4300 Wentworth Rd · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +9.8/10.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a great opportunity to own and remake this home into a timeless classis again. This traditional detached home located in Central Forest Park, just blocks away from the Forest Park Golf Course, was built in 1926, and presents a unique investment opportunity with significant potential for appreciation. Spanning 1,614 sq. ft. , the property features four bedrooms and two and a half bathrooms, making it ideal for resale after renovations. Interior highlights include hardwood flooring, built-ins, and a charming curved staircase, enhancing the home's character. The kitchen offers table space, while the unfinished basement provides ample storage or potential for additional living space. A
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Curved staircase
- Brick fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building not winterized; Pets allowed with no restrictions; Ground rent paid annually
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Hot water by natural gas
- Home design: Detached property; Slate roof; Fee simple ownership; Property listed as needing major rehabilitation; Estimated year built
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Unfinished basement; Other foundation type; Storm windows
- Exterior features: Porch(es); Outbuilding(s); Chain link fencing; Not in federal flood zone
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Stove
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the first upper level
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Radiator heat; Natural gas heating; Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units (electric)
- Interior features: Attic; Built-in shelving; Ceiling fans; Curved staircase; Kitchen with table space; Wood floors; Drywall walls and ceilings; Storm door(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry hookups in basement and on main floor; Washer/dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $351 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.52%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $317,958
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4408 W Forest Park Ave | 0.17mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (-1%) | 0mo | $360,000 | $225 | 81 |
| 4016 Kathland Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,488 (-8%) | 0mo | $175,000 | $118 | 71 |
| 4711 W Forest Park Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,740 (+8%) | 8mo | $315,000 | $181 | 52 |
| 4701 Norfolk Ave | 0.40mi | 4/3.0 | 1,810 (+12%) | 4mo | $380,000 | $210 | 50 |
| 2918 Forest Glen Rd | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,405 (-13%) | 2mo | $147,000 | $105 | 49 |
| 3623 Milford Ave | 0.71mi | 4/1.5 | 1,536 (-5%) | 10mo | $160,500 | $104 | 48 |
| 5202 Norwood Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 | 1,723 (+7%) | 6mo | $319,900 | $186 | 46 |
| 2909 Lawina Rd | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,846 (+14%) | 6mo | $227,000 | $123 | 38 |
| 3709 Woodbine Ave | 0.63mi | 4/3.5 | 1,770 (+10%) | 10mo | $350,000 | $198 | 36 |
| 3503 Milford Ave | 0.66mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 1,498 (-7%) | 7mo | $359,900 | $240 | 35 |
| 2809 Allendale Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,412 (-12%) | 7mo | $285,000 | $202 | 30 |
| 3002 Oakhill Ave | 0.64mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,832 (+14%) | 8mo | $360,000 | $197 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.5% appreciation · 5.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.32×
- Total profit
- $129,603
- Equity at exit
- $172,835
- IRR
- 26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.68×
- Total profit
- $374,045
- Equity at exit
- $365,270
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21207
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,249 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$294 /mo · $3,534/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$472
- Net cashflow
- $351
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $464 | -5% $407 | +0% $351 | +5% $294 | +10% $237 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $173 | -5% $262 | +0% $351 | +5% $439 | +10% $528 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $451 | -0.5pp $401 | base $351 | +0.5pp $299 | +1.0pp $246 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4998 W Forest Park Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 790 | $1,875 | $2.37 | 16d | 15 | 0.82mi |
| 3904 Gwynns Falls Pkwy Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1772 | $2,600 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3807 Bowers Ave Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2103 Chelsea Ter Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3784 Columbus Dr Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,200 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3535 Flannery Ln Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1536 | $2,000 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5136 Oaklawn Rd Gwynn Oak, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,710 | $1.91 | 3d | 22 | 1.30mi |
| 3028 Hanlon Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,711 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3204 Sequoia Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1791 | $2,600 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5215 Muth Ave Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1205 | $2,700 | $2.24 | 16d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4037 Cedardale Rd Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 16d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-16$199,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,534 · $294/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,534 · $294/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,987
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$3,534
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,159
- − Management
- −$2,159
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $1,123
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$270
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,937/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,099
- Household income
- $67,060
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2139.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 78% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Swedish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.50%
- Current HPI
- 843.63
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.23%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,534 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…