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3033 Calhoun Dr 🌊 Lakefront
C- Composite 54.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$200,000

3033 Calhoun Dr · Georgetown-Quitman County, GA 36310
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,197 sqft · Manufactured public records · 93 Days on market
Built 2000 0.44 ac lot $167/sqft · 6% below area Est $230k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lakefront Opportunity- Priced to sell at $200,000.Don't miss out this chance to own a lakefront property at 3033 Calhoun Drive in Henry County, Alabama. Beautiful view and a large, flat lot perfect for enjoying life on the water. This 3/2 Modular home offers plenty of space and potential. Hugh master bedroom and bath, large living room and den with fireplace. Enjoy your morning coffee on nice front porch or screened back porch. While home needs some attention, it is priced accordingly to be sold AS-IS, making a great investment or customizing your own lake retreat.

Key facts

  • Lakefront property
  • Screened back porch
  • Front porch

Tags

LAKEFRONT PROPERTYLARGE FLAT LOTFRONT PORCHSCREENED BACK PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $18 ($221/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (22.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (22.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.8% in Georgetown-Quitman County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Henry County (rural): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #55 of 129 in AL (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 71 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Henry County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,557 (22.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  5. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  6. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.40%
Cash-on-cash
0.39%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$230,000
List price
$200,000
Delta
-13.04%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.5%
Equity multiple
2.96×
Total profit
$110,012
Equity at exit
$180,176
10-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
6.77×
Total profit
$322,870
Equity at exit
$388,556

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 36310

Home prices YoY
19.7%
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,546 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $845/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$325
Net cashflow
$18

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,522
Max offer price $200,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $132 -5% $75 +0% $18 +5% $-38 +10% $-95
Rent -10% $-104 -5% $-43 +0% $18 +5% $79 +10% $141
Rate -1.0pp $119 -0.5pp $69 base $18 +0.5pp $-33 +1.0pp $-86

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $200,000 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $200,000 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $200,000 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $200,000 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $200,000 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $200,000 Active 87 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $200,000 Active 85 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $200,000 Active 84 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Active 80 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 Active 79 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $200,000 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $200,000 Active 74 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 Active 73 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 72 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $200,000 Active 71 DOM
  17. 2026-03-20
    listed $200,000 Active 571-char remark
    Show marketing remark (571 chars)

    Lakefront Opportunity- Priced to sell at $200,000.Don't miss out this chance to own a lakefront property at 3033 Calhoun Drive in Henry County, Alabama. Beautiful view and a large, flat lot perfect for enjoying life on the water. This 3/2 Modular home offers plenty of space and potential. Hugh master bedroom and bath, large living room and den with fireplace. Enjoy your morning coffee on nice front porch or screened back porch. While home needs some attention, it is priced accordingly to be sold AS-IS, making a great investment or customizing your own lake retreat.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$845 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,840 · $153/mo
Expected delta
+$995/yr (+$83/mo · 117.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,547
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$845
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,484
− Management
−$1,484
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$3,287
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$789
After-tax cash flow
$1,010/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County
NCES district ID
0101740
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$41,502
Composite
27.78/100
National rank
#6894
State rank
#55 of 129 in AL

Livability — Georgetown-Quitman County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

City population
2,407
Population (ZIP)
6,224

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,109 people
By 2030
16,928 · -1.1%
By 2040
16,376 · -4.3%
By 2050
15,778 · -7.8%
By 2075
14,491 · -15.3%
By 2100
12,673 · -25.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 35% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.8) · D 24.3% · R 75.1%
2008→2024 swing
-21.1pp toward R · 2008: -29.7pp · 2024: -50.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.8 2020: R+43.0 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+29.4 2008: R+29.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 39.85%
Current HPI
241.9035
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $200,000 EBOR

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $845 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…