31590 Spanish Mission Rd · San Antonio, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.3/30.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Appreciation +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
$259,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Pre-Construction. To be built. Welcome to Mirada, Located in San Antonio, FL, this neighborhood is home to the nation’s largest man-made lagoon—an impressive fifteen acres of crystal-clear blue water. Residents enjoy a resort-style experience right outside their door, with access to kayaks, paddle boards, splash zones, sandy beaches, and even a floating obstacle course. Whether you’re looking for relaxation or adventure, this one-of-a-kind amenity that delivers it all. Step into modern comfort with this beautifully designed 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome, complete with a 1-car garage and a layout crafted for both style and convenience.
Key facts
- Splash zones
- Sandy beaches
- Paddle boards
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $260k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-189 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $233k (10.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (4.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $229k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.6% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#454 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: San Antonio Elementary School (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #1,055 of 2,144 statewide, top 50%, 573 students, 50% FRL); Pasco Middle School (math 38% / reading 38%, grade F, #388 of 571 statewide, top 69%, 903 students, 73% FRL); Pasco High School (math 40% / reading 40%, grade F, #296 of 667 statewide, top 45%, 1,639 students, 66% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 426 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 37d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.3%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.12%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $379,740
- List price
- $259,990
- Delta
- -31.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31551 Azure Beach Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 | 1,674 (0%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $161 | 97 |
| 31509 Azure Beach Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,674 (0%) | 1mo | $257,990 | $154 | 95 |
| 31513 Azure Beach Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,674 (0%) | 2mo | $258,990 | $155 | 95 |
| 31387 Spanish Mission Rd | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 | 1,674 (0%) | 1mo | $302,390 | $181 | 91 |
| 31546 Azure Beach Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,788 (+7%) | 0mo | $398,990 | $223 | 85 |
| 31785 Kestrel Calling Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 | 1,602 (-4%) | 0mo | $260,990 | $163 | 84 |
| 31799 Kestrel Calling Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 | 1,602 (-4%) | 0mo | $260,900 | $163 | 83 |
| 31530 Azure Beach Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,788 (+7%) | 3mo | $426,602 | $239 | 83 |
| 31788 Kestrel Calling Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 1,602 (-4%) | 0mo | $255,990 | $160 | 83 |
| 31784 Kestrel Calling Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 1,602 (-4%) | 1mo | $259,990 | $162 | 82 |
| 31837 Kestrel Calling Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 | 1,602 (-4%) | 0mo | $270,000 | $169 | 82 |
| 31829 Kestrel Calling Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 | 1,602 (-4%) | 1mo | $259,990 | $162 | 81 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.32% appreciation · 0.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-52,862
- Equity at exit
- $46,718
- IRR
- -19.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.08×
- Total profit
- $-78,911
- Equity at exit
- $36,381
Cash invested: $72,797 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 63 active · 29 under contract
- Months of supply
- 16.4 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $275,990 ($167/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 88 d
- This list price
- 6% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +35.8% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33576
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 426
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,487 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$325 /mo · $3,900/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$357
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$522
- Net cashflow
- $-189
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-10 | -5% $-99 | +0% $-189 | +5% $-279 | +10% $-369 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-386 | -5% $-287 | +0% $-189 | +5% $-91 | +10% $7 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-58 | -0.5pp $-123 | base $-189 | +0.5pp $-257 | +1.0pp $-325 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,998
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31536 Azure Beach Dr San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1788 | $2,500 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 31530 Azure Beach Dr San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1788 | $2,500 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 11126 Tidepool Ct San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1788 | $3,200 | $1.79 | 71d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 11126 Tidepool Ct Unit Na San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1788 | $3,200 | $1.79 | 69d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 31825 Kestrel Calling Dr San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1602 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 38d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 11813 June Briar Loop San Antonio, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2161 | $2,495 | $1.15 | 7d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 11608 Ascend Mirada Blvd San Antonio, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1178 | $2,284 | $1.94 | 7d | 21 | 0.46mi |
| 10864 Penny Gale Loop Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $2,299 | $1.53 | 37d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 10797 Penny Gale Loop Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1961 | $2,300 | $1.17 | 37d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 10797 Penny Gale Loop San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1961 | $2,200 | $1.12 | 18d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 32094 Hawthorne Cottage Pl San Antonio, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1936 | $2,795 | $1.44 | 73d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 11672 Radiant Shore Loop San Antonio, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1870 | $2,495 | $1.33 | 64d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 11210 Linden Depot Rd San Antonio, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1936 | $2,550 | $1.32 | 54d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 31524 Magna Gulf Loop San Antonio, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1405 | $2,000 | $1.42 | 27d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 10817 Ironwood Tree Way San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1694 | $2,250 | $1.33 | 51d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 10817 Ironwood Tree Way San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1694 | $2,250 | $1.33 | 73d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 11629 Radiant Shore Loop San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $2,145 | $1.48 | 41d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 11629 Radiant Shore Loop San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $2,100 | $1.45 | 9d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 32067 Eastern Redbud Br San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1639 | $2,250 | $1.37 | 73d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 11545 Radiant Shore Loop San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $2,250 | $1.55 | 73d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 32079 Eastern Redbud Br San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1639 | $2,200 | $1.34 | 18d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 31700 Cannon Rush Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1959 | $2,500 | $1.28 | 29d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 10765 Ironwood Tree Way San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1674 | $2,300 | $1.37 | 38d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 