1700 Cooley St #19 · Missoula, MT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $918 – $1,706
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 26 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 32 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Bright kitchen
- Newer appliances
- Fenced private yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Annual tax amount listed (not displayed per instructions)
- Financial info: Land is leased
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $520 monthly fee; Association fee covers water
Exterior
- Utilities: Water included in association
- Home design: Residential property
- Construction: Other foundation
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $484 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 1.7% in Missoula — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#17 in MT, #2,351 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Missoula H S (urban): math 31% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #53 of 116 in MT (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 773 units permitted in Missoula County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Missoula County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.11%
- DSCR
- 3.05
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $455,680
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 Maple St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (-2%) | 12mo | $299,000 | $297 | 72 |
| 412 N Surrey St | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,072 (+5%) | 10mo | $89,000 | $83 | 63 |
| 1401 Cedar St #21 | 0.59mi | 2/1.5 | 1,072 (+5%) | 6mo | $257,028 | $240 | 58 |
| 1410 Defoe St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 920 (-10%) | 21mo | $349,900 | $380 | 52 |
| 1023 Phillips St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 914 (-11%) | 10mo | $489,000 | $535 | 44 |
| 1319 Howell St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,152 (+12%) | 11mo | $444,000 | $385 | 43 |
| 1031 Cooper St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 932 (-9%) | 2mo | $414,900 | $445 | 42 |
| 804 Palmer St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (+2%) | 18mo | $539,000 | $513 | 41 |
| 1108 & 1110 Philips St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,126 (+10%) | 20mo | $539,000 | $479 | 36 |
| 1012 Toole Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,176 (+15%) | 1mo | $499,000 | $424 | 35 |
| 927 Phillips St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,140 (+11%) | 12mo | $535,000 | $469 | 34 |
| 1020 Turner St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 912 (-11%) | 17mo | $550,000 | $603 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.29×
- Total profit
- $28,820
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 56.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.96×
- Total profit
- $87,650
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Montana
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 59802
- Rents YoY
- 5.9%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,665 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$56 /mo · $675/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$520
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $484
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3705 England Blvd Missoula, MT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $2,525 | $1.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $520 · $6,240/yr
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $45,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $45,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $45,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $45,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $45,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $45,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$45,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥90°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 26 unhealthy d/yr today · 32 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,978
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$675
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,598
- − Management
- −$1,598
- − HOA
- −$6,240
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $5,811
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,395
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,416/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This mobile home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — basic and dated
- Minor exterior siding — slight weathering
- Minor landscaping — overgrown and untended
Value-add opportunities
- Resale new kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and adds value
- Resale new bathroom fixtures — improves functionality and appeal
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — enhances the home's exterior and attracts potential buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · basic and dated | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior siding · slight weathering | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| landscaping · overgrown and untended | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $7,000–36,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale new kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and adds value ↑
- Resale new bathroom fixtures — improves functionality and appeal ↑
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — enhances the home's exterior and attracts potential buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Missoula H S
- NCES district ID
- 3018540
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,814
- Composite
- 34.87/100
- National rank
- #5087
- State rank
- #53 of 116 in MT
Livability — Missoula
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #2351
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Missoula, MT
- County
- Missoula County · 100,878 people
- City population
- 100,878
- Metro
- Missoula, MT
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,864
- Household income
- $67,736
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1029.0
Population outlook (Missoula County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 127,248 people
- By 2030
- 133,571 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 144,833 · +13.8%
- By 2050
- 156,753 · +23.2%
- By 2075
- 189,373 · +48.8%
- By 2100
- 217,637 · +71.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Missoula
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.4) · D 59.0% · R 37.5% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.3pp toward R · 2008: 26.7pp · 2024: 21.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.4 2020: D+23.6 2016: D+15.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+26.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -672.09%
- Current HPI
- 267.9702
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.86%
- Metro
- Missoula, MT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology / Analytics | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $45,000 MRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…