Duplex
3718 Lyme Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$649,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Discover the ultimate blend of security, serenity, and seaside charm in the exclusive, gated community of Sea Gate. This impressive semi-detached brick two-family home represents a rare opportunity to own a piece of Brooklyn’s most private coastal enclave. Boasting five spacious bedrooms and two full bathrooms, this residence is wrapped in classic brick architecture and situated on a generous 2,600-square-foot lot. The interior offers a versatile layout that serves as a blank canvas for your vision; whether you desire a sprawling multi-generational home or a savvy owner-occupied investment. Imagine waking up to the salt air, enjoying sunset walks along private community beaches, and r
Key facts
- 2,600 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1940
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Gated community; Grounds maintenance provided; Community security; Community park; Playground; Annual HOA fee
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Duplex
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on the first floor
- Bathrooms: Full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window cooling units
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Formal dining room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $649k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($39k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $649k).
- Recommended offer: $591k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $9,852/mo this rent would consume 271% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 4426% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $37k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $182k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$59k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($591k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $146k; list at $649k implies a 345% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.22%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $818,400
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3820 Cypress Ave | 0.16mi | 4/— | 1,840 (+4%) | 6mo | $855,000 | $465 | 80 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.98% appreciation · 7.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.19×
- Total profit
- $397,101
- Equity at exit
- $367,070
- IRR
- 34.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.16×
- Total profit
- $1,118,660
- Equity at exit
- $632,927
Cash invested: $181,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11224
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,852 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,403
- Tax from tax record
- −$442 /mo · $5,298/yr
- Insurance
- −$270
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,069
- Net cashflow
- $3,241
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,609 | -5% $3,425 | +0% $3,241 | +5% $3,057 | +10% $2,874 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,463 | -5% $2,852 | +0% $3,241 | +5% $3,630 | +10% $4,019 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3,568 | -0.5pp $3,406 | base $3,241 | +0.5pp $3,073 | +1.0pp $2,902 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1.5 | $9,852 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.5 | $4,926 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.5 | $4,926 |
| Total (2 units) | $9,852 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $162,250
- Closing costs
- $19,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 187 Bay 31st St #1 Brooklyn, NY | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $5,200 | $2.89 | 19d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $649,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $649,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $649,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $649,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $649,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $649,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $649,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $649,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $649,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $649,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $649,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-04-09price $649,000
-
2026-02-25$699,000 Active
-
2026-02-12historical $699,000
-
2024-09-24historical
-
2024-09-23$739,999 Active
-
2024-07-17price $749,999
-
2024-07-09price $759,999
-
2024-06-24price $779,999
-
2024-05-29price $789,999
-
2024-05-18$799,999 Active
-
2024-05-09historical
-
1999-07-08soldstatus $146,000
-
1987-12-07soldstatus $175,000
-
1985-06-05soldstatus $117,500
-
1985-06-05soldstatus $117,500
-
1984-10-11soldstatus $89,000
-
1982-06-01soldstatus $47,272
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,298 · $442/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,133 · $678/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,835/yr (+$236/mo · 53.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $118,224
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,354
- − Property taxes
- −$5,298
- − Insurance
- −$8,364
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,458
- − Management
- −$9,458
- − Depreciation
- −$18,880
- Taxable income
- $30,412
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$7,299
- After-tax cash flow
- $31,595/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,822
- Household income
- $43,648
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4426.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 19% Asian 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 10% Subsaharan African 7% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 48% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 32% Spanish 11% Chinese 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.98%
- Current HPI
- 505.1405
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.03%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+1272.9% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $649,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Listed $699,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-12 Coming Soon $699,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-24 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-23 Listed $739,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-17 Price Changed $749,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-09 Price Changed $759,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-24 Price Changed $779,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-29 Price Changed $789,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-18 Listed $799,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-09 Coming Soon — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $146,000 Public Records
- 1987-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 1985-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $117,500 Public Records
- 1985-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $117,500 Public Records
- 1984-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
- 1982-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $47,272 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $5,298 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…