31493 Cannon Rush Dr Wesley Chapel, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1968 | $2,750 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 11360 Cay Spruce Way Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1615 | $2,000 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 11322 Cay Spruce Way Unit n/a Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2003 | $2,420 | $1.21 | 73d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 11232 Cay Spruce Way San Antonio, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1615 | $1,955 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 11232 Cay Spruce Way Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1615 | $1,955 | $1.21 | 17d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 11212 Cay Spruce Way San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1856 | $2,200 | $1.19 | 26d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 11317 Cay Spruce Way San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2017 | $2,250 | $1.12 | 12d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 10715 Ironwood Tree Way San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1681 | $2,050 | $1.22 | 64d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 10708 Ironwood Tree Way San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 67d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 32123 Pond Apple Bnd San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1708 | $2,025 | $1.19 | 9d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 32129 Pond Apple Bnd San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1681 | $2,050 | $1.22 | 38d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 31478 Ocean Ave San Antonio, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1119 | $2,399 | $2.14 | 13d | 46 | 0.71mi |
| 32112 Pond Apple Bnd Unit 1 San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,000 | $1.18 | 73d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 32108 Pond Apple Bnd San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1694 | $2,200 | $1.30 | 18d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 32118 Pond Apple Bnd San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1732 | $2,200 | $1.27 | 18d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 10647 Ironwood Tree Way San Antonio, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1712 | $2,400 | $1.40 | 73d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 10462 Weldon Cork Way San Antonio, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1747 | $2,200 | $1.26 | 64d | 1 | 0.74mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Home warranty includedBuilder license: CBC1257565
- Financial info
- Total monthly fees: $347 (total annual fees $4,164)CDD applicableLease restrictions apply
- HOA & community
- HOA: Ryan Homes (monthly HOA $347) — fee includes grounds maintenanceGated communityCommunity features: park, playground, street lightsPets allowed with number limit
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 1-car garage (approx. 10x21) with garage door openerDriveway parking
- Security
- Smoke detectors
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerCable connectedElectricity availableFiber optics availableSprinkler meter
- Home design
- Attached townhouseTwo levelsNew construction (projected completion Oct 31, 2026)North-facing
- Construction
- Block, stucco, frame and other materialsShingle roofSlab foundationBuilder: Ryan Homes, Model: MayshoreNew construction
- Exterior features
- PatioSliding doorsSidewalks and paved lotIrrigation equipmentFl. friendly/native landscapingGunite in-ground pool
Interior
- Kitchen
- Built-in ovenDishwasherDisposalMicrowaveRangeExhaust fanElectric water heater
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetCeramic tile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Eat-in kitchenKitchen/family room comboLiving room/dining room comboOpen floorplanStone countersProgrammable thermostatWalk-in closetsENERGY STAR qualified windows
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry inside on upper levelInside utility room
HOA detail $357/mo · $4,284/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $259,990 Active 130 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $259,990 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $259,990 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $259,990 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $259,990 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $259,990 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $259,990 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $259,990 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $259,990 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $259,990 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $259,990 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $259,990 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $259,990 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $259,990 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $259,990 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $259,990 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $259,990 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $259,990 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $259,990 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $259,990 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $259,990 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $259,990 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $259,990 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $259,990 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $259,990 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $259,990 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $259,990 Active 94 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $259,990 Active 93 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $259,990 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $259,990 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $259,990 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $259,990 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $259,990 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $259,990 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $259,990 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $259,990 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $259,990 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,990 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,990 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,990 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,990 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,990 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $259,990 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $259,990 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $259,990 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $259,990 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $259,990 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $259,990 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $259,990 Active 62 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $259,990 Active 61 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,840
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,563
- − Property taxes
- −$3,900
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,387
- − Management
- −$2,387
- − HOA
- −$4,284
- − Depreciation
- −$7,563
- Taxable loss
- −$6,545
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,571
- After-tax cash flow
- $-700/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This pre-construction townhome in Mirada, San Antonio, FL, offers modern comfort and resort-style amenities. With excellent condition and a prime location, it's ready for move-in and will appeal to both buyers and renters.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances the home's aesthetic and appeal ↑
- Both Add smart home features — Improves convenience and marketability ↑
- Both Install smart thermostat — Saves energy and attracts buyers ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #454
- US rank
- #8221
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pasco County · 570,045 people
- City population
- 6,273
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,273
- Household income
- $76,388
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.32%
- Current HPI
- 281.7138
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.37%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Listed $259,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
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