese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mendocino

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+26.8) · D 61.3% · R 34.5% · Other 4.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 42.8pp · 2024: 26.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+26.8 2020: D+35.8 2016: D+29.1 2012: D+37.6 2008: D+42.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -485.34%
• Current HPI: 164.6978
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.07%
• Metro: Ukiah, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

+94.4% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-17 Listed $35,000 BAREIS
• 2015-12-04 Sold (MLS) $12,000 BAREIS
• 2015-09-28 Listed $15,000 BAREIS
• 2013-08-29 Sold (MLS) $15,000 BAREIS
• 2013-06-20 Listed $18,000 BAREIS